Rasmussen and ABC do show him ahead but whatever model Rasmussen is using seems to favor because he is doing better on their polls than he is on any of the others. NBC also came out with a poll at the same time showing her leading. All are in the margin of error though. Any head poll at the point is really not that valuable.

The good news for him is he is moving up as more republicans agree to hold their nose and vote for him. The bad news for him is you can expect her numbers to go up once Bernie admits defeat and starts to tell his supporters they need to vote for Hillary to keep Donald out of office.

The Ds are dragging it out more the Rs but in the end I think it was much less bloody. There are not many democrats in leadership position saying they can not support the nominee. I suspect that even after the convention you will still have major party leaders refusing to endorse Trump. As a life long republican I would never have imagined that I would vote for the republican nominee of Hillary Clinton but so far Trump is doing nothing to win me over. First he needs to convince me he is a conservative but he is failing at that. Of course I know a lot of Bernie supporters he swear they will never vote for Hillary.

Should be interesting. These polls are all modeled on past voting history and this election is so far outside the norm that I doubt anyone has an accurate model. To me it is just a question of do I want to be punch in the face or do I want to be punched in the gut but I don't an outcome I like no matter what.