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A natural experiment fionwe1987 Send a noteboard - 08/06/2020 10:42:34 PM

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While I support generally why they are protesting, it does seem unfortunate timing for mass protests. Will be interesting to see how it plays out, plus how much impact wearing masks will have, as some protests seemed to have lots of mask wearers, versus others that didn't.

That disparity is unfortunate, but does present an opportunity. The real issue will be coming up with reasonable estimates of mask wearing. I believe we have enough photos and videos from these protests to be able to make a statistically reasonable estimate, then go from there, but mask wearing won't be the only factor that differentiates these protests, so we'll have to be very careful with how we analyze the data. But I wouldn't be shocked that someone is looking to do such a study.

Unfortunately, by it's nature, it'll be a few years till such a study is truly doable. So it'll have to be a topic to revisit eventually.

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I'm curious. damookster - 08/06/2020 06:59:18 PM 1512 Views
Knowledge is always uncertain, there will always be under and overreactions. Roland00 - 08/06/2020 07:06:35 PM 770 Views
I would expect so, yes. *NM* Legolas - 08/06/2020 08:00:59 PM 414 Views
That yes is for which question? Or is it for both? *NM* damookster - 08/06/2020 08:23:06 PM 427 Views
The first one. Otherwise I'd have said no and yes. *NM* Legolas - 08/06/2020 09:19:48 PM 419 Views
Yes, I believe we will... fionwe1987 - 08/06/2020 10:15:30 PM 826 Views
Why are you so invested in either closing down the country or the seriousness of the flu? Cannoli - 09/06/2020 06:37:24 PM 870 Views
Because I care about my fellow human being, cockroach. Go infest somewhere else. I'm done with you. *NM* fionwe1987 - 09/06/2020 08:35:42 PM 455 Views
Except you don't. You really, REALLY want this disease to be worse than it is. Cannoli - 12/06/2020 11:06:50 AM 818 Views
Sure. Anyone who disagrees with you wants mass poverty or mass death. No other possibility exists... fionwe1987 - 12/06/2020 02:44:08 PM 798 Views
Fionwe same as other alt-left crazies Nargs - 16/06/2020 05:24:12 PM 850 Views
I dunno what's "alt" about it. We're the mainstream. Which must scare you fionwe1987 - 16/06/2020 06:06:44 PM 754 Views
Dissonance Nargs - 16/06/2020 08:02:08 PM 796 Views
Do you think it's possible to disagree, even vehemently damookster - 16/06/2020 08:14:50 PM 833 Views
I'm sure it is, in some conditions. fionwe1987 - 16/06/2020 09:43:50 PM 823 Views
I am not a middle aged white man. I'm an old white man. damookster - 16/06/2020 06:15:52 PM 802 Views
Evidence is not on your side, damook *NM* Nargs - 16/06/2020 07:27:39 PM 431 Views
Much like... Jeordam - 16/06/2020 07:34:14 PM 848 Views
Statistically Insignificant Nargs - 16/06/2020 08:07:03 PM 786 Views
Stats don't tell the whole story. damookster - 16/06/2020 08:06:17 PM 756 Views
You're right but on race? Nargs - 16/06/2020 08:08:40 PM 816 Views
Yes, you're right. damookster - 16/06/2020 08:17:04 PM 749 Views
You realize that's not a contradiction, right? fionwe1987 - 16/06/2020 09:49:56 PM 811 Views
A few points gban007 - 17/06/2020 09:29:15 PM 810 Views
I wasn't going to say it but... Nargs - 16/06/2020 08:17:57 PM 810 Views
Again: you really are a loathsome little ball of slime. Ghavrel - 10/06/2020 02:11:52 AM 770 Views
