forget for a minute whether or not you prefer one candidate over another, or their electability to the general population. i am wondering if any of the candidates can put together an organization which can pose a threat to obama's re-election. gingrich and santorum could not even get on the ballot in at least two states each. romney apparently did not have anyone working for him in ohio, he basically spent a ton of money getting ads on tv instead of actually campaigning like a real candidate.
all of this speaks to me that none of the current candidates has the organizational skills to put up a sustained, national election campaign against a president who is not as popular as he was the first time, but who definitely has the organization to put people on the ground in all 50 states.
all of this speaks to me that none of the current candidates has the organizational skills to put up a sustained, national election campaign against a president who is not as popular as he was the first time, but who definitely has the organization to put people on the ground in all 50 states.
If he really won OH with money-bombs against the conservatives Great White Hope, without even personally campaigning there, that ought to tell you he can compete if he DOES personally campaign there. Latest polls I have seen have him running a couple points ahead of Obama nationally as it is. Looking at the Electoral math, I would go hard in VA and OH if I were Obama, hoping that holding those states will offset the loss of FL. Last time, he won the first two by three (in VA) and two (in OH) times as much as he did FL (where he only won by 2% near the peak of his popularity.) If Romney does as Isaac suggested and puts Rubio on the ticket, FL is nearly hopeless, along with the Southwest, probably excepting NM. At that point, with NH partial to New Engladers it becomes very difficult for Obama to reach 270.
So, yeah, Romney has a very good shot at beating Obama; as Tom has noted, another major hit on the economy and/or foreign policy could sink Obama.
Honorbound and honored to be Bonded to Mahtaliel Sedai
Last First in wotmania Chat
Slightly better than chocolate.
Love still can't be coerced.
Please Don't Eat the Newbies!
LoL. Be well, RAFOlk.
Last First in wotmania Chat
Slightly better than chocolate.
Love still can't be coerced.
Please Don't Eat the Newbies!
LoL. Be well, RAFOlk.
can *any* republican pose a challenge to obama in november?
- 14/03/2012 04:06:59 AM
1437 Views
Yes, absolutely.....
- 14/03/2012 04:12:30 AM
893 Views
"anybody but obama" is not a winning strategy
- 14/03/2012 02:28:23 PM
855 Views
It can definitely work.....don't compare 2012 to 2004.
- 14/03/2012 02:44:39 PM
728 Views
this is why it will be 2004 all over again if romney is nominated
- 16/03/2012 02:22:26 PM
783 Views
It sure as Hell is, as long as the candidate is moderate
- 14/03/2012 03:04:10 PM
985 Views
Did you vote for Obama in 2008?
- 14/03/2012 03:47:55 PM
724 Views
Yes I did. If Romney is the candidate, I will vote Romney this year. *NM*
- 14/03/2012 08:39:41 PM
446 Views
Strongly qualifying your statement really weakens the "anyone". 
*NM*
- 14/03/2012 10:14:45 PM
452 Views
*NM*
- 14/03/2012 10:14:45 PM
452 Views
The statement "anyone but Obama" can be a rallying cry, but only for the right candidates.
- 16/03/2012 01:47:48 AM
884 Views
somehow i don't see romney having much credibility versus obama
- 16/03/2012 02:16:32 PM
779 Views
Spoken like a true Obama partisan
- 16/03/2012 04:18:21 PM
771 Views
actually, i did not vote for obama in 2008 and i won't this time either
- 17/03/2012 01:02:09 PM
836 Views
Sure, if Israel hits Iran and Obama looks weak.
- 14/03/2012 04:56:23 AM
895 Views
i think iran/israel is probably the biggest issue at the moment
- 14/03/2012 02:25:29 PM
890 Views
I would put serious money on an Israeli attack before the election.
- 14/03/2012 02:56:55 PM
905 Views
Yes, Romney.
- 14/03/2012 10:59:26 AM
898 Views
I know that I would consider voting for Romney
- 14/03/2012 01:05:47 PM
865 Views
If you will pardon an impertinent question: Why?
- 14/03/2012 03:26:01 PM
838 Views
Because Obama is a complete and utter failure.....
- 14/03/2012 03:44:14 PM
783 Views
Again, I get Republicans voting Anybody but Obama, but not how anyone can be comfortable w/ Romney.
- 14/03/2012 04:06:14 PM
914 Views
Pre-convention only the incumbents favorability ratings matter much
- 14/03/2012 01:19:04 PM
886 Views
obama is not popular, but at least he has the ability to organize a national campaign
- 14/03/2012 02:18:04 PM
870 Views
No, the democratic party does, so does the GOP
- 14/03/2012 03:16:31 PM
904 Views
That's true- despite how divisive the primaries seem, the GOP will unite behind the winner
- 14/03/2012 03:44:16 PM
919 Views
Re: That's true- despite how divisive the primaries seem, the GOP will unite behind the winner
- 14/03/2012 03:59:25 PM
853 Views
Actually, my experience has been a lot of libs mean it when they say they will not for anyone.
- 14/03/2012 04:19:46 PM
713 Views
I don't want to grossly over-generalize but there are distinct trends to party demographics
- 14/03/2012 06:04:09 PM
952 Views
I was thinking no, and here's my rationale:
- 14/03/2012 03:41:21 PM
817 Views
Much as it pains me to agree with trzaska, he is absolutely right in this case.
- 14/03/2012 04:21:43 PM
1025 Views
Interesting. So you guys are basically saying I'm right, but it might not matter
- 14/03/2012 04:53:48 PM
890 Views
Yeah, pretty much, and I would even say that is the trend in all Dem vs. Rep elections.
- 14/03/2012 04:59:30 PM
893 Views
Yes and no
- 14/03/2012 06:23:47 PM
1003 Views
Conservative cookies nomz. But I think you missed my main point...
- 14/03/2012 07:02:10 PM
846 Views
Conservative cookies nomz. But I think you missed my main point...
- 14/03/2012 07:09:24 PM
781 Views
And the cookies are not a lie... at last night's meeting, we had Thin Mints
- 15/03/2012 09:51:30 PM
882 Views
Yeah, I just meant perception
- 16/03/2012 02:39:30 AM
867 Views
One day Republicans and internet trolls alike will learn not to say weird shit to people like me.
- 15/03/2012 12:30:17 AM
987 Views
I like this post.
- 15/03/2012 08:40:07 PM
812 Views
I don't mean to disrespect your seal, but it looks more like a cat. *NM*
- 15/03/2012 08:52:26 PM
330 Views
You've obviously never heard of a kitten seal, Mr. I-Write-An-Animal-Blog. *NM*
- 15/03/2012 09:38:47 PM
448 Views
Maybe it's a leopard seal. That someone put a cat-ear band on. *NM*
- 15/03/2012 10:07:46 PM
353 Views
Does it matter if they do? At this point, does it matter who is president? Probably not.
- 16/03/2012 02:11:45 AM
931 Views