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You were saying? Joel Send a noteboard - 12/11/2012 07:52:35 PM
Seems to more of a faith issue thatn anyhting else. There is no reason Romney can't win PA. He is within the margin off error on most polls and that is with polls weighted to the 2008 turn out. There is every reason to believe he will out preform the polls and no good reason to believe he won't. I was in southern PA two weeks ago and I saw pro-Romney signs and anti-Obama signs everywhere. The coal industry is spending huge amounts of money against Obama.

The problem with those PA polls showing Romney within the margin of error is that apart from a few local papers and PPP (who had Obama +6 with a 3.5% MoE) the only people polling PA were Rasmussen, Gravis and other firms with a long documented and now proven GOP bias. And, just for the record, Rasmussen (and Gallup) were NOT using 2008 turnout models, which is why they got most calls so badly wrong.

I hate to play the "pop your head out of the echo chamber" game again since we do it so often, but "yard signs prove Romney will win OH" is a Peggy Noonan quote; you can do better. As a coda on all those "skewed" and "biased" polls, one of the first stories Politico posted on election night was about the Romney campaign admitting their internal polls showed him down by 5 in OH (which was outside the MoE) just before the election.
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Could Ohio Kill the Electoral College? - 05/11/2012 04:43:48 PM 703 Views
Well, let's hope Romney takes Pennsylvania, too, so we don't have to worry about this. *NM* - 05/11/2012 05:46:22 PM 103 Views
you're delusional if you think romney is going to carry PA - 05/11/2012 05:58:16 PM 276 Views
I do not think even the GOPs massive PA vote suppression effort is enough to accomplish that. - 05/11/2012 06:38:05 PM 375 Views
that seems to be what all the liberals keeo tellying themselves - 06/11/2012 06:21:47 PM 236 Views
yard signs do not usually translate to actual voter sentiment - 06/11/2012 06:23:39 PM 214 Views
You were saying? - 12/11/2012 07:52:35 PM 219 Views
what? directly vote for president? COMMUNISM! - 05/11/2012 06:01:00 PM 279 Views
Um - 05/11/2012 06:04:12 PM 257 Views
Ugh. - 05/11/2012 07:23:37 PM 364 Views
It is an appallingly large number. - 05/11/2012 07:40:47 PM 258 Views
A simple solution: proportional allocation of electors from each state with 15 votes or more. - 05/11/2012 08:34:08 PM 267 Views
I like that idea, though I have long felt Larrys idea of using Congressional Districts is better. - 05/11/2012 09:22:49 PM 392 Views
So you undermined your own argument from the start... - 05/11/2012 10:01:07 PM 241 Views
i've always favored district lines by ZIP code myself - 05/11/2012 10:05:59 PM 321 Views
Um... WHAT? Republicans have 9/13 CDs in NC. - 12/11/2012 07:52:16 PM 361 Views
But why do people bleive big states need more power? - 06/11/2012 06:31:22 PM 274 Views
I was not asked but will answer anyway: They do not. - 12/11/2012 07:45:26 PM 388 Views

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