First off, we probably have normal scum and this is then a futile gesture. Second, if we don't and my hypothesis about the lynchees turning into rebels is accurate, we can easily test that via a copping of anyone of them at some point down the road and clean sweep the entire group since we'd know who they were. Third, were that the case we'd have a debalanced game... those happen, and figuring those out has won many a game but if that's the case the game is simply broken and the final outcome really wouldn't reflect on anyone's skill. For all we know a second lynch might kill him for keeps, I also don't like the idea of lynching someone two days in a row for what will amount in both cases to very hazy cases.
Consider the logic there though, if lynching people turned them scum, what would lynching them again do? It wouldn't take very long for a game of that sort to turn into a route by one side or another. If they have a NK - and someone had to hit Praz last night one assumes - then they'd be increasing their number by 1 a day while decreasing ours, that's a much faster mechanic then normal attrition, Day 3 end game. Now if we're in the whole conversion or cult realm, it's just as possible they recruit nobles the way they did in the book... by killing one and replacing him with a shapeshifter. I do think there's some weird mechanics going on in this game and we need to consider option like this, but we're not ready to act on any of them... like that latter option, why assassinate a brand new player if you're seeking to either 1) Flip him to your team, 2) Remove a potential threat... Praz is playing pretty well IMHO but he's not a logical convert if you're say, a single person as cult leader recruiting a team, why not go after a more experienced player? As for #2, NK's don't silence someone, I don't doubt that should FT or I get our vote stripped we'd still be able to effectively lead lynches, so why bother? But I raise this just to point out that lynchee is hardly the only flavor appropriate way to turn people to the dark side, so to speak. Most likely WF is a townie still and Praz was hit for his mine.
Mostly this is just paranoid speculation on my part that I brought up as an example of abnormal mechanics, I've got about half a dozen other major hypothesis that are no more or less likely and that just happened to be the one that came to mind. I wouldn't mind checking it to eliminate it, but it's not worth the effective cost. That one was on my mind because I was wondering if the long night phase might have had a purpose, like allowing a scum team to built from scratch, so someone who just became scum would have time to lay plans and groundwork. But I really doubt that was the case. If a straight no lynch doesn't work for all of you, vote for Hieshyn or figure out who the least active player's been and knock them off... if they do turn scum may as well give them highly inactive players Personally I don't think there's anything else to be accomplished today.
Consider the logic there though, if lynching people turned them scum, what would lynching them again do? It wouldn't take very long for a game of that sort to turn into a route by one side or another. If they have a NK - and someone had to hit Praz last night one assumes - then they'd be increasing their number by 1 a day while decreasing ours, that's a much faster mechanic then normal attrition, Day 3 end game. Now if we're in the whole conversion or cult realm, it's just as possible they recruit nobles the way they did in the book... by killing one and replacing him with a shapeshifter. I do think there's some weird mechanics going on in this game and we need to consider option like this, but we're not ready to act on any of them... like that latter option, why assassinate a brand new player if you're seeking to either 1) Flip him to your team, 2) Remove a potential threat... Praz is playing pretty well IMHO but he's not a logical convert if you're say, a single person as cult leader recruiting a team, why not go after a more experienced player? As for #2, NK's don't silence someone, I don't doubt that should FT or I get our vote stripped we'd still be able to effectively lead lynches, so why bother? But I raise this just to point out that lynchee is hardly the only flavor appropriate way to turn people to the dark side, so to speak. Most likely WF is a townie still and Praz was hit for his mine.
Mostly this is just paranoid speculation on my part that I brought up as an example of abnormal mechanics, I've got about half a dozen other major hypothesis that are no more or less likely and that just happened to be the one that came to mind. I wouldn't mind checking it to eliminate it, but it's not worth the effective cost. That one was on my mind because I was wondering if the long night phase might have had a purpose, like allowing a scum team to built from scratch, so someone who just became scum would have time to lay plans and groundwork. But I really doubt that was the case. If a straight no lynch doesn't work for all of you, vote for Hieshyn or figure out who the least active player's been and knock them off... if they do turn scum may as well give them highly inactive players Personally I don't think there's anything else to be accomplished today.
The intuitive mind is a sacred gift and the rational mind is a faithful servant. We have created a society that honors the servant and has forgotten the gift.
