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It was a very simple model Floffe Send a noteboard - 16/12/2020 06:39:37 AM

Yours is much better. That is the thing with models, they require simplification.

It would be interesting to relate your numbers to the total population in those age groups.


But in my model, I assumed that 100 million young, healthy Americans would be infected. Currently there are 17 million confirmed cases in the whole population. I think it is a reasonable assumption that without restrictions and social distancing or would spread quite a lot faster, no? (among the part of the population who are young and healthy)

And yes, it is interesting that the very young have fewer deaths. I have a 6 tu old daughter, she barely meets her grandparents. So not many ways to get infected.

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This message last edited by Floffe on 16/12/2020 at 06:43:53 AM
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