Seems to more of a faith issue thatn anyhting else. There is no reason Romney can't win PA. He is within the margin off error on most polls and that is with polls weighted to the 2008 turn out. There is every reason to believe he will out preform the polls and no good reason to believe he won't. I was in southern PA two weeks ago and I saw pro-Romney signs and anti-Obama signs everywhere. The coal industry is spending huge amounts of money against Obama.
The problem with those PA polls showing Romney within the margin of error is that apart from a few local papers and PPP (who had Obama +6 with a 3.5% MoE) the only people polling PA were Rasmussen, Gravis and other firms with a long documented and now proven GOP bias. And, just for the record, Rasmussen (and Gallup) were NOT using 2008 turnout models, which is why they got most calls so badly wrong.
I hate to play the "pop your head out of the echo chamber" game again since we do it so often, but "yard signs prove Romney will win OH" is a Peggy Noonan quote; you can do better. As a coda on all those "skewed" and "biased" polls, one of the first stories Politico posted on election night was about the Romney campaign admitting their internal polls showed him down by 5 in OH (which was outside the MoE) just before the election.
Honorbound and honored to be Bonded to Mahtaliel Sedai
Last First in wotmania Chat
Slightly better than chocolate.
Love still can't be coerced.
Please Don't Eat the Newbies!
LoL. Be well, RAFOlk.
Last First in wotmania Chat
Slightly better than chocolate.
Love still can't be coerced.
Please Don't Eat the Newbies!

LoL. Be well, RAFOlk.
Could Ohio Kill the Electoral College?
05/11/2012 04:43:48 PM
- 701 Views
Well, let's hope Romney takes Pennsylvania, too, so we don't have to worry about this. *NM*
05/11/2012 05:46:22 PM
- 103 Views
I do not think even the GOPs massive PA vote suppression effort is enough to accomplish that.
05/11/2012 06:38:05 PM
- 374 Views
It's not impossible. I roughly reversed engineered Silver's tipping point simulation...
05/11/2012 11:06:16 PM
- 424 Views
that seems to be what all the liberals keeo tellying themselves
06/11/2012 06:21:47 PM
- 235 Views
You were saying?
12/11/2012 07:52:35 PM
- 218 Views
what? directly vote for president? COMMUNISM!
05/11/2012 06:01:00 PM
- 278 Views
Seems like everything is communism these days, even/especially things that are not.
05/11/2012 06:56:55 PM
- 255 Views
A simple solution: proportional allocation of electors from each state with 15 votes or more.
05/11/2012 08:34:08 PM
- 266 Views
I prefer 1 EV per house district, with 2 EVs going to state winners
05/11/2012 08:40:50 PM
- 365 Views
it would certainly make the races more interesting.....
05/11/2012 09:09:24 PM
- 220 Views
If not for gerrymandering I would consider this the ideal solution.
05/11/2012 09:26:01 PM
- 238 Views
But in that system, the small states would be bypassed completely
05/11/2012 09:55:49 PM
- 273 Views
You mean even more than they already are (outside of the NH primaries)?
05/11/2012 11:17:14 PM
- 230 Views
Me too actually, but only with computerized semi-random redistricting *NM*
06/11/2012 05:38:25 AM
- 93 Views
why would there need to be a nation-wide recount? don't the states keep their own tallies?
05/11/2012 09:08:04 PM
- 267 Views
What if none of the states were close enough for a recount, but the country as a whole was?
05/11/2012 09:23:33 PM
- 229 Views
i suppose at that point the Supreme Court would have every justification to hear the case....
06/11/2012 06:07:06 PM
- 335 Views
What Legolas said; if we did it by national popular vote, recounts would need to be national.
05/11/2012 09:34:30 PM
- 328 Views
I like that idea, though I have long felt Larrys idea of using Congressional Districts is better.
05/11/2012 09:22:49 PM
- 390 Views