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Yes, we can. Dreaded Anomaly Send a noteboard - 04/12/2010 06:04:48 PM
The universe could be full of elements that have similar properties that we haven't discovered yet.


The problem with this sort of statement is that your use of "could" is qualitative, not quantitative. Things are only worth considering in proportion to how probable they are, and that probability can be quantitatively determined from Bayes' Theorem, based on the information we do have (the prior probability). Just saying "X could be true" is virtually meaningless, because what really matters is if X is likely to be true. In this case, the scenario you propose is extremely unlikely, because we understand not only the complete periodic table of elements up through element 118 (i.e. there are no gaps), but also the subatomic makeup of those elements in terms of electrons, protons, and neutrons, the latter two being made up of quarks and gluons. Given all of this information, the domain of possibility for some nebulous alternatives with "similar properties" is highly restricted.

It is the claim that we "know" things like that that bothers me. It wouldn't bother me a bit if they just said that according to what we do know the most likely elements are hydrogen and helium.


That such a claim bothers you is a problem with you, not a problem with the claim. The claim is perfectly legitimate and in line with every other claim of scientific knowledge. There are standards for evidence that rule out reasonable doubt and alternatives, and the standards have been met in this case. Your suggestion of "according to what we do know, the most likely..." is what we mean when we say "we know" in any case of knowledge. For some reason, you feel more confident in other domains of evidence than in this one, but again, that's not the evidence's problem.
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More Important Than Soccer: Completely new type of DNA discovered - 02/12/2010 04:48:51 PM 1676 Views
that is TOTALLY inappropriate - 02/12/2010 04:58:47 PM 883 Views
Of course there is... - 02/12/2010 05:02:30 PM 891 Views
I saw, I'm just not in the proper habit yet - 02/12/2010 05:35:33 PM 997 Views
Crazy awesome. - 02/12/2010 05:07:49 PM 949 Views
Re: Crazy awesome. - 02/12/2010 10:32:56 PM 798 Views
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lol, or maybe not - 09/12/2010 07:49:19 PM 1162 Views
So the movie Evolution was real! - 02/12/2010 05:24:16 PM 883 Views
Nice reference, but not quite. - 02/12/2010 10:32:04 PM 827 Views
Thanks for clearing that up - 02/12/2010 11:23:36 PM 935 Views
Wow. *NM* - 02/12/2010 05:32:08 PM 498 Views
I love how it was found in a massively polluted lake - 02/12/2010 05:35:22 PM 821 Views
The answer to your question is: Pretty damn cool. *NM* - 02/12/2010 05:33:54 PM 482 Views
Goddamnit I am SO PISSED that I have a meeting at 2!!! - 02/12/2010 05:50:21 PM 782 Views
I won't pretend I know enough about biology to understand the impact of this - 02/12/2010 06:26:24 PM 940 Views
It's like finding a type of rock that eats laughter - 02/12/2010 06:51:15 PM 790 Views
I think I had an ex once that was made of arsenic. *NM* - 02/12/2010 07:10:57 PM 451 Views
Maris? *NM* - 02/12/2010 07:33:14 PM 493 Views
Well you are made of poison, so that makes sense. *NM* - 02/12/2010 07:39:09 PM 453 Views
Curse you, poetic justice! Curse you! - 04/12/2010 03:38:37 AM 975 Views
So, is it an alien? - 02/12/2010 07:19:49 PM 933 Views
I don't see why it couldn't be natural - 02/12/2010 07:22:49 PM 836 Views
They haven't mentioned anything saying it's not from Earth, I think - 02/12/2010 08:03:44 PM 951 Views
It was funded by NASA, I think - 02/12/2010 08:15:15 PM 972 Views
lols. *NM* - 02/12/2010 08:17:40 PM 467 Views
The bacteria in question is part of a known lineage - 02/12/2010 08:07:34 PM 1166 Views
see my note below - 02/12/2010 08:13:35 PM 945 Views
Maybe - 02/12/2010 08:23:16 PM 871 Views
it could be there are some in the lake naturally - 02/12/2010 09:00:42 PM 789 Views
Huh! I must have missed that part. *NM* - 02/12/2010 09:05:15 PM 453 Views
No it isn't! - 02/12/2010 07:39:34 PM 948 Views
I really didn't understand that, either. - 04/12/2010 10:44:51 AM 962 Views
So, apparently, this bacteria doesn't use arsneic for its DNA in its natural state? - 02/12/2010 08:06:02 PM 840 Views
While awesome, it's a bit of a problem. - 02/12/2010 09:04:22 PM 840 Views
Re: While awesome, it's a bit of a problem. - 02/12/2010 10:34:34 PM 776 Views
It's interesting, but not completely shocking - 02/12/2010 08:08:46 PM 1018 Views
I don't understand why this is such a big deal. It always seemed common sense to me that there are - 02/12/2010 10:40:22 PM 987 Views
It's much more than an educated guess. - 02/12/2010 11:59:18 PM 1020 Views
You can't "know" from this distance. - 03/12/2010 03:13:05 AM 762 Views
Why not? - 03/12/2010 04:42:15 AM 1025 Views
obviously you have not learned to look at the back label on the car *NM* - 04/12/2010 07:04:42 PM 424 Views
Yes, we can. - 04/12/2010 06:04:48 PM 1189 Views
The problem probably is with me. - 04/12/2010 08:00:56 PM 836 Views
No, they aren't. - 04/12/2010 10:01:25 PM 850 Views
Depends on how you view evidence, no? - 05/12/2010 04:50:11 AM 1089 Views
There are correct and incorrect ways to view evidence. - 05/12/2010 05:42:41 AM 793 Views
Are you baiting me to bait you? - 05/12/2010 06:41:49 AM 1023 Views
I'm just carrying on a conversation. - 05/12/2010 07:26:39 AM 1026 Views
Re: I'm just carrying on a conversation. - 05/12/2010 07:08:04 PM 810 Views
Re: I'm just carrying on a conversation. - 05/12/2010 07:56:43 PM 1001 Views
Re: I'm just carrying on a conversation. - 06/12/2010 03:15:37 AM 961 Views
Re: I'm just carrying on a conversation. - 06/12/2010 09:18:51 PM 873 Views
Okay. - 06/12/2010 11:22:44 PM 1040 Views
I watched that and was very intrigued - 03/12/2010 01:31:29 AM 712 Views
It's neat, but I object to the circus act - 03/12/2010 02:52:46 AM 969 Views
yah, and it's kind of shooting themselves in the foot anyways - 03/12/2010 09:10:21 AM 838 Views
xkcd - 03/12/2010 10:35:24 AM 1000 Views

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