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A 315 city study, BLM protests did not cause a spike in COVID cases. Roland00 Send a noteboard - 27/06/2020 10:19:05 PM

Here is the study and a CNN Summary of it.

https://www.nber.org/papers/w27408.pdf


https://www.cnn.com/2020/06/24/us/coronavirus-cases-protests-black-lives-matter-trnd/index.html

Black Lives Matter protests have not led to a spike in coronavirus cases, research says

(CNN)Despite warnings from public health officials, new research suggests Black Lives Matter protests across the country have not led to a jump in coronavirus cases.

A new study, published this month by the National Bureau of Economic Research, used data on protests from more than 300 of the largest US cities, and found no evidence that coronavirus cases grew in the weeks following the beginning of the protests.

In fact, researchers determined that social distancing behaviors actually went up after the protests -- as people tried to avoid the protests altogether. But obviously, these demonstrations caused a decrease in social distancing among actual protesters.

"Our findings suggest that any direct decrease in social distancing among the subset of the population participating in the protests is more than offset by increasing social distancing behavior among others who may choose to shelter-at-home and circumvent public places while the protests are underway," the report reads.

It's still possible that protests may have caused an increase in the spread of the virus among those who attended protests, according to the report.

Researchers also noted that the effect of protests on social distancing and stay-at-home orders may fade as the violence and scope of protests decline. As the protests begin to lessen or become less intense, non-protesters will feel safer leaving their homes.

"There are other possible explanations for our findings as well, such as avoiding travel outside the home due to additional traffic congestion or street closures, or due to lack of available activities from businesses closures near protest sites," the study reads.

Coronavirus continues to spread in the US

The study comes as new data shows that more and more young people are testing positive for coronavirus, particularly in states that have opened back up.

On Monday, Florida surpassed 100,000 total coronavirus cases, according to the the Florida Department of Health.

In California, more than 35% of confirmed cases have been recorded in just the past two weeks, Gov. Gavin Newsom said in a news conference Monday.

In Texas, people under 30 make up a majority of new coronavirus cases in several counties, said Gov. Greg Abbott last week. That increase in young infected people could be related to Memorial Day parties, visits to bars or other gatherings, he said.

Unlike Europe and Asia, the US has not been able to control the pandemic -- as cases continue to surge amid debates over wearing face masks and the need for social distancing.

CNN's Christina Maxouris and Eric Levenson contributed to this report.


