If your role doesn't have a clear guilt/innocent option, and you have data to record, try to guess which option is more likely for your action on a given random use in the average game and use that as 'innocent', and the less likely as guilty, this helps keep the HC table more random appearing and harder to crack.
The intuitive mind is a sacred gift and the rational mind is a faithful servant. We have created a society that honors the servant and has forgotten the gift.
- Albert Einstein
King of Cairhien 20-7-2
Chancellor of the Landsraad, Archduke of Is'Mod
- Albert Einstein
King of Cairhien 20-7-2
Chancellor of the Landsraad, Archduke of Is'Mod
RAFO Mafia 19: Superlative Crisis! ISSUE TWO: BLACK MAGIC- WHOA, MAN!
- 03/11/2010 04:59:59 AM
2981 Views
I see two avenues to discuss here
- 03/11/2010 11:41:14 AM
1199 Views
I was thinking about number 1.
- 03/11/2010 10:00:57 PM
1212 Views
Regarding 2, and let me suggets a 3
- 04/11/2010 02:30:41 AM
1266 Views
I, personally, agree with Isaac so here goes.
- 04/11/2010 11:33:07 PM
1188 Views
O.......K..........
- 05/11/2010 11:43:14 PM
1149 Views
Did Fist use his power last Night?
- 06/11/2010 03:41:05 AM
1205 Views
It's one of three plausible explanations for his death
- 06/11/2010 04:53:19 AM
1225 Views
Re: It's one of three plausible explanations for his death
- 06/11/2010 05:30:00 PM
1186 Views
Re: It's one of three plausible explanations for his death
- 06/11/2010 07:15:11 PM
1236 Views
Re: It's one of three plausible explanations for his death
- 07/11/2010 08:18:16 AM
1275 Views
Re: It's one of three plausible explanations for his death
- 07/11/2010 03:38:37 PM
1294 Views
Re: It's one of three plausible explanations for his death
- 07/11/2010 06:42:10 PM
1265 Views
Huh, well Fox straight up told us his Mason group was a 3rd Fraction on Night 1
- 11/11/2010 12:55:50 AM
1212 Views
Re: It's one of three plausible explanations for his death
- 07/11/2010 06:16:29 PM
1294 Views
Re: It's one of three plausible explanations for his death
- 07/11/2010 07:16:20 PM
1231 Views
Re: It's one of three plausible explanations for his death
- 07/11/2010 09:29:12 PM
1348 Views
I am about 95% sure that WF targeted me last Night.
- 11/11/2010 01:04:34 AM
1288 Views
Interesting.
- 11/11/2010 02:25:07 AM
1212 Views
It's certainly possible.
- 11/11/2010 02:39:00 AM
1237 Views
Now I'm curious
- 11/11/2010 03:33:46 AM
1289 Views
Presumably because I'm not trying to get her lynched.
- 11/11/2010 03:53:54 AM
1268 Views
Yeah, I'm going with that #3 there.
- 04/11/2010 05:41:04 AM
1298 Views
Re: Yeah, I'm going with that #3 there.
- 04/11/2010 04:18:17 PM
1348 Views
a scummer got caught on day one in the tower game
- 04/11/2010 06:42:15 PM
1257 Views
also there was that time someone said they saw a black light instead of white
- 04/11/2010 07:52:41 PM
1209 Views
That was Hobo in DK's crossover game. *NM*
- 04/11/2010 08:16:07 PM
671 Views
You know we could just forget about that. I wouldn't complain.
