Well, with the newest exchange between FT and Isaac, I actually grew quite leery of Isaac. The biggest thing for me here was when Isaac said the following (linked at bottom):
I'm trying to find some advantage to keeping you alive, because both my intuition and my logic say we're better off lynching you, and it's not like we have alternate candidates lying around.
coupled with:
This will not be a wasted lynch whatever the result and I put you at around 50/50. I wish I could say I thought you were guilty but I don't, it's really a coinflip for me.
Just something simple. I know you said that you don't think he's guilty. I'm not complaining about that. It's that, in the same post, you said we should just lynch FT cause there's no real good reason you can think to keep him alive...whatever hapens, yet you say he's only 50/50. Now, it's small but you've always been pretty good with the subtle things. I'm gonna go with the little fingernail of suspicion on you, here. Just keepin my eyes out. I mean, if it's such a coinflip for you, why did you say earlier we would be better off lynching him? It's just bothering me now.
It's a good question, and I'm going to join you in asking it. I think at this point either one of them is a Darkfriend or neither of them is a Darkfriend, but not both. There's no way they would go after each other like that if they were knowingly on the same team, and it's only Day 1 so it's not like they've had time to compare strategies or anything and come up with some ridiculous plot to make the Town trust them. On other hand though, we can't fall into a false dichotomy - it's very possible that they're both Townies, after all. But if we lynch one of them and he comes up guilty, we can be fairly sure that the other is Town, I think.
And as to Kronin, I know as a townie, I would always defend myself as soon as suspicion popped up about me yet as a DF, I would try to let some things slide so I wouldn't get caught in a lie or mistake. So that helps me believe you somewhat. However, you turning the conversation against beet doesn't really sit well with me. He's just opening other options so we're not so focused FT's deal that we forget about everyone else. It really is what we need to do on Day 1. You should know, I would think. His post does not remotely smell of trying to "re-aim the sights" to me. Just expanding our options.
I don't want to condemn Kronin for what Beet said because I feel practically the same way - F-T's innocence or guilt is very up in the air, in my opinion, and I am not sure whether we ought to lynch him or not. So there's nothing wrong with being uncertain at this point in the Day.
More later, I have to go to class now.
Insert theme music here.
Rafo Mafia 4: Day 1 has ended.
- 27/01/2010 05:53:50 PM
3967 Views
This is a confirmation of the prompt receival of said role message.
- 27/01/2010 08:30:45 PM
1931 Views
You made it up
- 27/01/2010 09:01:31 PM
1876 Views
Hmm ...
- 27/01/2010 09:21:59 PM
1990 Views
Ha.
- 28/01/2010 01:28:27 AM
1795 Views
It sounds like a real word.
- 28/01/2010 01:55:58 AM
1900 Views
You know, I'm still irritated we haven't been able to come up with a good R1 system
- 28/01/2010 07:08:22 AM
1849 Views
Well, lacking anything else...
- 28/01/2010 11:58:25 PM
1985 Views
I haven't the faintest idea what they mean.
- 29/01/2010 01:30:19 AM
1943 Views
Not really
- 29/01/2010 02:27:05 AM
1953 Views
Let's try something
- 29/01/2010 02:47:30 AM
1867 Views
alrighty then
- 29/01/2010 03:29:51 AM
1889 Views
That's sufficient, thanks
- 29/01/2010 03:48:11 AM
1777 Views
Yea, my message has all that.
- 29/01/2010 03:56:52 AM
1925 Views
Probably
- 29/01/2010 04:10:42 AM
1848 Views
Re: Probably
- 29/01/2010 07:30:48 AM
1779 Views
True- most DFs would wait a bit, and be like the 4th or 5th to jump in
- 29/01/2010 08:19:43 AM
1868 Views
I've got MPD
- 29/01/2010 04:22:00 AM
1875 Views
Surprise, surprise: I do too.
- 29/01/2010 06:21:04 AM
1865 Views
Remember when we killed the Serial Killer on Day 1? That was fun. Let's do that! *NM*
- 29/01/2010 08:20:24 AM
1066 Views
I have MPD and number under 14. *NM*
- 29/01/2010 06:18:59 AM
1148 Views
I like to think of the first kill as a sacrifice to the Gods of Mafia
- 30/01/2010 04:14:17 AM
1971 Views
Re: I like to think of the first kill as a sacrifice to the Gods of Mafia
- 30/01/2010 04:27:53 AM
1874 Views
High priests cannot be sacrificed!
- 30/01/2010 04:53:38 PM
1757 Views
Some cultures, they make the best sacrifices
- 30/01/2010 05:47:46 PM
1877 Views
- 30/01/2010 05:47:46 PM
1877 Views
I want to roleclaim.
- 30/01/2010 07:08:11 PM
1882 Views
That is, well, surprising
- 30/01/2010 08:28:04 PM
1923 Views
Yeah, but I think it's best to do it now.