It's not my world, it's theirs. Cannoli - 12/06/2020 11:13:14 AM 796 Views
Burning down corporate stores and taking their stolen wealth is a moral good. *NM* Ghavrel - 15/06/2020 12:04:52 AM 431 Views
Stolen Wealth? Jeordam - 15/06/2020 04:50:59 PM 793 Views
How does one determine what is Original Sin? Roland00 - 15/06/2020 05:17:37 PM 786 Views
So then.... Jeordam - 15/06/2020 09:59:31 PM 796 Views
I'm uncertain if this is what Ghavrel meant, but I'd assume you don't need proof that slavery... fionwe1987 - 15/06/2020 07:59:07 PM 794 Views
So we're talking about reparations....? Jeordam - 15/06/2020 09:42:37 PM 814 Views
Why must money solve "all" issues? fionwe1987 - 15/06/2020 11:32:05 PM 798 Views
So then money won't... Jeordam - 16/06/2020 06:09:24 PM 827 Views
fionwe1987 - 16/06/2020 06:29:59 PM 754 Views
Those aren't codified examples Jeordam - 16/06/2020 07:31:49 PM 799 Views
Well that's some special nonsense fionwe1987 - 16/06/2020 09:55:42 PM 778 Views
We're having a discussion...please try and not denigrate me. Jeordam - 17/06/2020 05:26:36 PM 789 Views
But I didn't clearly state I want to denigrate you. You're inferring intent. How's that ok? fionwe1987 - 17/06/2020 06:06:28 PM 787 Views
Pain and Death they *actively* choose... Jeordam - 17/06/2020 06:39:13 PM 805 Views
They make no such choice. Which is why they're out there protesting fionwe1987 - 17/06/2020 07:00:25 PM 825 Views
Sigh Roland00 - 16/06/2020 08:15:12 PM 772 Views
Nah I just straight up think capitalism is evil. Reparations should be paid, though. *NM* Ghavrel - 16/06/2020 09:22:46 AM 388 Views
Fair enough. *NM* fionwe1987 - 16/06/2020 02:54:11 PM 419 Views
aaah... Jeordam - 16/06/2020 06:10:16 PM 806 Views
Re: Stolen Wealth? Ghavrel - 16/06/2020 09:21:32 AM 766 Views
Rather it should be The State? *NM* damookster - 16/06/2020 12:10:59 PM 411 Views
What is "the State" fionwe1987 - 16/06/2020 02:57:34 PM 757 Views
my comment was directed to Ghavrel. damookster - 16/06/2020 04:49:39 PM 771 Views
You shouldn't make assumptions... fionwe1987 - 16/06/2020 06:10:02 PM 776 Views
Lemme tell you about this cool thing called syndicalism... *NM* Ghavrel - 17/06/2020 06:46:38 AM 416 Views
There's a lot I like about that... *NM* fionwe1987 - 17/06/2020 06:07:47 PM 384 Views
Syndicalisme révolutionnaire, peut-être? *NM* damookster - 17/06/2020 06:29:00 PM 395 Views
I'm actually still a reformist, believe it or not. *NM* Ghavrel - 18/06/2020 03:29:18 PM 400 Views
Bah *NM* damookster - 18/06/2020 03:36:20 PM 379 Views
I been thinking about the different religious sects of Himboism, suddenly ... Roland00 - 29/06/2020 01:30:09 AM 797 Views
The only state with legitimacy is the Kingdom of Heaven. *NM* Ghavrel - 16/06/2020 08:57:26 PM 389 Views
Are we talking about the Mormon Sect? Roland00 - 16/06/2020 09:06:14 PM 719 Views
My bad damookster - 16/06/2020 10:20:14 PM 785 Views
In fairness, I usually talk policy goals as a social democrat. Ghavrel - 17/06/2020 12:34:45 AM 788 Views
They The Shrike - 17/06/2020 06:29:35 PM 795 Views
damookster - 17/06/2020 06:40:30 PM 783 Views
I go by she and her, but thank you. <3 *NM* Ghavrel - 18/06/2020 03:45:46 PM 418 Views
I try to be very sensitive to this. damookster - 18/06/2020 03:55:01 PM 797 Views
It means a great deal to me. I can't overstate how much it means to your grandson. *NM* Ghavrel - 18/06/2020 04:04:53 PM 436 Views
Catholicism by itself is a Performance Arts Piece Roland00 - 18/06/2020 01:17:45 AM 745 Views