*NM*
- 05/11/2010 08:35:03 PM
717 Views
*NM*
- 05/11/2010 08:35:03 PM
717 Views
Hypocop? *NM*
- 03/11/2010 03:20:17 PM
733 Views
Hobo - Innocent + read this before you HC if you haven't already
- 04/11/2010 08:25:26 PM
1207 Views
On which to pick for oddballs
- 04/11/2010 08:28:25 PM
1171 Views
So help me I will spoil the entirety of ToM, people! (not just yet, though)
- 10/11/2010 02:51:46 AM
1161 Views
I'm pretty sure if you do, you'll be lynched. *NM*
- 10/11/2010 09:19:43 PM
686 Views
Vote: No Lynch
- 13/11/2010 12:24:43 AM
1222 Views
I am very much opposed to this idea
- 13/11/2010 02:04:27 PM
1168 Views
Then offer an alternative
- 13/11/2010 11:10:42 PM
1236 Views
Why is an inactive likely to be a townie?
- 14/11/2010 04:03:35 AM
1125 Views
Re: Why is an inactive likely to be a townie?
- 14/11/2010 04:21:12 AM
1216 Views
I had no RBIRL because my computer died.
- 14/11/2010 06:52:56 AM
1131 Views
Ah, I see you did unvote. Very well. I still got my eye on you. *NM*
- 14/11/2010 06:55:30 AM
625 Views
LOL - I guess this is also my informal defense
- 14/11/2010 08:52:56 AM
1204 Views
Saying it's not out-of-character to be scummy doesn't make you any less scummy.
- 14/11/2010 04:33:15 PM
1213 Views
Watch the difference between what he says and what he is accused of.
- 14/11/2010 07:08:08 PM
1139 Views
After this whole argument I've had with FT...
- 13/11/2010 11:42:32 PM
1163 Views
People who vote for totally random lynches don't deserve to win
- 14/11/2010 03:43:14 AM
1181 Views
Re: People who vote for totally random lynches don't deserve to win
- 14/11/2010 02:23:04 PM
1331 Views
Vote: Isaac
- 13/11/2010 11:58:56 PM
1265 Views
Re: Vote: Isaac
- 14/11/2010 03:02:15 AM
1165 Views
Re: Vote: Isaac
- 14/11/2010 04:02:30 AM
1234 Views
What was scummy?
- 14/11/2010 04:10:12 AM
1269 Views
Re: What was scummy?
- 14/11/2010 05:41:44 AM
1195 Views
Extrmely thin
- 14/11/2010 06:05:32 AM
1347 Views
Actually...
- 14/11/2010 06:55:02 AM
1276 Views
Re: Actually...
- 14/11/2010 07:44:33 AM
1207 Views
Did you guys just blitz me?
- 14/11/2010 11:35:58 PM
1259 Views
- 14/11/2010 11:35:58 PM
1259 Views
Your not hammered yet are you?
- 14/11/2010 11:46:29 PM
1158 Views
I think I might be, can never be sure what votes are worth in a heavy role game
- 14/11/2010 11:50:51 PM
1208 Views
I'm potentially alive on a technicality
- 15/11/2010 12:02:36 AM
1075 Views
Why don't you go ahead and claim then?
- 15/11/2010 12:11:03 AM
1197 Views
Sure
- 15/11/2010 12:34:34 AM
1163 Views
Hmmmmmmmmmmmmm...
- 15/11/2010 02:13:23 AM
1257 Views
I think so.
- 15/11/2010 01:25:46 AM
1134 Views
Also, I must confess...
- 15/11/2010 01:32:44 AM
1164 Views
Re: Also, I must confess...
- 15/11/2010 01:58:26 AM
1279 Views
Yes, I would expect so.
- 15/11/2010 02:22:06 AM
1112 Views
Re: Yes, I would expect so.
- 15/11/2010 02:35:49 AM
1234 Views
I'm unvoting only if the defence is really foolproof, since now no-one can hammer without instantly
- 15/11/2010 07:18:05 AM
1208 Views
EBWOP - The "only" in the title is rebundant, it was part of different title I abandoned. *NM*
- 15/11/2010 07:19:46 AM
718 Views
I guess the first title stands afterall I won't automatically unvote just because none should hammer
- 15/11/2010 08:19:00 AM
1074 Views
I'll try to help Isaac out a bit here.