- 30/01/2010 09:38:49 PM
1767 Views
Hm. I wonder if we're all robots inside of a Mafia simulator. *NM*
- 30/01/2010 11:20:25 PM
993 Views
Well, I'm back...
- 31/01/2010 01:43:17 AM
1832 Views
Why do fencers keep appearing without me knowing of it?!?
- 31/01/2010 02:48:22 AM
1868 Views
Oh, and I had my first real tournament today...
- 31/01/2010 03:23:45 AM
1890 Views
Eh. Just don't listen to Issac too much.
- 31/01/2010 04:47:53 AM
1825 Views
I wanna say F-T, just cause I hate Millers.
- 31/01/2010 05:10:07 AM
1752 Views
But do you think a DF would try something that DFs already did in the game we just played?
- 31/01/2010 05:53:24 AM
1850 Views
And on a third hand...
- 31/01/2010 07:00:22 AM
1881 Views
So... back to neutral. *NM*
- 31/01/2010 03:27:58 PM
974 Views
You don't find that statement dubious?
- 31/01/2010 04:14:47 PM
1852 Views
I knew Yunalseca was a Darkfriend...
- 31/01/2010 07:17:33 PM
1817 Views
Everyone! Deep breaths...
- 31/01/2010 11:50:39 PM
1851 Views
That's a pretty big thing to forget though.
- 01/02/2010 01:39:44 AM
1798 Views
Who said anything about forgetting?
- 01/02/2010 02:53:49 AM
1831 Views
It brings you protection from guilty Cop results. *NM*
- 01/02/2010 03:01:22 AM
1144 Views
No...
- 01/02/2010 06:25:07 AM
1855 Views
Man... I hate defending people I'm not sure about
- 01/02/2010 07:14:13 AM
1860 Views
I agree with beet here.
- 01/02/2010 07:42:12 AM
1830 Views
Offer alternatives then
- 01/02/2010 11:18:47 AM
1847 Views
I didn't mean we shouldn't reference strategies from earlier games
- 01/02/2010 02:23:26 PM
1834 Views
I agree, more or less
- 31/01/2010 05:55:11 AM
1877 Views
Re: I agree, more or less
- 31/01/2010 03:34:10 PM
1890 Views
Tracker is a role that sees who his target performs a Night Action on...
- 31/01/2010 03:49:24 PM
1738 Views
Re: I agree, more or less
- 31/01/2010 04:19:33 PM
1808 Views
Eh. I think this is going to end like Hopper.
- 31/01/2010 11:58:52 PM
1821 Views
What I don't like is the fact that Millers are often not told they're Millers.
- 01/02/2010 12:08:14 AM
1843 Views
Well, he could still be Mafia and have appropriate flavor.
- 01/02/2010 01:46:58 AM
1844 Views
We can't just lynch Isaac on the off chance that he might be a DF.
- 31/01/2010 05:42:08 AM
1863 Views
Alright, from my reading,
- 31/01/2010 10:53:52 PM
1827 Views
RE: I didn't mean we shouldn't reference strategies from earlier games (horizontal scroll avoidance)
- 01/02/2010 02:46:35 PM
1958 Views
I really just meant that I don't think F-T's claim of not knowing about Yuna's claim is
- 01/02/2010 06:16:11 PM
1823 Views
You still haven't explained what the purpose of such a lie would be.
- 01/02/2010 07:15:35 PM
1800 Views
I think the rationale was this:
- 01/02/2010 07:38:41 PM
1748 Views
Beg Pardon?
- 01/02/2010 08:07:20 PM
1830 Views
It's true, Isaac likes to be a leader, rather than a doer. *NM*
- 01/02/2010 11:17:02 PM
1046 Views
Coward. *NM*
- 01/02/2010 11:17:21 PM
1070 Views
Er... what just happened, here? *NM*
- 02/02/2010 12:55:51 AM
1099 Views
I made a pointless post, decided to turn it into a semi-sarcastic insult.
- 02/02/2010 01:27:48 AM
1836 Views
There's not really anything to explain
- 01/02/2010 09:20:57 PM
1889 Views
Re: There's not really anything to explain
- 01/02/2010 10:03:57 PM
1830 Views
Re: There's not really anything to explain
- 01/02/2010 10:33:49 PM
1882 Views
Re: There's not really anything to explain
- 01/02/2010 11:11:37 PM
1867 Views
Maybe you should ask one of the others to explain this to me
- 02/02/2010 12:01:48 AM
1807 Views
Re: Maybe you should ask one of the others to explain this to me
- 02/02/2010 01:15:41 AM
1917 Views
Right, so: A New Target
- 01/02/2010 08:03:28 PM
1984 Views
Re: Right, so: A New Target
- 01/02/2010 08:20:06 PM
1726 Views
Re: Right, so: A New Target *NM*
- 01/02/2010 08:48:25 PM
983 Views
Message get eaten? *NM*
- 01/02/2010 09:21:34 PM
1028 Views
Apparantly... It was just a minor thing, lemme see if I remember...
