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I hope so too... but I'm not necessarily holding my breath. Legolas Send a noteboard - 25/10/2021 06:41:33 PM

View original postI've always been a Europeanist and since I believe we are headed back to a Great Power Politics of the pre-WWI world, I'd like to see Europe standing united in the 3 or 4 great power competition that the 21st century is shaping up to be.

As would I. And in some ways, we might be in better shape to do so than the other major contenders... provided that the competition remains largely peaceful.
View original postBut I don't think you'll see the loss of the US as a global player anytime soon. Not in our lifetimes. You're more likely to see China go down that path as its growth is unsustainable and its demographic future is downright bleak as it grows old before it grows rich.

It's not that I'd expect any other power to grow past them, so much as I'd expect the US to fall apart, if not tear itself apart - and unfortunately not along neat geographic lines that would allow the relatively smooth creation of two or more successor states. The country is stuck in a spiral of extreme polarization and endless culture wars, with a political system that is massively biased towards polarization and zero-sum games, and with no way to change that system unless both sides agree, when the whole problem is that both sides can't agree on anything anymore. Until / unless I start seeing some signs of that spiral stabilizing and some sanity returning, I'm extremely concerned. Within our lifetimes, we've already seen things slide from where they stood in let's say 1990 to today; if the trend continues downhill, I'm not optimistic of what things will look like another thirty years from now.
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The show "Billions" has me thinking that our society's divisions are irreparable. - 21/10/2021 10:58:29 PM 312 Views
I am sick to death of movies and TV shows that are allegories on the evils of capitalism. - 22/10/2021 04:49:05 AM 92 Views
But not books right? - 22/10/2021 05:23:01 PM 75 Views
I think your society's divisions are irreparable, too, and it's pretty freaking scary. - 22/10/2021 09:55:47 AM 96 Views
One point in particular - 23/10/2021 05:55:44 PM 94 Views
That seems like a pretty extreme parallel, but sure, I guess? - 23/10/2021 09:41:23 PM 71 Views
Also - 23/10/2021 06:45:48 PM 91 Views
Re: Also - 23/10/2021 09:55:29 PM 84 Views
I hope Europe can be that future. - 24/10/2021 02:53:53 PM 105 Views
I hope so too... but I'm not necessarily holding my breath. - 25/10/2021 06:41:33 PM 77 Views

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