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More or less my take too Isaac Send a noteboard - 24/02/2011 05:29:48 AM
First: Awesome. That'll serve ya right, silly scum. People who don't talk are antisocial, and must be executed.


Yeah, I was fairly surprised he turned out scum, I thought him a bit more likely than random, but particularly when he made it to L-1 I figured he was town.

Second: Dang. Gher was giving quite a few of us pro-town vibes. I'm sure that's why the Mafia NK'd him, but it's still annoying.


I'd guess they probably figured there was good odds he was a LD, didn't have any better leads, and figured he was a good player and better than neutral

Third: No role was given. Was he a townie, or are roles just not given? (I'm guessing the former, but we can't be sure)


I'm guessing vanilla, and ditto for Bergioyn, goon rather, chocolate perhaps, but we don't know for sure yet, I wouldn't normally associate hidden PM with 'back to basics' and we did get other info on them so I think it's just implied with no intended uncertainty, I guess we can ask the Mod, so, Katie if you're reading this, is role hidden on death?

Fourth: Only one kill means either a doctor got lucky, or that this is a pretty simple setup, NK-wise. No vigilantes or Serial Killers.


Well, a vig is generally not supposed to NK on night 1 without a good lead and there wasn't much of one, and a SK might forgo a kill to play vig later or through absence. I'd say the most probable of course is just that though, 3 goons, 9 townies, no extra NK except maybe a one-shot scummer one, I'm still wondering if maybe they have a day kill they can burn at some point, it was kinda implie din the intro as an option.

As for analysis... Not sure yet. The two main things from yesterday are Gher's innocence and Bergioyn's guilt. So, we can look at those two things, see who was reluctant to lynch Berg, maybe come up with something.


To spare the time, nobody expressed much reluctance, at least none out of place for the setup of the lynch, not like anyone, besides the scummers, was positive he was scum or anything. I probably would come up top of the heap for most suspicious, almost everyone either votes or gave tacit support, nobody really defended him, except again I sort of did even if I added that I'd punch his ticket pre-deadline if he didn't give anything new and no one else did, that proves little since I had added that I wasn't sure I'd be there to do it, which would be a great excuse to run out the clock, but I don't lie about RL stuff in game so that deadens some of that. For the other 3 surviving non-voters, stephen, ? and Scott, Scott was RBIRL, which means his vote status is meaningless, ? had come out fairly early as a tacit supporter, which if scum is bussing-lite, people generally do do that but not a whole lot on a thin case like that, easier to just do a 'maybe, but I don't see much evidence' (which I also did unfortunately) and Stephen IIRC did also make some fairly pro-lynch comments. So nobody really sticks out, but the non-voters are still the best place to hunt IMO. Of the voters, hard to say, I would not have bussed him except maybe right at the end, like vote 5 or later at least in this case. In general, besides not liking to bus, if you kill an ally on day 1 like that you have no idea what you're losing, could be a RBer or extra NK, might have important info, but I have no idea if other people put that kind of thought into it or not, so bussing is definitely possible. You seem unlikely, voter #2 was rana, he's certainly willing to bus but he's a capable strategist and I'd expect him to realize bussing wouldn't buy him much since he's known to do it and to realize what he might be losing, so I doubt he's scum either. After that, I don't know. I still like Scott for town, ditto Fox and he was an earlier voter too. I know I'm town, so that leaves me with FT, Hobo and Yuna who voted late in that order, and Stephen and ? from the non-voters. None of them have done anything suspicious, but of course barring ? all of them are old hands at this game and ? is hardly a newb either so that's not surprising, but some have done some pro-townish things too.
Anyone have any other thoughts?


