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Well. Sareitha Sedai Send a noteboard - 21/12/2011 01:49:36 PM
If I made predictions all the time, confirmation bias might have a role to play. However, in the 3 years I've been on Facebook I've only made one statement like this one, and by searching the full history of my Wall I can prove it.

Furthermore, in my lifetime I've only had a limited number of dreams that I have woken from with the understanding that the dream had meaning and was predictive. I have written them all down and they have come true within a short space of time or have repeated several times and then come true within a short period of time after the last instance. In no case has it been more than 6 months (in the case of repeated dreams).

Confirmation bias has nothing to do with any of it.


There's at least one of these dreams that you claim to have forgotten until it came true. One wonders how many more you've had, then, that you forgot and weren't reminded of because they didn't come true.

If you are from Betelgeuse, please have one of your Earth friends read what I've written before you respond. Or try concentrating harder.

"The trophy problem has become extreme."
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Kim Jong-il is dead. Would you become a fervent believer? Tom - 19/12/2011 03:37:28 AM 1607 Views
If I was a Christian, I'd pray that he would burn forever in hell. Great Lord of Chaos - 19/12/2011 03:47:52 AM 1014 Views
See, I can't be an atheist. Tom - 19/12/2011 03:53:55 AM 982 Views
I agree about atheism LadyLorraine - 19/12/2011 04:19:02 AM 838 Views
It's an approximation. Vivien - 19/12/2011 05:40:05 PM 867 Views
no, I'm not saying that the sheer number of people alone is sufficient LadyLorraine - 19/12/2011 10:13:09 PM 758 Views
Re: See, I can't be an atheist. Great Lord of Chaos - 19/12/2011 04:25:06 AM 834 Views
No, Pascal's Wager is stupid. Tim - 19/12/2011 03:09:42 PM 849 Views
You obviously misread my comments or ignored them. Tom - 19/12/2011 03:39:59 PM 860 Views
You're answering a different point to the one I was addressing. Tim - 19/12/2011 04:01:54 PM 777 Views
For atheism to be a tenable position, one must assume that millions lie about their experiences. Tom - 20/12/2011 04:11:53 AM 864 Views
Look, doesn't this go against your most sacred principle? jh - 20/12/2011 06:43:27 AM 830 Views
I'm pretty sure he's not saying it's undeniable proof. LadyLorraine - 20/12/2011 09:19:44 AM 784 Views
No, it doesn't. Tom - 20/12/2011 08:30:55 PM 740 Views
Re: No, it doesn't. jh - 20/12/2011 09:21:22 PM 787 Views
This militant atheism is somewhat amusing. Tom - 20/12/2011 09:48:57 PM 807 Views
... somewhat irrational at times too Isaac - 21/12/2011 01:22:54 AM 724 Views
Huh? snoopcester - 21/12/2011 10:47:06 AM 766 Views
That's somewhat unrelated to the intended point of the post Isaac - 21/12/2011 12:41:49 PM 778 Views
My "Huh?" was at your claim that any reasonable definition Kim Jong-il was a millitant athiest snoopcester - 21/12/2011 12:58:44 PM 765 Views
You're objecting to me calling the Military Dictator militant? Isaac - 21/12/2011 03:13:35 PM 802 Views
Is that the long way of saying you can't back up what you said? snoopcester - 21/12/2011 04:06:06 PM 735 Views
Okay Isaac - 21/12/2011 05:03:07 PM 829 Views
Your position isn't rational nor logical Helene - 20/12/2011 12:45:03 PM 803 Views
I never stated it was either. That's the problem with spiritual matters. Tom - 20/12/2011 08:43:46 PM 724 Views
How about a faith atheist? Palatine - 19/12/2011 04:28:59 PM 912 Views
Nevermind. It appears you answered that in your reply to Tim. *NM* Palatine - 19/12/2011 04:32:19 PM 439 Views
Re: See, I can't be an atheist. snoopcester - 19/12/2011 04:57:23 PM 877 Views
It's impossible to tell if worshipping a false god would be worse than worshipping no god at all. Tom - 20/12/2011 04:14:59 AM 683 Views
Sounds like you must be a modern-day prophet beetnemesis - 19/12/2011 05:24:24 PM 726 Views
Well, it's *possible* that he is. Vivien - 19/12/2011 05:49:34 PM 807 Views
Hah, fair enough beetnemesis - 19/12/2011 06:47:07 PM 764 Views
Idiocy. Confirmation bias doesn't explain away external phenomena. Tom - 20/12/2011 04:19:10 AM 846 Views
Well. Sareitha Sedai - 21/12/2011 01:49:36 PM 752 Views
I didn't forget about it. I was getting ready to give up on it. Tom - 21/12/2011 02:27:18 PM 718 Views
That doesn't really make sense. Sareitha Sedai - 21/12/2011 03:04:23 PM 650 Views
No, it does make perfect sense. Tom - 21/12/2011 06:17:02 PM 790 Views
