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This crisis is a no-brainer. ranagrande Send a noteboard - 12/01/2011 03:12:21 PM
We should all be voting Aye.

First of all, bioterrorism is a serious offense, with grave economic and environmental impact, and we cannot allow Sivria's crimes to go unpunished.

Secondly, it's in everyone's best interest anyway.

Obviously, anyone with Agricultural Fiefs is going to want to vote Aye. Anyone without Agricultural Fiefs is also going to want to vote Aye, but that might be less obvious. I shall explain.

A Nay vote nets us all 3000 MS. That's pretty good right?

An Aye vote gets us 2d6 stock. As our illustrious Adjutant General mentioned, the average of 2d6 is 7.

According to the Round schedule presented in the rules, the Crisis will be resolved before the Round's income is distributed, so we'll earn income on that stock. For the average of 7, that will be 700 MS. At the start of Round 3, if you so desired, you could then liquidate your 7 stock shares for 2800 MS. That's 3500 total, 500 MS more than the Aye vote.

If you only get 6 shares of stock, you would get an income of 600 and could then liquidate them for 2400, getting you 3000 MS, which is exactly what you would have gotten with a Nay vote.

The odds of getting a 6 or higher on a roll of 2d6 are 13/18 which is pretty darn good. That will allow you to at least break even, and of course you can get considerably more. If you're lucky enough to get 12 shares of stock, you could earn an income of 1200 and then liquidate for 4800 for a total of 6000, double the payout for a Nay vote.

