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Okay, commercial, that narrows it down. How, exactly? Legolas Send a noteboard - 24/10/2012 06:02:01 PM
Iran is geographically isolated from the major world economies. If Iraq was out of the way they would have access with their ideological ally (Syria) and through them access to Europe. As things stand now they really only have ready access to Russia and China.

They have "ready access" to India, China, the Middle East, Turkey, South-East Asia and East-Africa - a lot of the markets of the future. I'm not including Russia in that list as you did, because their access to Russia isn't better than their access to Europe as far as I can see - while train transport in Central Asia is admittedly gaining in importance and possibilities, the main method of transport remains shipping, and then getting to European Russia still requires going through the Med.

But yeah, I really don't see how controlling Syrian seaports would help their access to Europe (and more distantly the Americas, although for those it might actually be more interesting to go either around the Cape of Good Hope or across the Pacific, depending on your destination in the Americas). Even if you assume transport through Iraq is easy as pie - and that's a big assumption - you're still talking about long land transport that's just not competitive compared to the sea route through the Strait of Hormuz and Suez Channel (especially if you then have to put things on a ship in the Syrian port anyhow, as each change of transportation method will create a good bit of extra costs). I work with commercial shipping on a daily basis, so I know what I'm talking about here. :P
It also ties back to the whole history of Arab v Persian and King Hussain.

King Hussain of Jordan? What does he have to do with it now? And I quite agree that there's an ugly history between Arabs and Persians - which makes it all the more mystifying why you're claiming Iran should consider it a priority to cultivate good ties with Iraq and Syria both just so it can get access to Syrian ports it doesn't need.
As for the Straights of Hormuz, Iran would have about as much success trying to blockade it as I would. Militarily, without nuclear weapons, Iran is nothing.

Of course, if facing the full armed force of NATO plus the Arab states. Then all they can do is raise the cost of the war by attacking Israel and mobilizing its handful of allies in the region.
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Between the ships, horses, bayonets, and lines about loving teachers... - 23/10/2012 04:44:32 AM 1067 Views
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Commercial, Iran doesn't have a navy worth mentioning. - 24/10/2012 03:41:46 PM 528 Views
Okay, commercial, that narrows it down. How, exactly? - 24/10/2012 06:02:01 PM 503 Views
Right family (Hussein of Jordan), wrong generation by a few hundered years. - 25/10/2012 06:16:51 PM 542 Views
Hm. Curious who you mean, then. - 25/10/2012 11:52:06 PM 534 Views
You are too hung up on a "port" - 26/10/2012 03:13:59 PM 455 Views
That's what Romney and you said, isn't it? Access to the Mediterranean. - 26/10/2012 11:30:55 PM 630 Views
Re: That's what Romney and you said, isn't it? Access to the Mediterranean. - 29/10/2012 02:23:33 PM 552 Views
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that was my favorite as well. *NM* - 23/10/2012 08:10:36 PM 218 Views
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