- Albert Einstein
King of Cairhien 20-7-2
Chancellor of the Landsraad, Archduke of Is'Mod
- Albert Einstein
King of Cairhien 20-7-2
Chancellor of the Landsraad, Archduke of Is'Mod
Mafia XXV: Day 2
- 29/01/2012 04:30:46 PM
2785 Views
Poetry Contest Round 2: Acrostic
- 29/01/2012 04:35:41 PM
1671 Views
Acrostic? *NM*
- 29/01/2012 08:00:23 PM
968 Views
The first letter of each line makes either a word or phrase. *NM*
- 29/01/2012 11:31:56 PM
773 Views
So are Praz and White Flame still around? Can they talk? *NM*
- 30/01/2012 12:47:08 AM
1054 Views
Yep
- 30/01/2012 02:20:09 PM
1483 Views
Do you get a vote? *NM*
- 30/01/2012 02:27:26 PM
980 Views
Re: Do you get a vote?
- 30/01/2012 07:27:19 PM
1330 Views
I seem to recall that you can purchase obligators with Atium.
- 30/01/2012 10:53:36 PM
1592 Views
AFAIK, I'm still here and good to go.
- 30/01/2012 10:14:11 PM
1538 Views
No night messages or anything? I guess that's to be expected
- 31/01/2012 03:48:58 AM
1612 Views
I suppose this won't hurt to say: I was a judge of the poetry contest.
- 31/01/2012 04:18:42 AM
1427 Views
Judged as well- sounds like most if not all of us did
- 01/02/2012 01:53:36 PM
1600 Views
Actually I think we should get a list of everyone who entered or didn't
- 01/02/2012 03:27:36 PM
1517 Views
****Follow up**** (Table)
- 02/02/2012 04:24:30 PM
1547 Views
I'm just going to say I highly doubt the contest has anything to do with anything.
- 03/02/2012 12:29:32 AM
1549 Views
Hieshyn, Stephen, I'd really like your answers on this
- 04/02/2012 08:14:10 PM
1584 Views
I gave my response
- 05/02/2012 04:59:28 PM
1469 Views
D'oh! Sorry, Vote: Hieshyn
- 05/02/2012 05:01:26 PM
1305 Views
You want to lynch him?
- 05/02/2012 06:55:12 PM
1442 Views
If he doesn't answer up, but we may as well move on
- 05/02/2012 07:50:02 PM
1523 Views
Hm, ok
- 06/02/2012 01:21:00 AM
1548 Views
Okay
- 06/02/2012 02:07:01 AM
1554 Views
Re: Okay
- 06/02/2012 03:32:36 AM
1530 Views
the 3 was a mistake
- 06/02/2012 06:12:48 PM
1520 Views
We need you to verify all 4 then
- 06/02/2012 08:35:18 PM
1471 Views
Re: We need you to verify all 4 then
- 06/02/2012 11:25:34 PM
1533 Views
Re: We need you to verify all 4 then
- 07/02/2012 04:03:57 AM
1704 Views
Re: We need you to verify all 4 then
- 07/02/2012 08:03:40 PM
1475 Views
Thanks, one was enough
- 07/02/2012 09:43:41 PM
1495 Views
- 07/02/2012 09:43:41 PM
1495 Views
Day 2 Auctions
- 05/02/2012 10:37:13 PM
1503 Views
I made individual auction threads, because I'm OCD that way
*NM*
- 06/02/2012 02:03:34 PM
1038 Views
*NM*
- 06/02/2012 02:03:34 PM
1038 Views
Iron Mine: .1 *NM*
- 06/02/2012 02:00:12 PM
985 Views
Mine .2 *NM*
- 06/02/2012 03:20:35 PM
971 Views