- 15/11/2010 01:11:11 PM
1054 Views
Thanks, and a question too
- 15/11/2010 01:30:17 PM
1129 Views
Well, I'll unvote if the third mason comes forward too. *NM*
- 15/11/2010 03:30:36 PM
710 Views
Jeez, when it rains, it pours
- 15/11/2010 10:34:54 PM
1087 Views
OK Isaac
- 15/11/2010 11:14:45 PM
1125 Views
My Defense Posts
- 16/11/2010 04:16:41 AM
1119 Views
Defense A: The Fantastic Four
- 16/11/2010 04:31:11 AM
1204 Views
Defense B: The Numbers Game
- 16/11/2010 04:36:59 AM
1220 Views
"What motive would a scummer have"?
- 16/11/2010 05:56:04 PM
1163 Views
Without any further questions though?
- 16/11/2010 11:51:42 PM
1246 Views
If you see an avalanche coming, you hop on board (NOT a metaphor).
- 17/11/2010 12:12:31 AM
1144 Views
Defense C: The Intro Flavor
- 16/11/2010 04:41:31 AM
1291 Views
Eh ...
- 16/11/2010 10:00:21 PM
1132 Views
Re: Eh ...
- 17/11/2010 02:33:27 AM
1170 Views
We'll take a look at that in turn, but first...
- 16/11/2010 07:01:22 AM
1219 Views
Re: We'll take a look at that in turn, but first...
- 16/11/2010 01:40:21 PM
1145 Views
Yes, that was it.
- 16/11/2010 09:05:04 PM
1137 Views
Re: Yes, that was it.
- 17/11/2010 02:55:58 AM
1149 Views
Not at all.
- 17/11/2010 03:04:50 AM
1193 Views
Well, that's a borderline lie
- 17/11/2010 04:29:47 AM
1230 Views
How do you figure?
- 17/11/2010 05:46:37 AM
1147 Views
I'd say its pretty pertinent to my defense
- 17/11/2010 06:49:20 AM
1133 Views
All right, fair enough.
- 17/11/2010 07:19:37 AM
1268 Views
Thanks for whakcing me before going to bed
- 17/11/2010 07:39:58 AM
1186 Views
- 17/11/2010 07:39:58 AM
1186 Views
By the way, I'd appreciate if no one had hammer till FT has a chance to reply and vice-versa
- 17/11/2010 07:46:18 AM
1145 Views
I have evidence in favor of and yet against F-T's claim. Take it as you will.
- 17/11/2010 07:18:35 PM
1230 Views
Slight EBWOP
- 17/11/2010 07:20:58 PM
1211 Views
Re: Slight EBWOP
- 17/11/2010 07:24:34 PM
1126 Views
Uh, that doesn't make a lot of sense
- 17/11/2010 07:22:59 PM
1208 Views
That's fair. Sanity can actually be called into question now.
- 17/11/2010 07:26:34 PM
1140 Views
Re: That's fair. Sanity can actually be called into question now.
- 17/11/2010 08:01:20 PM
1201 Views
Actually that sounds a good plan
- 17/11/2010 08:06:50 PM
1126 Views
Glad to hear you agree with yourself
- 17/11/2010 08:14:42 PM
1210 Views
- 17/11/2010 08:14:42 PM
1210 Views
:/ Wanna mention this before I forget. Little niggling that's been bugging me.
- 17/11/2010 03:03:27 AM
1147 Views
Ah yes, I noticed that as well
- 17/11/2010 04:08:15 AM
1145 Views
I just caught that
- 17/11/2010 04:53:16 AM
1288 Views
No, I don't mean Cop.
- 17/11/2010 05:29:36 AM
1153 Views
Re: No, I don't mean Cop.
- 17/11/2010 05:34:46 AM
1191 Views
I trust him because of the way he's been acting.
- 17/11/2010 06:30:26 PM
1243 Views
Complete sidetrack.
- 17/11/2010 07:28:31 PM
1225 Views
Re: Complete sidetrack.
