i'm quite curious about one thing, since i know you're such a numbers guy
moondog Send a noteboard - 11/11/2012 02:01:31 PM
Actually I can think of more than one person here who knows the GOP's inner workings better than Tom, starting with myself, what with being a party official and all. And not living in NY state. Tom's smart and knows his stuff but he wouldn't make that claim and I've no idea what you base it off of. We all know what happened this time perfectly well, we relied on a lot of Obama's people not showing from 2008 and more of ours showing, as best as I can tell, in Ohio anyway, we actually ran a better ground game too, his worked in the end, ours didn't, in all probability it was just took less effort per voter for them then for us and they had a bigger pool. Sort of like 2004 in reverse, not a 2008 or a 1984 re-election.
i'm wondering how you reconciled the number of websites predicting obama wins across the swing states with your own view of the race as it happened. obviously we know at this point that nate silver pretty much predicted the electoral map for every state, including every senate race but heitkamp/berg. but there were other sites like huffington post, talking points memo, electoral-vote.com and others which had obama up with relatively comfortable margins. as i said in another comment to you, the margin of victory in most states would suggest the opposite of a close race but it seems like the GOP was pretty blindsided by how badly romney was doing.
"The RIAA has shown a certain disregard for the creative people of the industry in their eagerness to protect the revenues of the record companies." -- Frank Zappa
"That's the trouble with political jokes in this country... they get elected!" -- Dave Lippman
"That's the trouble with political jokes in this country... they get elected!" -- Dave Lippman
What next for Romney and the Republican party?
- 07/11/2012 03:51:50 PM
1115 Views
In my view, more moderation is needed.
- 07/11/2012 04:17:05 PM
655 Views
Pretty sure seniors are growing MORE numerous, not less. You're probably right about the rest. *NM*
- 07/11/2012 05:03:17 PM
645 Views
That's true, but I don't think that's the right way to look at it.
- 07/11/2012 05:18:52 PM
671 Views
Yeah, I hear what you're saying, and I agree with the overall point.
- 07/11/2012 07:52:33 PM
948 Views
Libertarian is the way to go IMO.
- 07/11/2012 05:19:29 PM
617 Views
totally agree, i was quite disappointed Johnson didn't get better results *NM*
- 07/11/2012 06:15:09 PM
349 Views
I'd say they're pretty much done
- 07/11/2012 07:54:44 PM
615 Views
I'm not sure about that.
- 07/11/2012 08:04:33 PM
727 Views
Again, the numbers you cited will continue to shrink every year.
- 07/11/2012 08:25:21 PM
1259 Views
They're through. They've been utterly crushed, demolished, and annihilated after last night.
- 07/11/2012 10:34:47 PM
688 Views
Well Romney is retiring but no the GOP is hardly 'done'
- 08/11/2012 12:51:44 AM
560 Views
I do hope the Republican party have the same lax attitude, I love seeing them lose *NM*
- 08/11/2012 12:46:32 PM
279 Views
I imagine lots of idiots feel the same way on both sides about both parties *NM*
- 08/11/2012 11:05:29 PM
304 Views
If you're relying on the democrats crashing and burning
- 09/11/2012 02:45:41 PM
627 Views
the dems played the "wait for the repubs to crash and burn" strategy and it worked out ok this year
- 09/11/2012 05:01:53 PM
673 Views
Off topic, but is your Shift key broken?
- 09/11/2012 05:47:12 PM
586 Views
do you have similar problems when talking to people with weird hair color or clothes IRL?
- 09/11/2012 07:09:24 PM
543 Views
The Dems learned their lesson from the Gore campaign
- 09/11/2012 06:25:23 PM
674 Views
i beg to differ
- 09/11/2012 07:22:40 PM
543 Views
The facts speak for themselves
- 09/11/2012 07:46:20 PM
713 Views
Re: The facts speak for themselves
- 11/11/2012 01:13:05 AM
656 Views
i'm quite curious about one thing, since i know you're such a numbers guy
- 11/11/2012 02:01:31 PM
563 Views
Re: i'm quite curious about one thing, since i know you're such a numbers guy
- 11/11/2012 05:48:09 PM
855 Views
I've also got a question for you
- 11/11/2012 02:16:07 PM
575 Views
Re: I've also got a question for you
- 11/11/2012 04:51:55 PM
603 Views
Re: I've also got a question for you
- 11/11/2012 05:48:52 PM
708 Views
There's also the fake or exaggeration aspect that might be in play but I can't judge that
- 11/11/2012 06:44:16 PM
1082 Views
I think you were taking that statement rather literally
- 11/11/2012 07:36:14 PM
632 Views
I took it as a literal statement, the language implied as much to me...
- 11/11/2012 08:45:16 PM
679 Views
Oh, I can absolutely count on them crahsing and burning, that's a given, happens to both regularly *NM*
- 09/11/2012 06:28:51 PM
330 Views
You can't count on exploiting that
- 09/11/2012 06:39:47 PM
717 Views
'Mistakes' is subjective, sometimes you have to play your hand
- 11/11/2012 01:09:31 AM
604 Views
how are 300+ EVs "the skin of his teeth"?
- 08/11/2012 05:46:51 PM
632 Views
Because he barely won them? *NM*
- 08/11/2012 11:06:14 PM
267 Views
only OH, NC and FL are within 2% margin, i'd hardly call that "barely won"
- 08/11/2012 11:25:54 PM
605 Views
What makes you think Hillary won't be running?
- 08/11/2012 06:07:38 PM
588 Views
hillary has stated time and again she is done when she steps down as sec'y of state
- 08/11/2012 11:27:56 PM
538 Views
While I agree with the overall point that the Republican party isn't done by any means
- 08/11/2012 11:53:12 PM
518 Views
Romney is done; the last defeated nominee to be renominated was Nixon.
- 08/11/2012 04:53:52 PM
790 Views