Or of course, you don't have to liquidate at all. The Nay vote offers a one-time payment, while Aye offers options. You could choose to just keep your stock and enjoy a steady stream of income. Over the long-term, that's going to get you far more than the dirty money that yet another criminal is attempting to bribe us with.
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Dune: Round 2 - 11/01/2011 03:33:07 AM 1622 Views
Crisis - 11/01/2011 03:33:39 AM 1191 Views
Forecast - 11/01/2011 03:34:03 AM 1055 Views
Auction Log and Results - 11/01/2011 03:34:21 AM 1259 Views
Player Vote Tracker - 11/01/2011 03:34:38 AM 1109 Views
Votes! Grand Ball and Chancellor's Challenge have been passed - 11/01/2011 05:06:36 PM 1212 Views
Pirate Vote Tracker - 13/01/2011 07:41:42 PM 1004 Views
Court Gossip Log - 11/01/2011 03:35:11 AM 1249 Views
Incidentally... - 12/01/2011 05:50:01 AM 1357 Views
CHOAM Auction Round 2 Phase 1 - 11/01/2011 03:35:53 AM 1449 Views
E2B - Agricultural Fief - 1 Militia (Min Bid 2000 MS, Inc 50 MS) - 11/01/2011 04:17:53 AM 1311 Views
2000 MS - Edited because of mistype, read 200 MS originally. *NM* - 11/01/2011 11:33:08 PM 791 Views
2050 MS *NM* - 13/01/2011 01:58:12 AM 543 Views
2100 MS *NM* - 13/01/2011 11:38:52 AM 628 Views
EDIT: 2100 MS - Invalid bid, my stupidity - 13/01/2011 11:43:24 AM 1204 Views
Incidentally you could just offer Beet a sum to buy it off of him - 13/01/2011 12:20:31 PM 1139 Views
Wait, what is 9 PM EST time in GMT +2? this one closed before my second bid, right? *NM* - 13/01/2011 11:40:26 AM 559 Views
I checked it. thats 4 AM my time. - 13/01/2011 11:42:50 AM 1138 Views
Ouch - 13/01/2011 12:17:33 PM 1146 Views
Too bad we don't have a chat room- that'd be perfect for outcry *NM* - 13/01/2011 04:47:34 PM 1387 Views
Rich Planet - Parmentier, Min Bid 3000 MS, 50 MS increment - 11/01/2011 04:20:34 AM 1371 Views
3000 MS *NM* - 11/01/2011 02:26:00 PM 608 Views
3100 MS *NM* - 11/01/2011 03:13:03 PM 572 Views
3300 MS *NM* - 11/01/2011 04:00:49 PM 634 Views
3350 MS *NM* - 11/01/2011 10:58:22 PM 581 Views
3400 MS *NM* - 11/01/2011 11:30:49 PM 665 Views
3450 MS *NM* - 12/01/2011 12:50:32 AM 644 Views
Pah, minimum bids. 3600 MS *NM* - 12/01/2011 02:28:44 AM 665 Views
They're pretty abitrary for non-LiqVal items *NM* - 12/01/2011 02:56:49 AM 619 Views
I think he was just Pahing the fact that we're bidding the minimum increments *NM* - 12/01/2011 02:34:42 PM 707 Views
Quite probably - this seems a good point to mentioning Horizontal scroll in bidding wars - 12/01/2011 02:59:56 PM 1121 Views
But I like horizontal scroll! *NM* - 12/01/2011 03:13:41 PM 608 Views
Exactly. I'm trying to destroy the status quo. - 13/01/2011 06:06:18 AM 1162 Views
3650 MS *NM* - 12/01/2011 07:47:15 AM 678 Views
3700 MS *NM* - 12/01/2011 02:33:41 PM 605 Views
3750 MS *NM* - 12/01/2011 04:23:05 PM 619 Views
3850 MS *NM* - 12/01/2011 07:04:46 PM 577 Views
3900 MS *NM* - 13/01/2011 01:57:57 AM 522 Views
Cut that out! 4400 MS! *NM* - 13/01/2011 06:17:52 AM 553 Views
I'm tempted to offer 4450... But not now. - 13/01/2011 11:35:00 AM 1226 Views
I will though. 4450 MS. *NM* - 13/01/2011 02:18:03 PM 624 Views
4500 MS *NM* - 13/01/2011 04:04:46 PM 539 Views
HZ scroll - last bid 4500 *NM* - 13/01/2011 06:29:59 PM 658 Views
4550 MS *NM* - 14/01/2011 11:46:43 PM 609 Views
Round 1 Phase 1 has begun - 11/01/2011 04:57:21 AM 1185 Views
Let's look at forecasts - 12/01/2011 04:24:46 AM 1435 Views
Court Gossip - 11/01/2011 05:40:30 AM 1246 Views
Vote: Hold Grand Ball *NM* - 11/01/2011 02:27:56 PM 602 Views
Vote: Hold Grand Ball *NM* - 11/01/2011 04:09:16 PM 631 Views
Vote: Hold Grand Ball *NM* - 11/01/2011 05:05:51 PM 604 Views
Vote: Hold Grand Ball *NM* - 11/01/2011 11:32:35 PM 641 Views
Hmmm. Debate? - 11/01/2011 05:20:59 PM 1157 Views
Yeaah - 11/01/2011 05:47:12 PM 1222 Views
Re: Yeaah - 11/01/2011 06:23:44 PM 1074 Views
Well, as for the Crisis- is everyone pretty firm in what they're voting for? Dunno if I am - 12/01/2011 05:45:11 AM 1187 Views
Well I wouldn't mind listening to some persuasive arguments, if anybody has some to offer. - 12/01/2011 05:51:48 AM 1231 Views
This crisis is a no-brainer. - 12/01/2011 03:12:21 PM 1169 Views
