i'm quite curious about one thing, since i know you're such a numbers guy
moondog Send a noteboard - 11/11/2012 02:01:31 PM
Actually I can think of more than one person here who knows the GOP's inner workings better than Tom, starting with myself, what with being a party official and all. And not living in NY state. Tom's smart and knows his stuff but he wouldn't make that claim and I've no idea what you base it off of. We all know what happened this time perfectly well, we relied on a lot of Obama's people not showing from 2008 and more of ours showing, as best as I can tell, in Ohio anyway, we actually ran a better ground game too, his worked in the end, ours didn't, in all probability it was just took less effort per voter for them then for us and they had a bigger pool. Sort of like 2004 in reverse, not a 2008 or a 1984 re-election.
i'm wondering how you reconciled the number of websites predicting obama wins across the swing states with your own view of the race as it happened. obviously we know at this point that nate silver pretty much predicted the electoral map for every state, including every senate race but heitkamp/berg. but there were other sites like huffington post, talking points memo, electoral-vote.com and others which had obama up with relatively comfortable margins. as i said in another comment to you, the margin of victory in most states would suggest the opposite of a close race but it seems like the GOP was pretty blindsided by how badly romney was doing.
"The RIAA has shown a certain disregard for the creative people of the industry in their eagerness to protect the revenues of the record companies." -- Frank Zappa
"That's the trouble with political jokes in this country... they get elected!" -- Dave Lippman
"That's the trouble with political jokes in this country... they get elected!" -- Dave Lippman
What next for Romney and the Republican party?
07/11/2012 03:51:50 PM
- 1011 Views
In my view, more moderation is needed.
07/11/2012 04:17:05 PM
- 542 Views
Pretty sure seniors are growing MORE numerous, not less. You're probably right about the rest. *NM*
07/11/2012 05:03:17 PM
- 578 Views
That's true, but I don't think that's the right way to look at it.
07/11/2012 05:18:52 PM
- 555 Views
Yeah, I hear what you're saying, and I agree with the overall point.
07/11/2012 07:52:33 PM
- 839 Views
Libertarian is the way to go IMO.
07/11/2012 05:19:29 PM
- 490 Views
totally agree, i was quite disappointed Johnson didn't get better results *NM*
07/11/2012 06:15:09 PM
- 291 Views
I'd say they're pretty much done
07/11/2012 07:54:44 PM
- 507 Views
I'm not sure about that.
07/11/2012 08:04:33 PM
- 637 Views
Again, the numbers you cited will continue to shrink every year.
07/11/2012 08:25:21 PM
- 1053 Views
They're through. They've been utterly crushed, demolished, and annihilated after last night.
07/11/2012 10:34:47 PM
- 584 Views
Well Romney is retiring but no the GOP is hardly 'done'
08/11/2012 12:51:44 AM
- 473 Views
I do hope the Republican party have the same lax attitude, I love seeing them lose *NM*
08/11/2012 12:46:32 PM
- 235 Views
I imagine lots of idiots feel the same way on both sides about both parties *NM*
08/11/2012 11:05:29 PM
- 255 Views
If you're relying on the democrats crashing and burning
09/11/2012 02:45:41 PM
- 530 Views
the dems played the "wait for the repubs to crash and burn" strategy and it worked out ok this year
09/11/2012 05:01:53 PM
- 581 Views
Off topic, but is your Shift key broken?
09/11/2012 05:47:12 PM
- 489 Views
do you have similar problems when talking to people with weird hair color or clothes IRL?
09/11/2012 07:09:24 PM
- 460 Views
The Dems learned their lesson from the Gore campaign
09/11/2012 06:25:23 PM
- 567 Views
i beg to differ
09/11/2012 07:22:40 PM
- 434 Views
The facts speak for themselves
09/11/2012 07:46:20 PM
- 602 Views
Re: The facts speak for themselves
11/11/2012 01:13:05 AM
- 558 Views
i'm quite curious about one thing, since i know you're such a numbers guy
11/11/2012 02:01:31 PM
- 479 Views
Re: i'm quite curious about one thing, since i know you're such a numbers guy
11/11/2012 05:48:09 PM
- 743 Views
I've also got a question for you
11/11/2012 02:16:07 PM
- 462 Views
Re: I've also got a question for you
11/11/2012 04:51:55 PM
- 509 Views
Re: I've also got a question for you
11/11/2012 05:48:52 PM
- 607 Views
There's also the fake or exaggeration aspect that might be in play but I can't judge that
11/11/2012 06:44:16 PM
- 969 Views
I think you were taking that statement rather literally
11/11/2012 07:36:14 PM
- 512 Views
I took it as a literal statement, the language implied as much to me...
11/11/2012 08:45:16 PM
- 589 Views
Oh, I can absolutely count on them crahsing and burning, that's a given, happens to both regularly *NM*
09/11/2012 06:28:51 PM
- 278 Views
You can't count on exploiting that
09/11/2012 06:39:47 PM
- 619 Views
'Mistakes' is subjective, sometimes you have to play your hand
11/11/2012 01:09:31 AM
- 491 Views
how are 300+ EVs "the skin of his teeth"?
08/11/2012 05:46:51 PM
- 503 Views
Because he barely won them? *NM*
08/11/2012 11:06:14 PM
- 219 Views
only OH, NC and FL are within 2% margin, i'd hardly call that "barely won"
08/11/2012 11:25:54 PM
- 510 Views
What makes you think Hillary won't be running?
08/11/2012 06:07:38 PM
- 479 Views
hillary has stated time and again she is done when she steps down as sec'y of state
08/11/2012 11:27:56 PM
- 449 Views
While I agree with the overall point that the Republican party isn't done by any means
08/11/2012 11:53:12 PM
- 416 Views
Romney is done; the last defeated nominee to be renominated was Nixon.
08/11/2012 04:53:52 PM
- 687 Views