Trump will "win" if he looks more or less Presidential and doesn't say anything incredibly stupid. Trump loses if he has a major gaffe or betrays complete ignorance while pretending to know something (i.e., something like "I've been to all the countries in Antarctica" ).
Also, Hillary can "lose" if she exhibits any health symptoms or seems unlikeable. Hillary "wins" by Trump "losing" and her not "losing".
So the outcomes are:
Hillary wins, Trump loses
Trump wins, Hillary loses
Both lose
My impression is that the likelihood of the various outcomes are as follows:
Hillary win - 30%
Trump win - 40% (it's a lower bar)
Both lose - 30%
Political correctness is the pettiest form of casuistry.
ἡ δὲ κἀκ τριῶν τρυπημάτων ἐργαζομένη ἐνεκάλει τῇ φύσει, δυσφορουμένη, ὅτι δὴ μὴ καὶ τοὺς τιτθοὺς αὐτῇ εὐρύτερον ἢ νῦν εἰσι τρυπώη, ὅπως καὶ ἄλλην ἐνταῦθα μίξιν ἐπιτεχνᾶσθαι δυνατὴ εἴη. – Procopius
Ummaka qinnassa nīk!
*MySmiley*
ἡ δὲ κἀκ τριῶν τρυπημάτων ἐργαζομένη ἐνεκάλει τῇ φύσει, δυσφορουμένη, ὅτι δὴ μὴ καὶ τοὺς τιτθοὺς αὐτῇ εὐρύτερον ἢ νῦν εἰσι τρυπώη, ὅπως καὶ ἄλλην ἐνταῦθα μίξιν ἐπιτεχνᾶσθαι δυνατὴ εἴη. – Procopius
Ummaka qinnassa nīk!
*MySmiley*
So... care to place any bets ? 
- 26/09/2016 01:22:23 PM
1239 Views
- 26/09/2016 01:22:23 PM
1239 Views
I think it's simple
- 26/09/2016 08:06:39 PM
831 Views
Curious what you think the outcome was
- 27/09/2016 08:40:55 PM
992 Views
I think the outcome was inconsequential
- 28/09/2016 05:46:47 AM
782 Views
Trump called to meet the bar I set for him
- 28/09/2016 06:13:37 PM
783 Views
Who exactly did Trump call? *NM*
- 28/09/2016 07:49:10 PM
383 Views
i think it's supposed to be "Trump failed" which is about right for his debate performance Monday *NM*
- 28/09/2016 10:14:35 PM
388 Views
They will both make wish had passed a do over amendment.
- 26/09/2016 09:41:19 PM
773 Views
lots of European democracies require at least 50% turnout
- 27/09/2016 11:58:10 PM
671 Views
We have to do something to fix the primary system are we will never get away from extremists and gri *NM*
- 28/09/2016 06:15:36 PM
356 Views
I bet it's going to be hilarious, and I'm super excited about it.
- 27/09/2016 12:15:15 AM
720 Views
After watching it, I think it's clear that the only loser, was the moderator.
- 28/09/2016 02:40:11 PM
683 Views
trump lost BIGLY last night
- 27/09/2016 11:57:21 PM
727 Views
Clinton could've been frothing at the mouth espousing killing every 3rd puppy and you would say that *NM*
- 28/09/2016 01:02:09 PM
317 Views
at least i could sleep comfortably knowing she has a basic grasp of the English language....
- 28/09/2016 07:36:33 PM
720 Views
..says the man that used "lost bigly" in a sentence... *NM*
- 29/09/2016 02:25:20 PM
353 Views
i'm sorry that you didn't watch the debate, maybe you would have learned something.... *NM*
- 30/09/2016 05:48:14 PM
314 Views
Two Things, Bush 41 (Father Bush) Signed NAFTA not Bill Clinton, Second I am a ....
- 28/09/2016 03:42:33 AM
800 Views
Re: Two Things, Bush 41 (Father Bush) Signed NAFTA not Bill Clinton, Second I am a ....
- 28/09/2016 12:59:51 PM
739 Views
I never could stand her. So needy and self centered. Kermit was the man. *NM*
- 28/09/2016 06:17:33 PM
342 Views
I love Piggy, I love Kermit, I hate them married, they are good some of the time when...
- 28/09/2016 09:27:36 PM
690 Views
The relationship always arranged one sided and a little abusive unlike his relationship with Gonzo
- 29/09/2016 06:14:50 PM
807 Views