It's just that Ranagrande's been contributing at least a little bit, and I'm more inclined to think that Darkfriends are hiding out with the lurkers. Of course, it's not like we really have that much to talk about, which is probably why there is so little discussion right now. So I can't really fault the lurkers that much. But still ...



Hmm ... I wonder how badly a townie lynch would hurt us today.

So sixteen players, let's assume 5 or 6 Darkfriends. Let's say 6 for the sake of it. So there's 10 townies. We're already down to 9 with Hopper's death. If we lynch a townie today, that'll put us at 8 - 6. Now if there's a death overnight, we'll be at 7 - 6 the next morning, and in a Lynch or Lose scenario. If two townies die overnight, we'll lose the game.

Now if there are only 5 Darkfriends, then we have a lot more leeway. 10 townies right now, 9 - 5 if we lynch a townie today. We're still okay then even if two more townies die overnight. So if there are only 5 Darkfriends, we probably ought to lynch somebody today just for the information it'll give us.

So what if there are 5 Darkfriends and 1 Serial Killer? So we're 9 - 5 - 1 right now, lynching a townie will put us at 8 - 5 - 1. If two people (townies) die overnight, then we'll be at 6 - 5 - 1, lynch or lose again.

I am pretty sure there's not a serial killer since no one died last night, but stranger things have happened. They could have both attacked the same person who was protected, but that seems a little improbable for Night 1. But it's possible.

Hmmm ... I think I've changed my mind and we ought to lynch someone today. I think it's probably most likely that we have 5 Darkfriends with or without a serial killer. Probably with. I can see both of them targeting Isaac last night (and this is assuming his testimony is credible), and the doc protecting him. In the game where I was the SK, me and DFs targeted the same person like 3 nights in a row. Of course, that was much later in the game and we had a lot more information then. But whatever - it can happen. And if there are two DF factions of say, three each, then we definitely have some leeway, because the Town won't lose until we're down to 3 people, right? Though actually not, because we still need to hang around to help the Darkfriends duke it out amongst themselves. Interesting.

Anyway, let's lynch somebody. It'll at least give us some information, and something to talk about tomorrow. The question is who ...