I commend how President Lee has handled the situation, when the Chenoan sank, he didn't accuse blame, he didn't make any knee-jerk reactions. He very calmly called in a international team of experts to investigate and waited for their findings. This has greatly strengthened his hand internationally. And now he's made a forceful response by hitting North Korea economically, he looks bellicose and tough without really doing anything.
The conundrum for President Lee is that he can't respond militarily because absolutely no one wants another Korean War - not to mention it would utterly spook investors. It would be devastating for the Korea peninsula if all out war broke out. Pyongyang can credibly decimate Seoul with conventional arms alone. There are about 12 million inhabitants in Seoul. North Korea is bat-shit crazy, but their not suicidal, the regime cares about it's survival, if all out war broke out that would be the end of that regime. South Korea is very vulnerable because of its geographic location. Because of that, the U.S. has been very prudent not to trigger any war-like act. And North Korea knows it; it is the Achilles' heel for both countries.
The biggest danger with these situations is that they can slip out from one's control, sometimes the best policy is to wait until emotions calm down, then decide where to go from there.
The conundrum for President Lee is that he can't respond militarily because absolutely no one wants another Korean War - not to mention it would utterly spook investors. It would be devastating for the Korea peninsula if all out war broke out. Pyongyang can credibly decimate Seoul with conventional arms alone. There are about 12 million inhabitants in Seoul. North Korea is bat-shit crazy, but their not suicidal, the regime cares about it's survival, if all out war broke out that would be the end of that regime. South Korea is very vulnerable because of its geographic location. Because of that, the U.S. has been very prudent not to trigger any war-like act. And North Korea knows it; it is the Achilles' heel for both countries.
The biggest danger with these situations is that they can slip out from one's control, sometimes the best policy is to wait until emotions calm down, then decide where to go from there.
Oh, by the way...has anyone noticed how close the Korean peninsula is to war?
- 24/05/2010 02:04:12 PM
1179 Views
I was wondering when something would be posted about this
- 24/05/2010 02:49:54 PM
869 Views
- 24/05/2010 02:49:54 PM
869 Views
But does North Korea really listen to China that much anymore?
- 24/05/2010 02:55:04 PM
819 Views
that might well be a good point
- 24/05/2010 03:20:32 PM
782 Views
The explaination I have heard...
- 24/05/2010 09:05:40 PM
820 Views
Kim made one of his rare trips outside of North Korea about two weeks ago.
- 26/05/2010 07:49:18 AM
772 Views
yah, it doesn't look to be a good situation
- 24/05/2010 02:50:08 PM
787 Views
If there were a war with North Korea the US has the resources to deal with it.
- 24/05/2010 02:56:39 PM
809 Views
mm. well I don't much like that either, to be honest.
- 24/05/2010 03:00:29 PM
791 Views
Still scary and you know that using those would escalate everything.
- 24/05/2010 03:26:12 PM
748 Views
Korea is directly in our sphere of influence
- 24/05/2010 03:37:18 PM
701 Views
I meant "we" in a personal sense, not a national sense.
- 24/05/2010 05:36:40 PM
866 Views
In a personal sense, we could hijack a nuclear silo and shoot an ICBM at Pyongyang.
- 24/05/2010 05:50:52 PM
685 Views
- 24/05/2010 05:50:52 PM
685 Views
That would totally blow my cover of being a nerdy little grandma.
- 24/05/2010 09:37:28 PM
709 Views
A part of me says just get it over with
- 24/05/2010 03:21:06 PM
689 Views
I agree that if war is inevitable, it is much better to start it at a time of our choosing.
- 24/05/2010 03:48:36 PM
850 Views
I'm trying not to. *NM*
- 24/05/2010 05:25:06 PM
288 Views
I try to block it out with thought's of a puppet singing "I'm So Ronery". *NM*
- 24/05/2010 10:59:23 PM
300 Views
No one wants to resume the Korean War.
- 24/05/2010 11:27:12 PM
824 Views
China does.
- 25/05/2010 12:29:11 AM
783 Views
No, they don't
- 25/05/2010 12:54:49 AM
791 Views
Well, it would be more accurate to say they want a conflict, yes.
- 25/05/2010 01:15:23 AM
800 Views
No, they don't
- 25/05/2010 01:24:17 AM
766 Views
I'm saying the Cold War isn't over, since it was never about capitalism vs. communism to begin.
- 25/05/2010 01:41:28 AM
809 Views
North Korea is not acting suicidal? Are you kidding?
- 25/05/2010 02:41:29 AM
738 Views
The internal political dynamic in North Korea is such that they constantly need a crisis.
- 25/05/2010 03:03:59 AM
762 Views
You are missing the main point.
- 25/05/2010 03:36:37 AM
806 Views
I'm not saying it's nothing new.
- 25/05/2010 03:57:40 AM
773 Views
Your response highlights the ultimate problem: the crisis will have to keep getting bigger.
- 25/05/2010 07:44:19 PM
714 Views
Yes, I've been watching with morbid curiosity and a little sick feeling in my stomach.
- 25/05/2010 02:47:53 AM
814 Views
