Active Users:338 Time:15/05/2024 06:22:40 PM
Significant? Yeah but not enough to say he altered the outcome Isaac Send a noteboard - 02/11/2013 01:41:15 AM

View original postHe recived 8% of the vote and Clinton recived less than 50%. Not as big of an affect as the 1992 election but a large majority of Perott supporters would have voted republican.

In 92, while Perot brought in some Dems from Clinton and many people who probably wouldn't have voted otherwise, it's hard to argue he didn't take a lot of votes away from Bush I, maybe the sum total once you remove people who wouldn't have voted for anyone, and account for those who would have voted for Clinton, was enough to have changed the outcome on election day in 92 but in 96? Not very likely.

Now one can argue that Perot's visibility and all combined factors drained attention and thus votes from Bush I and Dole but I think that has to be considered a different thing all together. The first concept says 'had this man been removed from the ballot, as in a runoff, how would the vote have turned out?', the second essentially posits removing them from the race entirely and you could apply the same argument to hotly contested primaries. e.g. had Gingrich/Perry/Santorum dropped earlier or had Ron Paul endorsed, would Romney have faired better? And while the answer is probably yes it is a different kind of thing.

The intuitive mind is a sacred gift and the rational mind is a faithful servant. We have created a society that honors the servant and has forgotten the gift.
- Albert Einstein

King of Cairhien 20-7-2
Chancellor of the Landsraad, Archduke of Is'Mod
Reply to message
The stage is set for a 3rd party presidential candidate..... - 31/10/2013 04:24:12 PM 499 Views
The problem with indie or 3rd party... - 31/10/2013 05:06:59 PM 258 Views
I'm not talking about a typical indy.....more like a Bloomberg with a billion to spend. - 31/10/2013 05:09:17 PM 216 Views
Hopefully having little in common with Bloomberg besides cash - 31/10/2013 05:29:19 PM 219 Views
As a humble mayor..... - 31/10/2013 05:37:16 PM 229 Views
I think he played a signifcant role in the 96 election as well - 01/11/2013 02:41:58 PM 215 Views
Not if you look at the Electoral College - 01/11/2013 05:59:03 PM 577 Views
Significant? Yeah but not enough to say he altered the outcome - 02/11/2013 01:41:15 AM 216 Views

Reply to Message