A Catholic?! What?! I'm an Episcopalian. Ghavrel - 18/06/2020 03:45:24 PM 817 Views
No thanks. Not into non-democracies. *NM* The Shrike - 17/06/2020 06:26:29 PM 401 Views
Ah a fellow Devil's Party Member. *NM* Roland00 - 18/06/2020 01:13:37 AM 381 Views
I can empathize with this view, actually, though I no longer hold it. *NM* Ghavrel - 18/06/2020 03:47:24 PM 406 Views
That's the debate, isn't it. Jeordam - 16/06/2020 06:16:10 PM 743 Views
Economists have been arguing this for over 400 years. Roland00 - 16/06/2020 08:22:57 PM 791 Views
You could let the market determine that, I guess. Ghavrel - 16/06/2020 08:56:23 PM 779 Views
Because we do not live in Paradise. Jeordam - 17/06/2020 05:36:58 PM 764 Views
Exactly. So the worker should own the means of production with other workers. Ghavrel - 17/06/2020 06:11:21 PM 779 Views
So my question then is.... Jeordam - 17/06/2020 06:46:11 PM 825 Views
Sigh...I just can't not. Roland00 - 18/06/2020 01:20:09 AM 744 Views
You know "talent" in the Bible is explictly referring to money, right? Ghavrel - 18/06/2020 03:43:11 PM 810 Views
Jesus also said it is easier for a camel to pass though a needle's eye... damookster - 18/06/2020 03:49:43 PM 734 Views
This is true! Ghavrel - 18/06/2020 04:04:16 PM 797 Views
Thou shalt not steal. *NM* The Shrike - 15/06/2020 11:10:34 PM 362 Views
"Ye blind guides, which strain at a gnat, and swallow a camel." *NM* Ghavrel - 16/06/2020 09:19:26 AM 401 Views
"Render unto Caesar the things that are Caesar's" *NM* damookster - 16/06/2020 12:13:15 PM 367 Views
Pride goes before destruction, and a haughty spirit before a fall. *NM* The Shrike - 16/06/2020 12:15:04 PM 388 Views
"Your gold and silver is cankered; and the rust of them shall be a witness against you..." *NM* Ghavrel - 16/06/2020 10:15:41 PM 402 Views
Is a concern of mine gban007 - 08/06/2020 10:16:09 PM 778 Views
A natural experiment fionwe1987 - 08/06/2020 10:42:34 PM 748 Views
Yes, we probably will. But demonstrators wearing masks are not normal life. Ghavrel - 09/06/2020 07:10:31 AM 792 Views
I'm not sure that's a valid comparison. damookster - 09/06/2020 05:57:31 PM 765 Views
Agreed. These aren't comparable situations. fionwe1987 - 09/06/2020 06:09:27 PM 787 Views
Down South that is called Communism Mookie. Roland00 - 09/06/2020 06:32:06 PM 766 Views
Alabama is down south, right? aerocontrols - 09/06/2020 10:08:15 PM 749 Views
I was comparing it to a control situation of no state action in response to SARS-CoV-2. Ghavrel - 10/06/2020 02:09:19 AM 768 Views
We have all the same rules here in Seattle Bad Ash - 10/06/2020 07:45:59 PM 797 Views
I figured you aerocontrols - 09/06/2020 10:09:36 PM 749 Views
About your original question... fionwe1987 - 17/06/2020 09:25:38 PM 793 Views
that is encouraging damookster - 17/06/2020 09:44:10 PM 784 Views
Re: that is encouraging fionwe1987 - 17/06/2020 10:10:34 PM 737 Views
Seems indoors with strangers is more a predictor than outdoor protests. Roland00 - 27/06/2020 02:38:07 AM 859 Views
Tips, maybe? fionwe1987 - 27/06/2020 05:10:30 AM 780 Views
Perhaps Roland00 - 27/06/2020 10:19:39 PM 704 Views
A 315 city study, BLM protests did not cause a spike in COVID cases. Roland00 - 27/06/2020 10:19:05 PM 773 Views
Sigh, here is some bad news. Case Reports and a Lab study suggests COVID may cause type 1 diabetes Roland00 - 28/06/2020 06:11:45 AM 756 Views
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