Obama's luck is that, with his numbers, almost anyone else would be packing his things and hoping for a miracle to keep him in the Oval Office. However, the Republicans didn't field any "A-list" candidates this year because conventional wisdom is that you can't defeat an incumbent so you save your good candidates for "open" years (e.g., John Kerry ran in 2004, Bob Dole ran in 1996, and unknown Bill Clinton ran in 1992, and we forget he probably would have lost had it not been for H. Ross Perot, who siphoned away a good 18% of the vote that was more Republican than Democrat).