Mine 0.4 *NM*
- 12/02/2012 04:55:22 AM
945 Views
Mine 0.5 *NM*
- 13/02/2012 08:45:51 PM
960 Views
Mine 0.81 *NM*
- 13/02/2012 09:13:56 PM
856 Views
Mine 0.9 *NM*
- 13/02/2012 09:14:49 PM
943 Views
Mine 1.17 *NM*
- 13/02/2012 10:09:52 PM
875 Views
Mine 1.2 *NM*
- 14/02/2012 01:17:36 AM
979 Views
Mine 1.26 *NM*
- 14/02/2012 01:37:51 AM
949 Views
Mine 1.3 *NM*
- 14/02/2012 03:04:09 AM
919 Views
Mine 1.4 *NM*
- 14/02/2012 04:00:17 AM
1007 Views
Mine 1.5 *NM*
- 14/02/2012 04:07:58 AM
905 Views
Mine 1.8 *NM*
- 14/02/2012 05:31:38 AM
879 Views
Mine: 2.0 *NM*
- 14/02/2012 05:34:49 AM
904 Views
Shop: .1 *NM*
- 06/02/2012 02:00:55 PM
980 Views
Shop: .28 *NM*
- 06/02/2012 10:38:55 PM
1037 Views
Shop .4
- 07/02/2012 04:16:55 PM
1466 Views
Shop .45 *NM*
- 09/02/2012 05:15:34 AM
972 Views
Shop .5 *NM*
- 09/02/2012 01:33:29 PM
861 Views
Shop .7 *NM*
- 09/02/2012 02:12:49 PM
914 Views
Shop .8 --> I want my freedom =( *NM*
- 09/02/2012 02:42:27 PM
993 Views
Shop .91 *NM*
- 11/02/2012 09:33:23 PM
999 Views
Shop 1.0 *NM*
- 11/02/2012 10:27:12 PM
956 Views
Re: Shop 1.01 *NM*
- 14/02/2012 01:03:41 AM
1010 Views
Shop 1.1 *NM*
- 14/02/2012 01:45:47 AM
981 Views
Shop 1.2 *NM*
- 14/02/2012 04:01:05 AM
928 Views
Shop 1.22 *NM*
- 14/02/2012 04:18:09 AM
898 Views
Shop 1.53 *NM*
- 14/02/2012 05:37:35 AM
931 Views
Shop 1.6 *NM*
- 14/02/2012 02:27:54 PM
843 Views
Shop 1.62 *NM*
- 14/02/2012 06:27:18 PM
979 Views
Shop 2.3 *NM*
- 16/02/2012 12:21:01 AM
940 Views
Shop 2.31 *NM*
- 18/02/2012 05:15:53 PM
887 Views
Shop 2.56578443992021083401 *NM*
- 19/02/2012 03:44:52 AM
970 Views
Shop 2.56578443992021083402
- 19/02/2012 05:38:55 AM
1550 Views
Slave: .1 *NM*
- 06/02/2012 02:01:26 PM
1018 Views
Slave .3 *NM*
- 06/02/2012 03:21:08 PM
988 Views
Slave .35 *NM*
- 06/02/2012 10:38:31 PM
822 Views
Slave .5 *NM*
- 06/02/2012 10:42:16 PM
1040 Views
Slave .81 *NM*
- 07/02/2012 12:19:48 AM
981 Views
Well, now you're just being a jerk
. Slave: 1 *NM*
- 07/02/2012 08:42:16 PM
1022 Views
. Slave: 1 *NM*
- 07/02/2012 08:42:16 PM
1022 Views
Slave: 1.15 *NM*
- 09/02/2012 02:35:32 PM
989 Views
Slave: 1.3 *NM*
- 11/02/2012 05:42:33 PM
1001 Views
Slave: 1.4 *NM*
- 14/02/2012 03:03:53 AM
917 Views
Slave: 1.5 *NM*
- 14/02/2012 03:57:59 AM
979 Views
Slave: 1.6 *NM*
- 14/02/2012 04:07:33 AM
946 Views
Slave: 1.75 *NM*
- 14/02/2012 05:35:34 AM
942 Views
Slave: 2.0 *NM*
- 14/02/2012 05:36:14 AM
921 Views
I think we're hammered *NM*
- 14/02/2012 05:40:36 AM
899 Views
Slave: 2.1 *NM*
- 14/02/2012 02:28:24 PM
992 Views
Slave: 2.2 *NM*
- 14/02/2012 04:51:40 PM
921 Views
Slave: 2.3 I'm curious about those extra actions, dammit! *NM*
- 14/02/2012 07:53:03 PM
866 Views
Slave 2.4... what extra actions?
