I did account for that - Edit 1
Before modification by Floffe at 13/12/2020 07:10:58 AM
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80% of SYMPTOMATIC CASES are fine on their own, but the analysis is that well fewer than half of cases are symptomatic.
80% of SYMPTOMATIC CASES are fine on their own, but the analysis is that well fewer than half of cases are symptomatic.
And mortality isn't at 2%. Not even close. It's 0.5-0.6% based on the most precise information we have. It's triple a bad flu season but it's not 2%. Not even remotely close.
The mortality right now stands at almost 2% dead, out of the number of confirmed cases. 1.83% to be more precise. But then I lowered that by a factor of 10, dropping it to 0.2% for healthy people. That was the mortality which gave 200 000 deaths for the young and healthy, almost as many as the 270 000 yearly deaths below 50.