That's more or less my take in a nutshell.
The intuitive mind is a sacred gift and the rational mind is a faithful servant. We have created a society that honors the servant and has forgotten the gift.
- Albert Einstein

King of Cairhien 20-7-2
Chancellor of the Landsraad, Archduke of Is'Mod
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Mafia 21: Tempting Fate on the Second Day - 21/02/2011 01:34:54 PM 1257 Views
Sorry for the delay. - 22/02/2011 01:56:28 PM 783 Views
FIGHT, ITEM, or RUN? *NM* - 22/02/2011 09:44:50 PM 394 Views
FIGHT - 23/02/2011 11:14:07 PM 776 Views
RBIRL - 22/02/2011 08:26:36 PM 781 Views
Kinda busy myself. - 23/02/2011 08:10:21 AM 810 Views
Well, we may as well HC (Table) - 22/02/2011 10:05:16 PM 1076 Views
I targetted Scott Blademaster and found him innocent *NM* - 22/02/2011 10:47:30 PM 396 Views
i found Fox and Ravens to be guilty - 22/02/2011 10:48:07 PM 809 Views
I found beetnemesis to be innocent. *NM* - 22/02/2011 11:09:41 PM 425 Views
I found Isaac guilty. *NM* - 22/02/2011 11:22:07 PM 463 Views
I found ? to be innocent. *NM* - 23/02/2011 12:52:53 AM 397 Views
Yunalesca, innocent. *NM* - 23/02/2011 08:13:40 AM 493 Views
Hobo - Guilty *NM* - 24/02/2011 05:30:13 PM 399 Views
Still need HC's from ? and Scott - 24/02/2011 05:41:38 PM 770 Views
I suppose it's worth asking - 24/02/2011 02:29:51 AM 811 Views
Heh, I was about to ask this - 24/02/2011 03:36:45 AM 810 Views
I didn't get anything. *NM* - 24/02/2011 05:53:54 AM 400 Views
I didn't get anything either... *NM* - 24/02/2011 10:02:07 AM 478 Views
That's enough of that. - 24/02/2011 02:17:46 PM 804 Views
No. - 25/02/2011 02:02:44 PM 829 Views
OK, so... some thoughts. - 24/02/2011 03:49:52 AM 817 Views
More or less my take too - 24/02/2011 05:29:48 AM 1120 Views
Re: More or less my take too - 24/02/2011 01:24:24 PM 971 Views
Yeah, I'd have to say that you're my top suspect right now. - 24/02/2011 02:58:55 PM 759 Views
Re: Yeah, I'd have to say that you're my top suspect right now. - 24/02/2011 03:56:41 PM 794 Views
Just to clarify that point - 24/02/2011 05:39:41 PM 1081 Views
i have some suspicions - 24/02/2011 03:27:21 PM 794 Views
What's up? - 24/02/2011 05:31:26 PM 800 Views
Re: What's up? - 24/02/2011 07:47:19 PM 876 Views
Anything in particular? *NM* - 24/02/2011 09:45:37 PM 421 Views
yeah, one thing in particular - 24/02/2011 10:20:43 PM 807 Views
Re: yeah, one thing in particular - 25/02/2011 01:12:35 AM 833 Views
I really think you should. - 25/02/2011 02:08:28 PM 804 Views
Re: I really think you should. - 25/02/2011 02:34:00 PM 857 Views
Re: I really think you should. - 25/02/2011 04:05:53 PM 853 Views
Re: I really think you should. - 25/02/2011 05:42:40 PM 833 Views
While I'm thinking about it - 25/02/2011 07:21:29 PM 770 Views
Re: While I'm thinking about it - 25/02/2011 09:21:57 PM 733 Views
Okay, I've reviewed Fox's Day 1 statements - 25/02/2011 07:16:52 PM 806 Views
Yeah we really need Yunalesca to clear this up. - 25/02/2011 08:09:01 PM 805 Views
right, gonna take a big risk here - 25/02/2011 10:04:04 PM 800 Views
I guess that's not too surprising - 25/02/2011 10:22:12 PM 823 Views
Re: I guess that's not too surprising - 25/02/2011 10:38:39 PM 869 Views
Also since the cat's out of the bag... - 25/02/2011 10:23:07 PM 850 Views
That would be nice... - 25/02/2011 10:25:52 PM 751 Views
i am - 25/02/2011 10:43:29 PM 853 Views
EBWOP - 25/02/2011 10:44:32 PM 848 Views
That is a big risk. - 25/02/2011 10:24:50 PM 833 Views
