i think iran/israel is probably the biggest issue at the moment
moondog Send a noteboard - 14/03/2012 02:25:29 PM
If the economy stalls.
If there is a huge Obama scandal of some sort.
A bad exit from Afghanistan.
Bad tax policy.
There are ways, and I think it depends on who the nominee is for the Republicans. If Santorum denies Romney the delegates and it goes to a brokered convention, it hurts the Republicans, but I think Romney could win even without major problems if he appeals to enough voters in swing states. Disgruntled elderly Jewish voters in Florida and Ohio independents could kick Obama out on his ass.
If there is a huge Obama scandal of some sort.
A bad exit from Afghanistan.
Bad tax policy.
There are ways, and I think it depends on who the nominee is for the Republicans. If Santorum denies Romney the delegates and it goes to a brokered convention, it hurts the Republicans, but I think Romney could win even without major problems if he appeals to enough voters in swing states. Disgruntled elderly Jewish voters in Florida and Ohio independents could kick Obama out on his ass.
netanyahu is determined to start a war with iran and iran seems willing to fight back. i'm not sure how that will play out yet, but my gut feeling is that it will not come to an actual skirmish beyond the rhetoric. there is just too much at stake for everyone involved to jump into something so permanent.
also, i am pretty sure obama can win without florida as long as he carries new york and california. he would have to win in a couple big swing states in the midwest, but i honestly see this year's race for the republicans shaping up like the 2004 race did for the dems. a weak, unliked candidate who has no credibility against the president's policies, and can be shown to be a flip-flopper is going to end up being defined by his opposition and will not have a chance of even coming close to winning.
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"That's the trouble with political jokes in this country... they get elected!" -- Dave Lippman
can *any* republican pose a challenge to obama in november?
- 14/03/2012 04:06:59 AM
1391 Views
Yes, absolutely.....
- 14/03/2012 04:12:30 AM
832 Views
"anybody but obama" is not a winning strategy
- 14/03/2012 02:28:23 PM
804 Views
It can definitely work.....don't compare 2012 to 2004.
- 14/03/2012 02:44:39 PM
681 Views
this is why it will be 2004 all over again if romney is nominated
- 16/03/2012 02:22:26 PM
729 Views
It sure as Hell is, as long as the candidate is moderate
- 14/03/2012 03:04:10 PM
931 Views
Did you vote for Obama in 2008?
- 14/03/2012 03:47:55 PM
672 Views
Yes I did. If Romney is the candidate, I will vote Romney this year. *NM*
- 14/03/2012 08:39:41 PM
424 Views
Strongly qualifying your statement really weakens the "anyone". 
*NM*
- 14/03/2012 10:14:45 PM
425 Views
*NM*
- 14/03/2012 10:14:45 PM
425 Views
The statement "anyone but Obama" can be a rallying cry, but only for the right candidates.
- 16/03/2012 01:47:48 AM
836 Views
somehow i don't see romney having much credibility versus obama
- 16/03/2012 02:16:32 PM
727 Views
Spoken like a true Obama partisan
- 16/03/2012 04:18:21 PM
725 Views
actually, i did not vote for obama in 2008 and i won't this time either
- 17/03/2012 01:02:09 PM
782 Views
Sure, if Israel hits Iran and Obama looks weak.
- 14/03/2012 04:56:23 AM
845 Views
i think iran/israel is probably the biggest issue at the moment
- 14/03/2012 02:25:29 PM
841 Views
I would put serious money on an Israeli attack before the election.
- 14/03/2012 02:56:55 PM
863 Views
I know that I would consider voting for Romney
- 14/03/2012 01:05:47 PM
814 Views
If you will pardon an impertinent question: Why?
- 14/03/2012 03:26:01 PM
788 Views
Because Obama is a complete and utter failure.....
- 14/03/2012 03:44:14 PM
734 Views
Again, I get Republicans voting Anybody but Obama, but not how anyone can be comfortable w/ Romney.
- 14/03/2012 04:06:14 PM
860 Views
Pre-convention only the incumbents favorability ratings matter much
- 14/03/2012 01:19:04 PM
828 Views
obama is not popular, but at least he has the ability to organize a national campaign
- 14/03/2012 02:18:04 PM
814 Views
No, the democratic party does, so does the GOP
- 14/03/2012 03:16:31 PM
853 Views
That's true- despite how divisive the primaries seem, the GOP will unite behind the winner
- 14/03/2012 03:44:16 PM
856 Views
Re: That's true- despite how divisive the primaries seem, the GOP will unite behind the winner
- 14/03/2012 03:59:25 PM
802 Views
Actually, my experience has been a lot of libs mean it when they say they will not for anyone.
- 14/03/2012 04:19:46 PM
667 Views
I don't want to grossly over-generalize but there are distinct trends to party demographics
- 14/03/2012 06:04:09 PM
895 Views
I was thinking no, and here's my rationale:
- 14/03/2012 03:41:21 PM
752 Views
Much as it pains me to agree with trzaska, he is absolutely right in this case.
- 14/03/2012 04:21:43 PM
968 Views
Interesting. So you guys are basically saying I'm right, but it might not matter
- 14/03/2012 04:53:48 PM
838 Views
Yeah, pretty much, and I would even say that is the trend in all Dem vs. Rep elections.
- 14/03/2012 04:59:30 PM
846 Views
Yes and no
- 14/03/2012 06:23:47 PM
955 Views
Conservative cookies nomz. But I think you missed my main point...
- 14/03/2012 07:02:10 PM
798 Views
Conservative cookies nomz. But I think you missed my main point...
- 14/03/2012 07:09:24 PM
729 Views
And the cookies are not a lie... at last night's meeting, we had Thin Mints
- 15/03/2012 09:51:30 PM
833 Views
Yeah, I just meant perception
- 16/03/2012 02:39:30 AM
825 Views
One day Republicans and internet trolls alike will learn not to say weird shit to people like me.
- 15/03/2012 12:30:17 AM
932 Views
I like this post.
- 15/03/2012 08:40:07 PM
770 Views
I don't mean to disrespect your seal, but it looks more like a cat. *NM*
- 15/03/2012 08:52:26 PM
308 Views
You've obviously never heard of a kitten seal, Mr. I-Write-An-Animal-Blog. *NM*
- 15/03/2012 09:38:47 PM
424 Views
Maybe it's a leopard seal. That someone put a cat-ear band on. *NM*
- 15/03/2012 10:07:46 PM
327 Views
Does it matter if they do? At this point, does it matter who is president? Probably not.
- 16/03/2012 02:11:45 AM
882 Views