You are mainly right, I guess.

They all benefit from the pattern. Elayne could have died many times in her battle for the Crown, and seemed to use Min's viewing as a statement "I cannot die." CF Clare, who has similar certainty. Each assumption is probably wrong.

Elayne does not strike me as bright. She is better educated than most, and this helps. But knowledge is not intelligence. She certainly tries hard, means well and gets there in the end. But she is no Moiraine.

And the whole "Rand cannot give me the Lion Throne" is a bit much. Firstly, whoever gets it does so because of him. He got rid of Rahvin. Secondly, TG is coming, so it seems like fiddling when Rome is about to burn.

Still, I do love her. All the more in HP's body. The point being that even the DO himself in HP would be fine by me. (In your case, DO in Galadriel? I can do that too.)

Padme is very switched on. Naivete comes from believing that the enemy follows rules. In SW, all that "Imperial senate" blabber while the Sith rapidly sets the galaxy upon itself. I see Egwene's views on Gawyn, Rand, Siuan as naive and risky.

Also, Padme is a genuine warrior, as is Egwene. Elayne-Clare (E-Clare?) are effective, but not stellar.