- 17/11/2010 07:33:51 PM
1102 Views
I can't seem to find the post about that arrangement we had, incidentally.
- 17/11/2010 05:38:53 AM
1082 Views
Re: I can't seem to find the post about that arrangement we had, incidentally.
- 17/11/2010 06:04:08 AM
1095 Views
Re: I can't seem to find the post about that arrangement we had, incidentally.
- 17/11/2010 06:25:05 AM
1188 Views
Re: I can't seem to find the post about that arrangement we had, incidentally.
- 17/11/2010 06:50:04 AM
1139 Views
In the interests of honesty, now would probably be a good time to mention ...
- 17/11/2010 09:22:14 PM
1165 Views
What the balls?
- 17/11/2010 09:52:04 PM
1197 Views
I still only see one way for this day to end
- 18/11/2010 02:02:03 PM
1136 Views
Re: I still only see one way for this day to end
- 18/11/2010 03:18:50 PM
1114 Views
Its probably the blind mason loyalty thing, but I'm inclined to trust Isaac.
- 18/11/2010 05:16:28 PM
1325 Views
Re: Its probably the blind mason loyalty thing, but I'm inclined to trust Isaac.
- 18/11/2010 06:00:06 PM
1102 Views
I'd also like to point out that we know nothing about you
- 18/11/2010 03:37:08 PM
1122 Views
i don't know much about comics but
- 18/11/2010 05:45:10 PM
1174 Views
Re: i don't know much about comics but
- 18/11/2010 05:49:54 PM
1054 Views
They're also Marvel characters
- 18/11/2010 06:30:11 PM
1207 Views
LOL, duly noted
- 18/11/2010 06:48:08 PM
1213 Views
- 18/11/2010 06:48:08 PM
1213 Views
Beast is really surprisingly un-beastly.
- 18/11/2010 06:28:15 PM
1191 Views
Sure
- 18/11/2010 06:42:01 PM
1174 Views
Alright, to hell with this. Let's test F-T's sanity. Vote: Isaac *NM*
- 21/11/2010 08:29:53 PM
696 Views
Ah, the frustration vote, normally my best friend
- 21/11/2010 09:58:18 PM
1148 Views
- 21/11/2010 09:58:18 PM
1148 Views
OK, here's a question for beet:
- 21/11/2010 10:37:08 PM
1155 Views
You're not suggesting we lynch F-T instead of Isaac, are you?
- 21/11/2010 11:17:19 PM
1135 Views
But we do get information
- 22/11/2010 12:17:20 AM
1145 Views
<-- Btw, first time I got the hammer vote. My life is now complete. *NM*
- 22/11/2010 12:20:53 AM
683 Views
Well, congrats
*NM*
- 22/11/2010 12:32:34 AM
734 Views
*NM*
- 22/11/2010 12:32:34 AM
734 Views
Since this is a first for both of us...
- 22/11/2010 12:35:29 AM
1120 Views
- 22/11/2010 12:35:29 AM
1120 Views
When someone dies, you find out their role. "Psycho Cop" is a distinct role.
- 21/11/2010 11:22:50 PM
1143 Views
Isaac wonders how he could be lynched without scum involvement...
- 22/11/2010 12:00:31 AM
1098 Views
Re: Isaac wonders how he could be lynched without scum involvement...
- 22/11/2010 12:21:01 AM
1213 Views
Isaac has been lynched!
- 22/11/2010 03:10:01 AM
1059 Views
I can't help but feel a silver bullet would have been appropriate
- 22/11/2010 04:11:13 AM
1061 Views
- 22/11/2010 04:11:13 AM
1061 Views
I find that astounding, considering the level of suspicion generally laid upon you *NM*
- 22/11/2010 04:16:04 AM
733 Views
I might just mount your head on my wall
.
- 22/11/2010 05:09:45 AM
1235 Views
.
- 22/11/2010 05:09:45 AM
1235 Views
I consider myself an integral part in this group.
- 22/11/2010 05:27:12 AM
1242 Views



