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Nope Tom Send a noteboard - 13/12/2020 01:22:48 AM

80% of SYMPTOMATIC CASES are fine on their own, but the analysis is that well fewer than half of cases are symptomatic.

And mortality isn't at 2%. Not even close. It's 0.5-0.6% based on the most precise information we have. It's triple a bad flu season but it's not 2%. Not even remotely close.

Political correctness is the pettiest form of casuistry.

ἡ δὲ κἀκ τριῶν τρυπημάτων ἐργαζομένη ἐνεκάλει τῇ φύσει, δυσφορουμένη, ὅτι δὴ μὴ καὶ τοὺς τιτθοὺς αὐτῇ εὐρύτερον ἢ νῦν εἰσι τρυπώη, ὅπως καὶ ἄλλην ἐνταῦθα μίξιν ἐπιτεχνᾶσθαι δυνατὴ εἴη. – Procopius

Ummaka qinnassa nīk!

*MySmiley*
This message last edited by Tom on 13/12/2020 at 01:24:34 AM
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The China Flu isn't nearly as bad as they are making it out to be Cannoli - 11/12/2020 08:54:20 PM 526 Views
Co-morbidities are not just pre-existing conditions Floffe - 11/12/2020 10:08:18 PM 161 Views
Clearly you're better at this than I am... Legolas - 12/12/2020 12:08:29 AM 167 Views
Thank you Floffe - 12/12/2020 07:34:20 AM 129 Views
Probably a combination... fionwe1987 - 12/12/2020 06:08:26 PM 129 Views
I don't get how people can minimize the threat after north Italy. *NM* AgentApple - 12/12/2020 07:40:11 PM 67 Views
Because North Italy has an incredibly high population of the extremely elderly? *NM* Tom - 16/12/2020 03:54:41 AM 68 Views
Also, I'm happy you're feeling better now! *NM* Floffe - 11/12/2020 10:11:15 PM 79 Views
While we are making conclusions from personal anecdotes... Narg - 12/12/2020 02:17:52 AM 150 Views
For the overwhelming majority (>99%) coronavirus is going to be an inconvenience Tom - 12/12/2020 03:46:06 AM 150 Views
That is an exaggeration Floffe - 12/12/2020 08:18:39 AM 180 Views
Nope Tom - 13/12/2020 01:22:48 AM 139 Views
I did account for that Floffe - 13/12/2020 07:04:01 AM 163 Views
Mortality is around 0.6% Tom - 14/12/2020 03:19:46 PM 231 Views
I simply calculated Floffe - 15/12/2020 07:05:19 AM 164 Views
Your calculations are wrong Tom - 16/12/2020 03:49:55 AM 134 Views
It was a very simple model Floffe - 16/12/2020 06:39:37 AM 158 Views
Lies, damned lies, and statistics. damookster - 12/12/2020 05:51:37 AM 179 Views
Yes, arbitrary restrictions are BS Floffe - 12/12/2020 08:45:28 AM 141 Views
On restrictions... fionwe1987 - 12/12/2020 06:21:16 PM 138 Views
Re: On restrictions... AgentApple - 15/12/2020 08:50:38 AM 122 Views
Re: On restrictions... fionwe1987 - 16/12/2020 04:24:08 AM 135 Views
Why is it a false choice ? Isn't lockdown exactly that ? I know the US had some lockdowns *NM* AgentApple - 16/12/2020 07:34:30 AM 68 Views
If all you do is a lockdown, sure fionwe1987 - 17/12/2020 12:35:24 AM 133 Views
I'm not sure I agree but as the song says, I'll let it go *NM* AgentApple - 17/12/2020 07:07:38 AM 62 Views
Calling someone a pussy implies there is no irrevocable change. Roland00 - 12/12/2020 08:23:22 PM 133 Views
A tragedy Cannoli - 12/12/2020 10:25:17 PM 158 Views
Cannoli your metaphor is not very apt Roland00 - 12/12/2020 10:54:18 PM 164 Views
How is the metaphor not apt? Tom - 16/12/2020 03:58:52 AM 140 Views
The metaphor is a pussy! *NM* Roland00 - 16/12/2020 11:48:37 PM 70 Views
If I could attempt to steel-man this argument... entyti - 17/12/2020 07:23:03 PM 149 Views
since we're being nit picky on this analysis.... damookster - 17/12/2020 08:15:00 PM 132 Views
If we are going to get nitpicky and share long conversations Roland00 - 17/12/2020 08:49:18 PM 126 Views
Sure, but... entyti - 17/12/2020 10:56:36 PM 137 Views
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