- 15/02/2012 12:38:36 AM
1310 Views
Slave 2.5 well, "other potential effects," then
- 15/02/2012 03:50:54 AM
1335 Views
Slave: 2.51
- 21/02/2012 11:18:02 PM
1566 Views
Slave: 2.6- don't you want to be slave-buddies?
- 24/02/2012 04:30:54 PM
1364 Views
Slave: 2.7 you have no idea how ironic that is
*NM*
- 02/03/2012 02:50:25 AM
879 Views
*NM*
- 02/03/2012 02:50:25 AM
879 Views
Slave: 2.8 the only way I'll know is with a slave! *NM*
- 03/03/2012 12:29:47 AM
878 Views
Slave: 2.9 but I think Stephen already hammered
*NM*
- 03/03/2012 12:31:13 AM
962 Views
*NM*
- 03/03/2012 12:31:13 AM
962 Views
Slave: 3.0 yeah, I'm on my phone, so I bid before seeing. And am bidding now just in case! *NM*
- 03/03/2012 02:41:31 AM
815 Views
Tin Misting: .1 *NM*
- 06/02/2012 02:02:48 PM
1003 Views
Tin Misting: .2 *NM*
- 09/02/2012 04:36:38 AM
1004 Views
Tin Misting: .201 *NM*
- 13/02/2012 09:16:03 PM
938 Views
Re: Tin Misting: .202 *NM*
- 14/02/2012 01:04:35 AM
1044 Views
Tin Misting: .4 *NM*
- 14/02/2012 03:58:52 AM
950 Views
Yes, I will. Tin Misting : .5 *NM*
- 14/02/2012 04:15:15 AM
1016 Views
Tin Misting : .7 *NM*
- 14/02/2012 02:28:47 PM
911 Views
Tin Misting : .8 *NM*
- 14/02/2012 02:43:32 PM
983 Views
Tin Misting : .9 *NM*
- 14/02/2012 07:53:48 PM
837 Views
Tin Misting : .91 *NM*
- 18/02/2012 05:14:15 PM
1056 Views
Tin Misting : .95 *NM*
- 24/02/2012 04:31:03 PM
845 Views
No posts and no beer make beetnemesis something something
- 10/02/2012 03:07:53 PM
1679 Views
I'd have no problem - at all - with lynching Hieshyn.
- 10/02/2012 06:55:30 PM
1347 Views
I say we go for it
- 11/02/2012 04:57:52 PM
1529 Views
I expect him to get modkilled for inactivity.
- 11/02/2012 06:18:41 PM
1614 Views
Okay I guess I might as well say what I did last night...
- 10/02/2012 08:14:46 PM
1524 Views
Re: Okay I guess I might as well say what I did last night...
- 11/02/2012 01:57:48 PM
1531 Views
It doesn't implicate anyone...
- 11/02/2012 06:05:36 PM
1525 Views
Hmm
- 11/02/2012 06:22:31 PM
1485 Views
Erm... what is this about?
- 11/02/2012 06:24:42 PM
1488 Views
Nothing was happening...we needed information...
- 11/02/2012 10:36:21 PM
1395 Views
Hmm.
- 12/02/2012 03:04:00 AM
1600 Views
I didn't get anything
- 12/02/2012 04:54:53 AM
1522 Views
So neither of you got any flavour text regarding your night action/being targeted by a night action?
- 12/02/2012 05:38:53 AM
1458 Views
I got nothing.
- 12/02/2012 05:43:52 AM
1526 Views
^^OK yeah, so
- 13/02/2012 02:18:41 AM
1474 Views
Re: ^^OK yeah, so
- 13/02/2012 02:48:09 AM
1558 Views
Hah, I think it's funny that we didn't confirm until right now who was NK'd
- 13/02/2012 03:49:30 AM
1464 Views
I'd actually assumed this was the meaning.
- 13/02/2012 05:15:41 AM
1559 Views
But I soothed him into inactivity.
- 13/02/2012 08:42:51 PM
1459 Views
Right
- 13/02/2012 09:13:21 PM
1443 Views
ooh so you were roleblocked AND nightkilled? *NM*
- 14/02/2012 09:14:07 PM
1016 Views
Mob justice or get off the pot
- 13/02/2012 02:18:57 PM
1537 Views
Re: Mob justice or get off the pot
- 14/02/2012 01:47:36 AM
1519 Views
Cool. Vote: Hieshyn *NM*
- 14/02/2012 03:54:36 AM
836 Views
Hmmm. . . . .
