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Re: Two things moondog Send a noteboard - 26/07/2016 11:27:22 PM

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1) Donald Trump in battleground states is doing better than Donald Trump in national polls

1b) Counterpoint even though Donald Trump is claiming to be do well in Rust Belt States, he is doing worse than past republican candidates

2) Donald Trump does not need to get to 50%+1 in these battleground states due to the 3rd party "spillover candidates"? It appears that if Donald Trump wins several battleground states it is because people did not vote for him or Hillary, but the people who did vote for those two people Donald wins more than Hillary.

2b) Note I am not going to say that Donald is going to win more vote percent than Hillary in battleground states that Clinton, but this is how he is going to win those states if he does win those states.

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There is a real potential for Donald Trump to win the electoral college. Lots of things have to line up in a roll and A leads to B, B leads to C and so on but it is possible.


there is a stronger 3rd party challenge on the right wing, which will find itself on 49 of 50 ballots this fall. the only challenge to Hillary from the left is on roughly 30 ballots, most of them solidly "blue" states to begin with. i am not saying Trump has zero chance to win, I am saying Trump has roughly 0.005% chance to win.

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"That's the trouble with political jokes in this country... they get elected!" -- Dave Lippman
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as the GOP convention winds down one question remains.... moondog - 21/07/2016 09:16:35 PM 725 Views
Why doesn't an enlightened person such as yourself use her last name, like with male politicians? Cannoli - 21/07/2016 10:08:51 PM 552 Views
perhaps i should simply refer to her as Clinton 45 from now on *NM* moondog - 25/07/2016 10:36:48 PM 251 Views
Don't count your chickens before they hatch. Legolas - 22/07/2016 12:23:36 AM 520 Views
I hear they will be setting up stalls so we can shower after we vote to wash the smell off. *NM* random thoughts - 22/07/2016 06:35:34 PM 266 Views
Re: Don't count your chickens before they hatch. Cannoli - 23/07/2016 02:53:36 AM 505 Views
Not at all. Plenty of valid reasons to dislike her, some of which I agree with and others not. Legolas - 23/07/2016 11:30:09 AM 646 Views
Mansplaining now? Arrgh! Sexists EVERYwhere... Cannoli - 24/07/2016 01:49:19 AM 625 Views
the Electoral College map suggests Trump has too much ground to cover moondog - 25/07/2016 10:28:12 PM 507 Views
Depends which prediction you're looking at. Legolas - 25/07/2016 11:15:40 PM 479 Views
Two things Roland00 - 26/07/2016 01:35:52 AM 522 Views
Re: Two things moondog - 26/07/2016 11:27:22 PM 453 Views
The number is much higher than that Roland00 - 27/07/2016 02:59:45 AM 501 Views
Con men do sometimes win Roland00 - 22/07/2016 05:37:01 AM 685 Views
Do you ever get tired of this? Talk about con men... Cannoli - 23/07/2016 03:22:09 AM 646 Views
I have told you in the past I am not going to respond to your content or your response to my posts Roland00 - 23/07/2016 11:06:45 AM 529 Views
You replied to his marriage vows post *NM* ßelals Girl - 23/07/2016 12:11:55 PM 233 Views
Your sloppy use of pronouns led me to think they were Cannoli - 23/07/2016 03:10:53 PM 574 Views
1984 is a non-starter. The Shrike - 22/07/2016 01:05:45 PM 528 Views
It is a bit early to let Bill start highering interns random thoughts - 22/07/2016 06:34:22 PM 475 Views
Hillary should win by around 5-10% of the popular vote Sports_Gambler - 28/07/2016 12:54:35 PM 482 Views
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