Also, learn to use the subjunctive. It's "if I WERE a Christian..." Tom - 19/12/2011 03:54:20 AM 838 Views
The sad thing about that comment... Larry - 19/12/2011 04:52:57 AM 962 Views
I'm pretty sure there's plenty of middle ground between those two examples LadyLorraine - 19/12/2011 05:31:13 PM 728 Views
Tom is right. Agnosticism is really the only rational posistion. Urza - 20/12/2011 04:17:08 AM 718 Views
Tom, I think this means you should take up ForEx trading. *NM* Urza - 19/12/2011 04:00:20 AM 377 Views
I might. I'm close enough to it as is. I just did some ForEx ISDAs for clients... Tom - 19/12/2011 04:03:11 AM 900 Views
I really am gonna miss Hitchens...a lot *NM* *NM* Roland00 - 19/12/2011 04:06:50 AM 385 Views
I will miss him, too...a lot. *NM* Tom - 19/12/2011 04:17:05 AM 371 Views
so, hypothetically...if I was to send you a list of people... LadyLorraine - 19/12/2011 04:25:47 AM 794 Views
Let's not try that. Tom - 20/12/2011 04:21:35 AM 748 Views
I'm so ronery 김정일 - 19/12/2011 06:36:38 AM 839 Views
I thought you were asking if I believed in KJ-I, the Eternal Leader Praziquantel - 19/12/2011 06:55:08 AM 738 Views
The article I just read said he died on Saturday. Rebekah - 19/12/2011 08:58:17 AM 804 Views
Yeah, he actually died on a train Saturday morning before Tom made the comment. *NM* TaskmasterJack - 19/12/2011 09:13:44 PM 333 Views
I'm not claiming causality. And, for the record, I first made the comment on Friday afternoon. Tom - 20/12/2011 04:25:07 AM 802 Views
You know what's really weird? Isaac - 19/12/2011 11:32:23 AM 804 Views
It has been there for 6 hours at this stage. Stephen - 19/12/2011 12:34:57 PM 881 Views
don't forget Mugabe (sp) Yunalesca - 19/12/2011 01:06:24 PM 714 Views
Zimbabwe basically is dust by now. *NM* Tim - 19/12/2011 02:52:51 PM 365 Views
They took it down, apparently. *NM* Tom - 20/12/2011 04:40:24 AM 344 Views
Not surprising, still in the revisions if anyone wants to see of course Isaac - 20/12/2011 11:06:05 AM 951 Views
Turns out Kim Jong really was il? snoopcester - 19/12/2011 12:10:15 PM 767 Views
all praise Madokami! *NM* Yunalesca - 19/12/2011 01:03:26 PM 430 Views
He's not dead-dead. Neither is his father. Just ask the North Koreans. Palatine - 19/12/2011 04:23:48 PM 791 Views
Re: He's not dead-dead. Neither is his father. Just ask the North Koreans. TaskmasterJack - 19/12/2011 09:15:09 PM 720 Views
That happened to me too. Nate - 19/12/2011 09:45:48 PM 852 Views
Re: That happened to me too. TaskmasterJack - 19/12/2011 09:48:36 PM 726 Views
Re: Legend Palatine - 20/12/2011 04:54:40 PM 729 Views
I wonder if they're going to embalm him? Tom - 20/12/2011 04:39:33 AM 660 Views
The problem with predictions that come true Vivien - 19/12/2011 05:28:24 PM 828 Views
I don't make a lot of predictions. *NM* Tom - 19/12/2011 08:18:53 PM 485 Views
Well you should start at least journaling the ones that you do make. Vivien - 19/12/2011 08:40:18 PM 793 Views
I actually now do tell my friends when I have dreams that have the "feel" to them. Tom - 20/12/2011 04:36:07 AM 854 Views
Just ones about old, sick guys dying? *NM* Sareitha Sedai - 19/12/2011 09:51:12 PM 333 Views
No, sadly. Tom - 20/12/2011 04:31:44 AM 662 Views
I can attest to the fact that this conversation took place on Facebook Saturday. TaskmasterJack - 19/12/2011 09:19:06 PM 733 Views
Yeah, I thought that reply seemed in the wrong place Isaac - 19/12/2011 09:28:17 PM 743 Views
Re: Yeah, I thought that reply seemed in the wrong place TaskmasterJack - 19/12/2011 09:31:00 PM 736 Views
Yes, TMJ, you also contributed in this case. *NM* Tom - 20/12/2011 04:38:42 AM 336 Views
I am not a dog to be petted! TaskmasterJack - 21/12/2011 02:42:55 AM 734 Views
HAHAHAHA!!!! *NM* Tom - 21/12/2011 05:31:06 AM 428 Views
Coincidentally, I found this site today kHz1000 - 19/12/2011 10:57:36 PM 770 Views
Oh, I liked that site. I found it a few years ago. *NM* Tom - 20/12/2011 04:37:04 AM 336 Views
Jeez, I hope I never get on your bad side ironclad - 20/12/2011 12:06:54 AM 678 Views
Things did change for the better with Stalin's death. Vivien - 20/12/2011 02:51:12 AM 779 Views
Not for Stalin *NM* Tom - 20/12/2011 09:49:39 PM 398 Views
eh, you can't have everything Yunalesca - 20/12/2011 11:08:36 PM 681 Views
So I guess you want me to destroy the voodoo doll I have of you? Oh wait...never mind. *NM* Tom - 20/12/2011 04:37:35 AM 330 Views
Not to downplay your awesomely uncanny coincidence... Avendesora - 20/12/2011 01:19:33 PM 753 Views
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