US debt continues surging higher and the chart below shows a likely outcome: debt will exceed GDP in as early as 2012. Yep, that’s fewer than two years from now.

From Bloomberg:

“…the government’s total debt [...] rose past $13 trillion for the first time this month. The amount owed will surpass GDP in 2012, based on forecasts by the International Monetary Fund. The lower panel shows U.S. annual GDP growth as tracked by the IMF, which projects the world’s largest economy to expand at a slower pace than the 3.2 percent average during the past five decades.”

One concern about the rising debt is what PIMCO’s Bill Gross refers to as “the debt super cycle trend.” It’s a situation where the US eventually increases interest rates but, without improved economic growth, it gets much harder to pay debt-related bills. The US may have lot more difficulty selling its debt, or servicing it, when the lines below cross.

You can click the chart below or follow this link to see a bigger version and read Bloomberg’s accompanying article. (Note that there are two tabs, “story” and “graphic.”)

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And here's one thing to think about. A minimum of $1 trillion and more likely $2 trillion will be added to this number as a result of the health care reform that reforms NOTHING. Obama added the largest single boost to social spending, under the guise of health care reform, that we have ever seen. And it was built on incredibly faulty projections.