The storm surge was partly down to luck. Hindsight is always 20-20 *NM*
nossy Send a noteboard - 12/09/2017 03:32:10 PM
View original postThis storm got a lot of press from its long time as a Cat 5. But it was Cat 4 when it made first landfall in the Keys, Cat 3 when it got to Marco Island, and down to Cat 1 when it reached Tampa. As a result, storm surge along the coast ranged from 3-7 feet.
View original postForecasters have been predicting doom for the Tampa/ST Pete to Naples coastline for decades. The last major hurricane to direct hit Tampa was almost 100 years ago so they are long overdue. That was a Cat 3 when it made landfall and produced a storm surge of 10-12 feet. Computer models predict a direct hit from a Cat 5 would produce 20 -25 foot or higher storm surges due to the shallow depth of the Gulf.
View original postCompared to that, 3-7 feet is a firecracker that fizzled.
Hurricanes are dumb
- 11/09/2017 10:07:01 AM
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Were they on the coast?
- 11/09/2017 01:35:53 PM
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No, luckily
- 11/09/2017 05:14:34 PM
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You mean by not giving in to mass hysteria?
- 11/09/2017 10:30:55 PM
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Agreed
- 11/09/2017 11:18:30 PM
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The storm surge was partly down to luck. Hindsight is always 20-20 *NM*
- 12/09/2017 03:32:10 PM
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or the predictions were unnecessarily overstated - because news loves sensationalism *NM*
- 12/09/2017 03:52:27 PM
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... I'm having trouble taking you seriously.
- 12/09/2017 04:04:19 PM
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- 12/09/2017 04:04:19 PM
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the boy who cried wolf?
- 12/09/2017 04:25:07 PM
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I'm sorry, perhaps we've been reading different things.
- 12/09/2017 04:33:21 PM
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Yeah, I don't think this is a particularly strong point in your favor.
- 12/09/2017 09:35:12 PM
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NOAA or professional meteorologists, no. Every major news source, yes. *NM*
- 13/09/2017 03:16:14 PM
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I can see why you would think that
- 12/09/2017 01:54:14 PM
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<3
- 12/09/2017 02:09:14 PM
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Thanks
- 12/09/2017 02:17:20 PM
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- 12/09/2017 02:17:20 PM
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I'm sure this was one of those times when it was hardest to be so far away!
- 12/09/2017 02:22:06 PM
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That's likely the main problem. I'm not there to be mother hen. *NM*
- 12/09/2017 02:34:16 PM
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*NM*