- 14/02/2012 05:16:41 AM
1564 Views
This kinda sums up the impression i"m getting reading through these.
- 14/02/2012 09:43:13 PM
1543 Views
Re: This kinda sums up the impression i"m getting reading through these.
- 14/02/2012 10:14:04 PM
1502 Views
Votes?
- 14/02/2012 05:45:22 AM
1437 Views
Technically, that's only 4 real votes, unless some people have extras. *NM*
- 14/02/2012 05:46:43 AM
941 Views
Sorry, my real life was incredibly busy
- 14/02/2012 09:29:53 PM
1606 Views
Unvote: Hieshyn... now we get to track down who was lying
- 15/02/2012 12:34:25 AM
1631 Views
That's pretty useless...
- 15/02/2012 01:36:14 AM
1434 Views
OK so I'm guessing you want me to encode shit
- 16/02/2012 12:19:22 AM
1549 Views
Nope, no encoding. I'll explain:
- 16/02/2012 01:17:58 AM
1379 Views
Wound, Luthadel, Mistborn, wood *NM*
- 17/02/2012 11:51:56 PM
918 Views
Heh, everybody uses 'Wood'
- 19/02/2012 05:11:57 AM
1595 Views
How much trouble would I be in if all the poems were here in full?
- 19/02/2012 11:01:24 PM
1609 Views
Probably only for modquoting, I think.
- 20/02/2012 05:11:51 AM
1467 Views
Sorry I disappeared for a bit there and am still semi-RBIRL
- 21/02/2012 04:24:32 AM
1452 Views
I explicitly said during Day 1 I have never read the series
- 21/02/2012 06:43:49 PM
1487 Views
So I suppose what I'm trying to say
- 21/02/2012 07:37:18 PM
1671 Views
Ha, let's lynch Stephen
- 21/02/2012 10:43:11 PM
1426 Views
I don't know
- 21/02/2012 11:11:58 PM
1462 Views
No reason for what now?
- 22/02/2012 11:39:27 PM
1862 Views
As for this...
- 23/02/2012 10:05:52 AM
1497 Views
Just because F-T says he isn't guilty doesn't mean he isn't
- 22/02/2012 11:53:07 PM
1705 Views
Yes, this has been brought up
- 23/02/2012 09:18:00 AM
1500 Views
Upon reading the poems initially...
- 23/02/2012 03:00:11 PM
1563 Views
Re: Upon reading the poems initially...
- 23/02/2012 03:07:46 PM
1494 Views
If it was written by scum, I doubt they knew that everyone would get to read it.
- 23/02/2012 05:35:07 PM
1792 Views
If it was written by scum, I doubt they knew that everyone would get to read it.
- 23/02/2012 05:35:09 PM
1743 Views
Re: Upon reading the poems initially...
- 23/02/2012 06:06:29 PM
1436 Views
At this pointit seems unlikely, since theylied about it.
- 23/02/2012 06:40:34 PM
1474 Views
True.
- 23/02/2012 11:02:24 PM
1489 Views
That's possible, in which case I still think he's scum. Just not lynchable scum
.
- 24/02/2012 02:39:44 AM
1583 Views
.
- 24/02/2012 02:39:44 AM
1583 Views
Hey Lord Ruler
- 21/02/2012 07:14:01 PM
1442 Views
Ya know, I'm probably going to regret suggesting this but...
- 23/02/2012 07:03:59 PM
1523 Views
What exactly do we have to gain from a no-lynch?
- 23/02/2012 08:32:31 PM
1752 Views
Mostly just an end to the day
- 23/02/2012 09:42:18 PM
1493 Views
You raise an intriguing question.
- 24/02/2012 02:46:57 AM
1539 Views
Re: You raise an intriguing question.
- 24/02/2012 10:26:21 AM
1761 Views
Re: You raise an intriguing question.
- 24/02/2012 12:27:01 PM
1584 Views
Re: You raise an intriguing question.
