Active Users:191 Time:17/05/2024 12:16:17 PM
While I agree with the overall point that the Republican party isn't done by any means snoopcester Send a noteboard - 08/11/2012 11:53:12 PM
Obama got re-elected by the skin of his teeth


If I remember correctly Nate Silver called it as around an 80% chance of him getting re-elected, which suggests that statistically it was fairly comfortable? (I'm assuming Silver is pretty reliable on this as he seems to have got things right more often than anyone else in making calls - suggests he knows onions).

Plus the state he got the lowest margin of victory, out of the states he had to win, he got just under 5%, which isn't that uncomfortable. That also leaves him other states in hand he could have won to get the 270.
*MySmiley*

Robert Graves "There is no money in poetry, but then there is no poetry in money, either."

Henning Mankell "We must defend the open society, because if we start locking our doors, if we let fear decide, the person who committed the act of terror will win"
Reply to message
What next for Romney and the Republican party? - 07/11/2012 03:51:50 PM 888 Views
In my view, more moderation is needed. - 07/11/2012 04:17:05 PM 401 Views
Libertarian is the way to go IMO. - 07/11/2012 05:19:29 PM 365 Views
Not yet. - 07/11/2012 06:55:19 PM 515 Views
I am no expert, but I think Romney is done. - 07/11/2012 07:00:33 PM 487 Views
I'd say they're pretty much done - 07/11/2012 07:54:44 PM 371 Views
I'm not sure about that. - 07/11/2012 08:04:33 PM 502 Views
Again, the numbers you cited will continue to shrink every year. - 07/11/2012 08:25:21 PM 716 Views
Well Romney is retiring but no the GOP is hardly 'done' - 08/11/2012 12:51:44 AM 340 Views
I do hope the Republican party have the same lax attitude, I love seeing them lose *NM* - 08/11/2012 12:46:32 PM 176 Views
I imagine lots of idiots feel the same way on both sides about both parties *NM* - 08/11/2012 11:05:29 PM 195 Views
If you're relying on the democrats crashing and burning - 09/11/2012 02:45:41 PM 379 Views
the dems played the "wait for the repubs to crash and burn" strategy and it worked out ok this year - 09/11/2012 05:01:53 PM 460 Views
Off topic, but is your Shift key broken? - 09/11/2012 05:47:12 PM 352 Views
I don't think I've ever seen him use capitalization. *NM* - 09/11/2012 07:00:26 PM 339 Views
do you have similar problems when talking to people with weird hair color or clothes IRL? - 09/11/2012 07:09:24 PM 327 Views
I think he was asking why you do it *NM* - 09/11/2012 07:15:27 PM 183 Views
The Dems learned their lesson from the Gore campaign - 09/11/2012 06:25:23 PM 436 Views
i beg to differ - 09/11/2012 07:22:40 PM 307 Views
The facts speak for themselves - 09/11/2012 07:46:20 PM 456 Views
Re: The facts speak for themselves - 11/11/2012 01:13:05 AM 415 Views
I've also got a question for you - 11/11/2012 02:16:07 PM 334 Views
Re: I've also got a question for you - 11/11/2012 04:51:55 PM 372 Views
Re: I've also got a question for you - 11/11/2012 05:48:52 PM 482 Views
I think you were taking that statement rather literally - 11/11/2012 07:36:14 PM 374 Views
Oh, I can absolutely count on them crahsing and burning, that's a given, happens to both regularly *NM* - 09/11/2012 06:28:51 PM 234 Views
You can't count on exploiting that - 09/11/2012 06:39:47 PM 489 Views
'Mistakes' is subjective, sometimes you have to play your hand - 11/11/2012 01:09:31 AM 350 Views
i think you've hit on a major point here - 11/11/2012 02:08:50 PM 403 Views
It's a matter of perspective - 11/11/2012 05:19:13 PM 514 Views
how are 300+ EVs "the skin of his teeth"? - 08/11/2012 05:46:51 PM 358 Views
Because he barely won them? *NM* - 08/11/2012 11:06:14 PM 166 Views
only OH, NC and FL are within 2% margin, i'd hardly call that "barely won" - 08/11/2012 11:25:54 PM 368 Views
Which is less than Bush 2, Clinton, Reagan, or Nixon? - 09/11/2012 12:26:51 AM 332 Views
i never claimed a death knell for the GOP - 09/11/2012 12:32:00 AM 424 Views
What makes you think Hillary won't be running? - 08/11/2012 06:07:38 PM 351 Views
I won't totally rule it out but I don't see it in the cards - 08/11/2012 11:08:12 PM 340 Views
While I agree with the overall point that the Republican party isn't done by any means - 08/11/2012 11:53:12 PM 301 Views

Reply to Message