Good analysis. - 12/01/2011 04:06:20 PM 1133 Views
Court Gossip - Chancellor’s Challenge - 12/01/2011 09:20:43 AM 1594 Views
Vote: Accept Chancellor’s Challenge *NM* - 12/01/2011 02:31:59 PM 631 Views
Vote: Accept Challenge *NM* - 12/01/2011 04:06:51 PM 543 Views
Vote: Accept Chancellor's Challenge. (Erm...?) - 12/01/2011 05:46:38 PM 1145 Views
I was attacked by the Bandits of Surewood Forest - 12/01/2011 07:08:16 PM 1212 Views
I think "pirates" just means "NPC raiders" - 12/01/2011 07:35:04 PM 1089 Views
According to Court Gossip, it would be the Brigands of Bendar - 12/01/2011 09:45:36 PM 1179 Views
I was attacked by the Brigands of Bendar last night. - 13/01/2011 07:17:27 PM 1100 Views
Vote: Accept Chancellor's Challenge. *NM* - 12/01/2011 07:05:23 PM 659 Views
Vote: Accept Challenge *NM* - 12/01/2011 08:08:48 PM 618 Views
Pirate Name: Pirates of Carib Ion Sea *NM* - 12/01/2011 09:51:25 PM 592 Views
(Others should do this, too) - 13/01/2011 07:31:09 AM 1162 Views
I thought that as Adjutant General you could simply report our conclusions. *NM* - 14/01/2011 06:02:38 AM 591 Views
4 players have to "confirm" the names HINT HINT - 14/01/2011 08:21:23 AM 1095 Views
Yeah, I did so below. I was explaining why I didn't do so earlier. *NM* - 14/01/2011 07:15:00 PM 625 Views
"Pirate Name: Pirates of Carib Ion Sea" Yes, 4 of you have to do this for each pirate group *NM* - 14/01/2011 04:05:29 AM 549 Views
Pirate Name: Pirates of Carib Ion Sea *NM* - 14/01/2011 05:33:45 AM 574 Views
Pirate Name: Bandits of Surewood Forest *NM* - 14/01/2011 05:34:11 AM 548 Views
Pirate Name: Brigands of Bendar *NM* - 14/01/2011 05:34:38 AM 598 Views
Pirate Name: Brigands of Bendar *NM* - 14/01/2011 01:53:23 PM 595 Views
Pirate Name: Bandits of Surewood Forest *NM* - 14/01/2011 01:53:03 PM 574 Views
Pirate Name: Pirates of Carib Ion Sea *NM* - 14/01/2011 01:52:43 PM 587 Views
Pirate Name: Pirates of Carib Ion Sea - 14/01/2011 06:47:25 PM 1150 Views
I think that makes 4 of us for every name. - 15/01/2011 12:02:20 AM 1174 Views
Oh, he already has. Nevermind then. - 15/01/2011 12:03:30 AM 1348 Views
CHOAM Auction Round 2 Phase 1 - 13/01/2011 02:13:36 AM 1211 Views
All reports out now - 13/01/2011 03:08:33 AM 1052 Views
Court Gossip - 13/01/2011 04:18:26 AM 1118 Views
About bidding - 13/01/2011 01:03:40 PM 1360 Views
Pirate Name: Brigands of Bendar *NM* - 13/01/2011 07:40:53 PM 638 Views
Pirate Name: Bandits of Surewood Forest *NM* - 14/01/2011 05:48:23 AM 616 Views
Battle Plans - 14/01/2011 02:44:01 PM 1140 Views
As for the money... (and a couple other things) - 14/01/2011 06:05:04 PM 1207 Views
I agree with this arrangement. *NM* - 14/01/2011 07:14:16 PM 711 Views
Weird. I thought I replied to this. Hm. Anyway, I could attack one of the pirate Strongholds. *NM* - 14/01/2011 08:17:00 PM 596 Views
Cool. I can get another one. *NM* - 14/01/2011 09:42:53 PM 606 Views
I'll get the third. *NM* - 14/01/2011 10:32:02 PM 548 Views
So yeah, we need 3 volunteers with decent Diplomacy/Intrigue stats - 14/01/2011 09:43:58 PM 1134 Views
As stated above, I will be one of them - 15/01/2011 12:54:44 AM 1213 Views
So is anyone else investigating pirates? - 16/01/2011 02:28:06 AM 1213 Views
I guess I could do one. *NM* - 16/01/2011 02:43:05 AM 600 Views
Which group do you want? - 16/01/2011 04:41:04 AM 1155 Views
Late Auction Results - 15/01/2011 02:26:03 AM 1202 Views
Looming Crises - Round Ends 9 PM EST Sunday - 15/01/2011 02:27:48 AM 1353 Views
Some More Notes - 15/01/2011 03:47:59 AM 1163 Views
I'd be all for condensing it into one auction phase - 15/01/2011 04:07:56 AM 1215 Views
It'd be fairer for players like Bergioyn who aren't present near the deadline though. - 15/01/2011 04:18:19 AM 1098 Views
I think a better solution would be to randomize the deadlines - 15/01/2011 04:47:43 AM 1291 Views
That's true enough. *NM* - 15/01/2011 04:56:09 AM 566 Views
That's a possibility - 15/01/2011 05:32:55 AM 1115 Views
Hm... - 15/01/2011 07:13:06 AM 1228 Views
Okay, expected changes - 15/01/2011 05:29:31 AM 1273 Views
Probably a short delay on processing - 16/01/2011 10:37:39 PM 1126 Views

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