- 24/02/2012 08:06:49 PM
1288 Views
Re: You raise an intriguing question.
- 24/02/2012 08:16:28 PM
1512 Views
... *NM*
- 25/02/2012 02:05:00 AM
980 Views
Vote: ? *NM*
- 26/02/2012 07:52:49 PM
966 Views
You are trying to vote for yourself? *NM*
- 26/02/2012 09:44:09 PM
943 Views
Yes. I was bored. No one had posted in a long time. Thus. Sorry. *NM*
- 26/02/2012 09:50:25 PM
983 Views
Right, get a move on people.
- 28/02/2012 08:22:51 AM
1491 Views
I don't think we can re-lynch White Flame, can we? *NM*
- 28/02/2012 03:04:41 PM
982 Views
We'll see. Vote: White Flame *NM*
- 28/02/2012 03:26:30 PM
866 Views
This isn't a great idea for experimentation
- 28/02/2012 07:10:32 PM
1611 Views
No new ideas so let's lynch the guy who was quiet for two weeks and came back with a vengence
- 02/03/2012 12:47:55 AM
1873 Views
I'm sorry.
- 02/03/2012 01:53:03 AM
1497 Views
This is exactly the problem I have with Mafia in general (OOC)
- 02/03/2012 02:06:17 AM
1960 Views
At my count (Votes)
- 02/03/2012 02:13:56 AM
1846 Views
Oh, and Fox and Ravens voted for Whiteflame *NM*
- 02/03/2012 02:14:59 AM
1113 Views
Can you make a case on anyone else?
- 02/03/2012 03:36:28 AM
1417 Views
Vote: Hieshyn
- 02/03/2012 06:50:08 PM
1853 Views
You're still not dead, Yuna unvoted you an hour ago
- 02/03/2012 07:18:50 PM
1599 Views
- 02/03/2012 07:18:50 PM
1599 Views
son of a bitch i never get to hammer
*NM*
- 03/03/2012 12:31:10 AM
1170 Views
*NM*
- 03/03/2012 12:31:10 AM
1170 Views
Well, to save time since you're not really dead-dead, town or scum? *NM*
- 03/03/2012 12:32:04 AM
961 Views
Day 2 has ended.
- 05/03/2012 10:30:17 PM
1289 Views
New job?
- 06/03/2012 12:08:53 AM
1412 Views
So am I now dead-dead in this deathless game of mafia? *NM*
- 08/03/2012 12:58:57 AM
1149 Views
That's the same PM WF got, he's still in, you probably will be too *NM*
- 08/03/2012 05:33:25 AM
1026 Views
I'm thinking about calling this one, either way though I'm out.
- 02/04/2012 01:26:30 AM
1611 Views
Yeah, i've been tempted to say I'm out for a while too.
- 03/04/2012 02:01:52 AM
1433 Views
My friend just got a programming job in which the whole company plays Diplomacy
- 03/04/2012 02:17:41 AM
1259 Views
Re: My friend just got a programming job in which the whole company plays Diplomacy
- 03/04/2012 03:34:47 AM
1540 Views
Yeah, I only have the barest hints, but I got the impression that it could be done online *NM*
- 03/04/2012 02:44:41 PM
1043 Views
If rana doesn't think a backup mod would work, then...
- 03/04/2012 02:18:51 AM
1498 Views
Yeah
- 03/04/2012 04:41:08 AM
1466 Views
Me too.
- 03/04/2012 06:39:40 AM
1449 Views
Heh
- 05/04/2012 01:28:24 AM
1467 Views
Looks good, but I can't fully judge without knowing the lore behind it
.
- 05/04/2012 07:05:08 AM
1590 Views
.
- 05/04/2012 07:05:08 AM
1590 Views
me too, its allright to post it now? *NM*
- 05/04/2012 08:19:25 PM
912 Views
Yeah, I mean it's not like you're gonna get modkilled, right? *NM*
- 05/04/2012 08:54:48 PM
1019 Views
Yeah...
- 08/04/2012 04:49:10 AM
1455 Views
For the record, I was scum
- 09/04/2012 03:33:12 PM
1788 Views
Re: For the record, I was scum
- 10/04/2012 04:19:20 AM
1491 Views

*NM*
it. Vote: Hieshyn