View original postMy statement about "myopia" was that you implied that there was a long list of candidates who might win the nomination, and I think that even in the Republican Party of 2006 most of them would end up losing.
Most probably would, I only mean that unlike 2012 when our selection was pretty slim, everyone had guilt by association to Bush or was too new coming into power in 2010, we'll have a pretty big pool. Especially since it doesn't seem likely we'll have Romney, Palin, or Perry equivalents scaring off other bidders. None of those factors are in play to discourage the 2016 versions of Pawlenty, Daniels, etc.
View original postThe GOP in PRESIDENTIAL elections ends up picking the more moderate candidates, but the loud ideologues manage to get elected in their districts, then run for President and drag the debate so far right that no moderate candidate can win a general election because he's had to tack so far right in the primaries that he has lost all credibility. Christie would make a good candidate, but if he enters a primary with the shrill likes of Bachmann impugning his credentials, even though she ends up getting "kicked to the curb", as you put it, the damage is done because he has to show how conservative he can be.
As best as I can tell the RNC is trying to minimize that, and they can do so reasonably effectively I think because there probably ain't going to be a Bachmann/Cain/Paul Element this time.
View original postThe Democrats, somehow, have candidates that can be centrist without upsetting things. That's why I'd like to see Warren involved in the primaries - so they can finally understand what it feels like to have to moderate an extreme primary message in the general election, only to lose because of it.
It's not like they haven't gotten hit on that before, Dukakis, Mondale, McGovern all come to mind.