Re: That is a big risk. - 25/02/2011 10:32:15 PM 821 Views
Ah I see. - 25/02/2011 11:15:38 PM 810 Views
Re: Ah I see. - 25/02/2011 11:50:40 PM 818 Views
Well, I could have seen that coming. - 26/02/2011 12:31:43 AM 903 Views
Oh, nice counterclaim. - 26/02/2011 12:55:05 AM 752 Views
Okay... you've claimed Doc - 26/02/2011 12:57:56 AM 791 Views
Re: Okay... you've claimed Doc - 26/02/2011 01:14:39 AM 795 Views
Re: Okay... you've claimed Doc - 26/02/2011 07:43:22 AM 841 Views
Oh no! - 26/02/2011 01:12:23 AM 843 Views
So how do we want to do confirmation? - 25/02/2011 10:39:38 PM 845 Views
I see no problems with these questions... - 25/02/2011 11:18:32 PM 804 Views
Seem like good questions - 25/02/2011 11:54:32 PM 761 Views
Re: So how do we want to do confirmation? - 26/02/2011 12:48:03 AM 767 Views
Re: So how do we want to do confirmation? - 26/02/2011 12:48:56 AM 767 Views
Eh... - 26/02/2011 12:57:11 AM 815 Views
Copping Question (Table) - 26/02/2011 12:53:03 AM 844 Views
No. *NM* - 26/02/2011 12:55:53 AM 408 Views
...isn't anyone who says "yes" going to be roled, and quickly nightkilled? *NM* - 26/02/2011 12:59:01 AM 420 Views
Probably, but it doesn't really matter - 26/02/2011 01:02:41 AM 761 Views
Also if she's lying or wrong it doesn't result in a NK - 26/02/2011 01:03:59 AM 766 Views
The only way we'll determine if she's lying or wrong without lynching Fox is if someone RCs - 26/02/2011 01:11:35 AM 882 Views
Yep - 26/02/2011 01:22:00 AM 773 Views
That, or lying. Thus the benefit to us . *NM* - 26/02/2011 07:45:18 AM 399 Views
No. *NM* - 26/02/2011 01:16:31 AM 406 Views
No, also Vote: Fox and Ravens - 26/02/2011 01:20:49 AM 833 Views
Remember, this is about Yunalesca's claim. - 26/02/2011 07:53:17 AM 784 Views
You do realize the day is over, right? *NM* - 26/02/2011 10:41:12 AM 411 Views
I didn't at the time . *NM* - 26/02/2011 07:22:49 PM 379 Views
Before this gets too out of hand, Vote: Fox and Ravens. And Isaac, if I could vote twice, you too - 26/02/2011 01:05:59 AM 849 Views
I'm in. - 26/02/2011 01:20:47 AM 788 Views
Re: I'm in. - 26/02/2011 01:54:27 AM 803 Views
Wait, what are you accusing me over? - 26/02/2011 01:26:29 AM 787 Views
It felt like you were fishing for roles. - 26/02/2011 01:37:55 AM 763 Views
You mean by telling the doc not to answer? - 26/02/2011 01:47:09 AM 806 Views
Yeah, ok. That's pretty far fetched. - 26/02/2011 02:26:29 AM 778 Views
Vote Table - 26/02/2011 02:33:46 AM 778 Views
I voted - 26/02/2011 02:46:28 AM 733 Views
Oh, my bad. *NM* - 26/02/2011 05:01:51 AM 417 Views
And I'll be Captain Hammer. - 26/02/2011 03:47:52 AM 808 Views
Re: And I'll be Captain Hammer. - 26/02/2011 04:43:23 AM 837 Views
Fox and Ravens has been Lynched *Twilight Pending* *NM* - 26/02/2011 05:02:14 AM 411 Views
Wow. Way to go team. Sorry I wasn't here. *NM* - 26/02/2011 05:38:05 AM 410 Views
Twilight - 26/02/2011 05:40:22 AM 860 Views
Has anyone played the card game 'Bang'? - 27/02/2011 08:05:00 PM 765 Views
Never heard of it *NM* - 27/02/2011 08:49:58 PM 393 Views
Never played it but I've heard of it *NM* - 27/02/2011 10:45:38 PM 411 Views
I've never even heard of it. And will the goddess kill us for talking? *NM* - 27/02/2011 11:04:47 PM 371 Views
I'll have mercy as long as you're not talking about the game. - 27/02/2011 11:36:00 PM 737 Views
Hehe thanks. *NM* - 28/02/2011 12:03:59 AM 370 Views
i've played it a few times - 28/02/2011 04:39:49 PM 744 Views

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