A lot



We don't "know" that. Kronin's claim is backed up by his HC, but were he scum that would mean no more than he saw the option for a RC of that type. Considering its basically established beyond reasonable doubt that at least one scummer voted for me, if you are accepting both Kronin and Ft as town, that leaves only 4 votes - yours, Amys, Bergioyn, and ? I'd have second thoughts about eliminating who the scummer vote(s) could be from.



Pretty simple reason, I have third-party verifiable proof of my claim of SPLOG-weirdness predating FT's claim and even his HC, doesn't prove the claim but it removes the option of it being a last desperate gamble. We also have 4 investigatory claims right now, so the SPLOG is reasonably viewed as about as likely to be accurate as random guessing would be. I also find it a bit weird that you now say all we had to go was a perception of anti-town behavior yet you voted for me, unvoted, then voted again, all before the cop revelation.



You propose killing FT in spite of the fact that no one has counter-claimed having the SPLOG, and Kronin says he tracked him to me? Its pretty clear FT has the thing, he can't be scum, why would we lynch him if I'm innocent?



Or yours

Vote: Ranagrande

We know that even if I'm scum at least one scummer voted for me, even if they only have 3 and with 4 investigatory roles, fist's up-gunned role and virtually everyone else apparently roled 3 seems unlikely. BEst odds are at least two scummers voted for me and it's not logically consistent that FT or Kronin would be them.

That just leaves you, Amys, Bergioyn, and ?

But ? could have hit me right at the end, he'd have attracted no more suspicion by correcting his vote then by simply casting it. We can't say anything about Amys, she voted and has disappeared beyond lurking, not even opening coin bid NBs, then there's you and Bergioyn.

We've already covered how unlikely bussing should have been under the circumstances and how it's necessary under essentially any model for at least one scummer to have voted for me, that makes me very unlikely to be a scummer, but its also still unlikely that only one scummer voted for me, that 'only one' is based off multiple improbable assumptions needing to be true for each case. The data favors no less than 2 scummers voting for me, an even more absurd bussing case, and it means two of those 4 votes on me besides FT and Kronin are scum.

You're the most probable candidate to be one. You voted on very slim evidence like the others, but Amys and ? are pretty new, don't really have a handle on what is lynch-worthy evidence. Whereas Bergioyn hesitated to vote initially, saying he was suspicious of me and FT, that he wanted to hear more details, then finally voted and said he'd unvote when my mason buds confirmed, you voted after him, taking me to L-1 and didn't unvote even when DK warned you so, nor were you likely not to have realized a bandwagon vote was underway.

Throughout you've seemed primarily interested in just getting a lynch, yet while others who did vote have potential clear reasons, you really do not:

FT - copped me, thought I was suspicious and clearly after getting the result took the more sinister interpretation of all my actions

Kronin - Tracked FT, knew he'd done something to me and knew he'd HC'd me guilty, must have seriously considered FT was the cop, his first reaction to the claim was genuine in my opinion, then he thought about how improbable three fully working investigators (now 4) was and wanted time, unvoted

? - I pushed on him pretty hard early today as a possible scummer, yet with every reasonable chance as townie or scummer busser to have finished off the lynch by simply resending with a colon, he never has, even though he posted before anyone else unvoted. Had he been scum and just wanted me dead, regardless of alignment, from bussing or a desire to kill a townie, he had it right there without any realistic chance of repercussion beyond what he'd already have gotten by voting in the first place. He's also fairly new, and not steeped in a lot of our tactics, as reveale dby his responses during my grilling of him, I don't think he'd bee too likely to 'bus' me. He might be scum and me townie, but he's an even worse case for bussing than others, and if scum, too easy to just repeat the vote.

Amys - Just gone right now, my nominal hammer vote, I'd like to hear from her but if she doesn't open up my Coin Game Bid pretty soon we'll have to assume she's gone, who vote off, etc. She's new too, not likely to rapid bus someone if she saw it, but that new status excuses jumping on a bandwagon without realizing the repercussions, though she's pretty high on my list too

Bergioyn - He unvoted, has voted since, was very dubious about the evidence and voted after FT pushed on him, offering himself as Day 3 lynch if I died town.

So, with at least one scummer in the vote mix for me even if I were scum, you had the least reason as town to vote, and you've now expressed an intent to kill FT if I come up town even though every shred of proof indicates he's town.

Your also trying to end the day early when we should be trying to make it so our investigators can narrow down who to target tonight from the list of 5 voters besides FT, makes no sense.