- 02/02/2010 12:44:28 AM
1844 Views
Right, so: Defending Myself
- 01/02/2010 11:30:38 PM
1939 Views
Hmm...more accusations beyond beet's
- 02/02/2010 06:02:51 AM
1800 Views
That's interesting.
- 02/02/2010 02:09:52 PM
1833 Views
Fair question, but it's actually pretty straightforward.
- 02/02/2010 04:41:18 PM
1977 Views
Your logic isn't terrible...
- 02/02/2010 04:54:54 PM
1757 Views
Re: Your logic isn't terrible...
- 02/02/2010 05:42:43 PM
1837 Views
Re: The random thing
- 02/02/2010 04:59:42 PM
1991 Views
Nah, I anticipated this would make me the prime lynch candidate.
- 02/02/2010 08:48:19 PM
1959 Views
Re: Nah, I anticipated this would make me the prime lynch candidate.
- 02/02/2010 09:23:43 PM
1869 Views
Okay, so I've been reading, but I kept meaning to post on my comp. Sorry.
- 02/02/2010 06:21:12 AM
1900 Views
I never tried to stop any discussion
- 02/02/2010 12:46:54 PM
1884 Views
Like I said, I don't find it very suspicious, but it was just something I had seen.
- 02/02/2010 11:14:53 PM
1855 Views
Kronin is at least as suspicious as Issac, or F-T
- 02/02/2010 05:09:56 PM
1868 Views
That's pretty bold claim of intention.
- 02/02/2010 05:18:40 PM
1859 Views
Vote: Fanatic-Templar
- 03/02/2010 04:36:52 AM
1909 Views
Re: Vote: Fanatic-Templar
- 03/02/2010 03:13:57 PM
1952 Views
Speaking of time...
- 03/02/2010 03:28:42 PM
1903 Views
Only if it starts to grind to a halt. *NM*
- 03/02/2010 04:50:32 PM
1083 Views
Re: Only if it starts to grind to a halt.
- 03/02/2010 06:52:54 PM
1916 Views
Those are basically my exact thoughts on the matter as well *NM*
- 03/02/2010 09:12:35 PM
1071 Views
Er... IS it active? I feel like we've kinda exhausted everything
- 03/02/2010 11:19:29 PM
1801 Views
Hahaha. well, it was!
- 04/02/2010 12:59:13 AM
1794 Views
"No lynch" is a bad idea. At the very least, let's lynch someone random *NM*
- 04/02/2010 04:07:00 AM
1044 Views
Everybody knows my perspective on no lynches...or at least I suspect they do. *NM*
- 04/02/2010 04:09:17 AM
1091 Views
So you'd rather lynch someone random over F-T? Why?
- 04/02/2010 04:35:40 AM
1873 Views
Because I think F-T is almost definitely not a DF
- 04/02/2010 06:58:15 AM
1844 Views
Re: Because I think F-T is almost definitely not a DF
- 04/02/2010 07:07:37 AM
1733 Views
Well, yeah- a chance of getting a DF is better than no chance at all
- 04/02/2010 07:04:27 PM
1818 Views
But there is a chance F-T is a DF.
- 04/02/2010 07:34:37 PM
1799 Views
Fair enough...
- 04/02/2010 07:49:26 PM
1795 Views
I agree with D_K actually
- 04/02/2010 08:32:09 PM
1902 Views
You think F-T has less than a 29% (4/14) chance to be a DF?
- 04/02/2010 08:55:34 PM
1742 Views
If a given random person is 30%, then yes, I think F-T is 29% or less
- 04/02/2010 11:20:26 PM
1869 Views
I regret that I have only one life to give to the Light...
- 04/02/2010 11:00:56 PM
1832 Views
- 05/02/2010 12:20:04 AM
1876 Views
You know, you're still at L-3.
- 04/02/2010 11:14:40 PM
2038 Views
L-2, as it were.
- 04/02/2010 11:41:10 PM
1787 Views
Just had to make me incorrect?
- 04/02/2010 11:55:02 PM
1768 Views
I couldn't resist.
*NM*
- 05/02/2010 01:07:59 AM
1034 Views
- 05/02/2010 01:15:51 AM
1866 Views
*NM*
- 05/02/2010 01:07:59 AM
1034 Views
- 05/02/2010 01:15:51 AM
1866 Views
Yeah, but I wasn't sure if I'd still be alive next time I came around
.
- 05/02/2010 03:12:19 AM
1792 Views
.
- 05/02/2010 03:12:19 AM
1792 Views
- 05/02/2010 12:20:04 AM
1876 Views
I don't anyone will target you with a night action tonight, frankly.
- 05/02/2010 03:14:26 AM
1840 Views

*NM*