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As with most analysis at the Guardian, I think it's wrong. Tom Send a noteboard - 02/03/2014 05:00:20 PM

Granted, that was more reasoned than the usual batshit crazy analyses that they post to support their radical left-wing agenda. However, I think that it is wrong in one fundamental respect: there is no reason for the US to waste time and resources fighting for influence in Eastern Europe with anyone. If the EU cares, okay, fine, run with it, but why should we care? Russia is acting within the old Soviet borders, which frankly shouldn't concern us much (unless it were to intervene in the Baltics, which is more problematic for lots and lots of reasons I don't need to remind you about). Let's not forget that the agreements that we made back in the early 1990s promised that NATO wouldn't expand into the former Soviet Union, that the US wouldn't position troops or assets farther East than they already were and that we wouldn't destabilize Russia. The West broke all of those promises, and it's clear that the West was supporting the Euromaidan people (though of course we said "fuck the EU", per Victoria Nuland).

The response from Russia is heavy-handed, yes, but has Russia ever responded in a subtle fashion?

What I believe would happen if the Russian intervention went beyond Crimea and led to a chilling of relations is that the US will have a choice: will the US and EU cut themselves off, through sanctions, from a growing list of countries that could theoretically form an alternative market (Russia, China, Iran, lots of third world countries that wouldn't sign on to Western sanctions like India, Indonesia, the UAE, African countries), or do we simply recognize that we have moved from the days of "the sole superpower" to a new "great powers" sort of arrangement?

If the situation goes in the direction I think it will, it will certainly shake up the existing status quo in the world. The impotence of the UN, long on display, will lead to alternative power structures taking the lead. It may be more dangerous, but it will also probably be much more honest and straightforward, rather than hiding behind the hypocrisy and absurdity of the UN.

Political correctness is the pettiest form of casuistry.

ἡ δὲ κἀκ τριῶν τρυπημάτων ἐργαζομένη ἐνεκάλει τῇ φύσει, δυσφορουμένη, ὅτι δὴ μὴ καὶ τοὺς τιτθοὺς αὐτῇ εὐρύτερον ἢ νῦν εἰσι τρυπώη, ὅπως καὶ ἄλλην ἐνταῦθα μίξιν ἐπιτεχνᾶσθαι δυνατὴ εἴη. – Procopius

Ummaka qinnassa nīk!

*MySmiley*
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Don't Make me Laugh, Mr. Obama - 01/03/2014 03:14:50 AM 1592 Views
i like obama and even i think that was dumb of him. *NM* - 01/03/2014 05:24:39 AM 605 Views
yep yep. why do you hate on Kerry, though ? *NM* - 01/03/2014 08:11:52 AM 499 Views
He's a useless asshat. *NM* - 01/03/2014 04:14:54 PM 522 Views
He's not the only lame duck in this, though. - 01/03/2014 05:41:01 PM 1154 Views
It's a little more complicated than that, I think. - 01/03/2014 07:42:20 PM 1036 Views
It's always more complicated... - 01/03/2014 08:57:54 PM 995 Views
Yes yes yes. This. - 01/03/2014 09:11:19 PM 917 Views
Well, we split on that then - I most certainly do not support such an annexation. - 01/03/2014 10:25:48 PM 931 Views
Any reason you keep misspelling Sevastopol? - 02/03/2014 12:52:01 AM 1129 Views
You write "the Ukraine", while calling me old-fashioned? - 02/03/2014 01:57:58 AM 984 Views
Yes. Dropping "the" is an anti-Russian move. It will always be the Ukraine. - 02/03/2014 02:58:32 AM 1003 Views
Just because there's an article in Russian doesn't mean there has to be one in English. - 02/03/2014 11:21:25 AM 961 Views
I say the Sudan and the Congo. - 02/03/2014 02:17:33 PM 992 Views
You do? Why? - 02/03/2014 03:21:56 PM 1082 Views
As with most analysis at the Guardian, I think it's wrong. - 02/03/2014 05:00:20 PM 982 Views
its going to be hard to find support from the West - 01/03/2014 06:37:15 PM 949 Views
Obama is weak and is viewed as a joke by most of the world. - 03/03/2014 04:12:25 PM 862 Views
Don't worry, not as much as the ape before him *NM* - 04/03/2014 03:23:14 PM 522 Views
So what's your plan of action? - 03/03/2014 11:25:59 PM 935 Views
My plan of action is to let Putin have Ukraine. We have no interests there. *NM* - 04/03/2014 01:29:45 AM 536 Views
Ehem. Why are you being anti-Russian? ;-) - 04/03/2014 01:25:37 PM 1006 Views
Of course we do - 04/03/2014 04:57:09 PM 957 Views
Wrong. - 04/03/2014 06:04:31 PM 879 Views
that ignores the point - 06/03/2014 02:01:09 PM 1145 Views
No, it doesn't. - 06/03/2014 02:57:16 PM 943 Views
Re: No, it doesn't. - 06/03/2014 06:22:32 PM 979 Views
Yes, the US violated the agreement. - 06/03/2014 07:27:23 PM 1048 Views
I have answered your question but you have still refused to answer my point - 07/03/2014 01:48:53 PM 951 Views
You assume that the Ukraine's borders should be inviolate. - 09/03/2014 05:56:45 PM 988 Views
Russia signed an agreement to not violate those borders - 10/03/2014 12:18:37 PM 927 Views
Oh, and now the West is talking about $15 billion in loans for Ukraine. - 05/03/2014 11:41:12 PM 914 Views
And you see that as the same thing as sending in troops? - 06/03/2014 01:37:28 PM 897 Views
I think you've listened to too much propaganda from the 1990s. - 06/03/2014 03:06:18 PM 884 Views
More like the 80s - 07/03/2014 01:50:43 PM 938 Views
So I guess traveling to Russia extensively is of no value. - 09/03/2014 05:58:00 PM 883 Views
in this case no it doesn't. - 10/03/2014 12:20:13 PM 881 Views
The junk they used in Chechnya was laughable... - 16/03/2014 01:51:28 AM 1082 Views
Its a great time to throw some missiles in Poland - 04/03/2014 03:43:24 AM 998 Views
Call me crazy, but I like this idea! - 04/03/2014 12:31:07 PM 1078 Views
There are no longer two super powers *NM* - 04/03/2014 04:40:16 PM 515 Views
Under Obama, it would seem there are none. *NM* - 04/03/2014 06:15:27 PM 487 Views
at Poland *NM* - 04/03/2014 08:09:14 PM 499 Views
In case you're not familiar with BMD - 04/03/2014 11:13:06 PM 960 Views
I know what you're talking about, I was just kidding around *NM* - 04/03/2014 11:41:20 PM 512 Views
*NM* - 05/03/2014 12:38:54 AM 511 Views
*NM* - 05/03/2014 01:00:57 AM 504 Views
Ron Paul, interestingly enough, agrees with me. - 04/03/2014 02:38:44 PM 903 Views

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