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I'm curious. - 08/06/2020 06:59:18 PM 1060 Views
I would expect so, yes. *NM* - 08/06/2020 08:00:59 PM 153 Views
That yes is for which question? Or is it for both? *NM* - 08/06/2020 08:23:06 PM 154 Views
The first one. Otherwise I'd have said no and yes. *NM* - 08/06/2020 09:19:48 PM 154 Views
Yes, I believe we will... - 08/06/2020 10:15:30 PM 292 Views
Why are you so invested in either closing down the country or the seriousness of the flu? - 09/06/2020 06:37:24 PM 349 Views
Because I care about my fellow human being, cockroach. Go infest somewhere else. I'm done with you. *NM* - 09/06/2020 08:35:42 PM 156 Views
Except you don't. You really, REALLY want this disease to be worse than it is. - 12/06/2020 11:06:50 AM 320 Views
Sure. Anyone who disagrees with you wants mass poverty or mass death. No other possibility exists... - 12/06/2020 02:44:08 PM 292 Views
Fionwe same as other alt-left crazies - 16/06/2020 05:24:12 PM 317 Views
I dunno what's "alt" about it. We're the mainstream. Which must scare you - 16/06/2020 06:06:44 PM 292 Views
Dissonance - 16/06/2020 08:02:08 PM 280 Views
Do you think it's possible to disagree, even vehemently - 16/06/2020 08:14:50 PM 322 Views
I'm sure it is, in some conditions. - 16/06/2020 09:43:50 PM 301 Views
I am not a middle aged white man. I'm an old white man. - 16/06/2020 06:15:52 PM 318 Views
Evidence is not on your side, damook *NM* - 16/06/2020 07:27:39 PM 163 Views
Much like... - 16/06/2020 07:34:14 PM 340 Views
Statistically Insignificant - 16/06/2020 08:07:03 PM 271 Views
Stats don't tell the whole story. - 16/06/2020 08:06:17 PM 276 Views
You're right but on race? - 16/06/2020 08:08:40 PM 302 Views
Yes, you're right. - 16/06/2020 08:17:04 PM 278 Views
You realize that's not a contradiction, right? - 16/06/2020 09:49:56 PM 292 Views
A few points - 17/06/2020 09:29:15 PM 295 Views
I wasn't going to say it but... - 16/06/2020 08:17:57 PM 310 Views
Again: you really are a loathsome little ball of slime. - 10/06/2020 02:11:52 AM 290 Views
It's not my world, it's theirs. - 12/06/2020 11:13:14 AM 316 Views
Burning down corporate stores and taking their stolen wealth is a moral good. *NM* - 15/06/2020 12:04:52 AM 162 Views
Stolen Wealth? - 15/06/2020 04:50:59 PM 304 Views
How does one determine what is Original Sin? - 15/06/2020 05:17:37 PM 300 Views
So then.... - 15/06/2020 09:59:31 PM 288 Views
I'm uncertain if this is what Ghavrel meant, but I'd assume you don't need proof that slavery... - 15/06/2020 07:59:07 PM 285 Views
So we're talking about reparations....? - 15/06/2020 09:42:37 PM 294 Views
Why must money solve "all" issues? - 15/06/2020 11:32:05 PM 283 Views
So then money won't... - 16/06/2020 06:09:24 PM 278 Views
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Those aren't codified examples - 16/06/2020 07:31:49 PM 292 Views
Well that's some special nonsense - 16/06/2020 09:55:42 PM 294 Views
We're having a discussion...please try and not denigrate me. - 17/06/2020 05:26:36 PM 293 Views
But I didn't clearly state I want to denigrate you. You're inferring intent. How's that ok? - 17/06/2020 06:06:28 PM 283 Views
Pain and Death they *actively* choose... - 17/06/2020 06:39:13 PM 291 Views
They make no such choice. Which is why they're out there protesting - 17/06/2020 07:00:25 PM 342 Views
Sigh - 16/06/2020 08:15:12 PM 278 Views
Nah I just straight up think capitalism is evil. Reparations should be paid, though. *NM* - 16/06/2020 09:22:46 AM 145 Views
Fair enough. *NM* - 16/06/2020 02:54:11 PM 141 Views
aaah... - 16/06/2020 06:10:16 PM 290 Views
Re: Stolen Wealth? - 16/06/2020 09:21:32 AM 271 Views
Rather it should be The State? *NM* - 16/06/2020 12:10:59 PM 141 Views
What is "the State" - 16/06/2020 02:57:34 PM 270 Views
my comment was directed to Ghavrel. - 16/06/2020 04:49:39 PM 276 Views
You shouldn't make assumptions... - 16/06/2020 06:10:02 PM 270 Views
Lemme tell you about this cool thing called syndicalism... *NM* - 17/06/2020 06:46:38 AM 148 Views
There's a lot I like about that... *NM* - 17/06/2020 06:07:47 PM 122 Views
Syndicalisme rĂ©volutionnaire, peut-ĂȘtre? *NM* - 17/06/2020 06:29:00 PM 125 Views
I'm actually still a reformist, believe it or not. *NM* - 18/06/2020 03:29:18 PM 142 Views
Bah *NM* - 18/06/2020 03:36:20 PM 123 Views
The only state with legitimacy is the Kingdom of Heaven. *NM* - 16/06/2020 08:57:26 PM 134 Views
Are we talking about the Mormon Sect? - 16/06/2020 09:06:14 PM 245 Views
My bad - 16/06/2020 10:20:14 PM 273 Views
In fairness, I usually talk policy goals as a social democrat. - 17/06/2020 12:34:45 AM 277 Views
They - 17/06/2020 06:29:35 PM 283 Views
- 17/06/2020 06:40:30 PM 308 Views
I go by she and her, but thank you. <3 *NM* - 18/06/2020 03:45:46 PM 148 Views
I try to be very sensitive to this. - 18/06/2020 03:55:01 PM 313 Views
Catholicism by itself is a Performance Arts Piece - 18/06/2020 01:17:45 AM 261 Views
A Catholic?! What?! I'm an Episcopalian. - 18/06/2020 03:45:24 PM 311 Views
No thanks. Not into non-democracies. *NM* - 17/06/2020 06:26:29 PM 133 Views
Ah a fellow Devil's Party Member. *NM* - 18/06/2020 01:13:37 AM 119 Views
That's the debate, isn't it. - 16/06/2020 06:16:10 PM 260 Views
Economists have been arguing this for over 400 years. - 16/06/2020 08:22:57 PM 258 Views
You could let the market determine that, I guess. - 16/06/2020 08:56:23 PM 301 Views
Because we do not live in Paradise. - 17/06/2020 05:36:58 PM 265 Views
Exactly. So the worker should own the means of production with other workers. - 17/06/2020 06:11:21 PM 277 Views
So my question then is.... - 17/06/2020 06:46:11 PM 292 Views
Sigh...I just can't not. - 18/06/2020 01:20:09 AM 260 Views
You know "talent" in the Bible is explictly referring to money, right? - 18/06/2020 03:43:11 PM 305 Views
Jesus also said it is easier for a camel to pass though a needle's eye... - 18/06/2020 03:49:43 PM 263 Views
This is true! - 18/06/2020 04:04:16 PM 305 Views
Thou shalt not steal. *NM* - 15/06/2020 11:10:34 PM 128 Views
Is a concern of mine - 08/06/2020 10:16:09 PM 319 Views
A natural experiment - 08/06/2020 10:42:34 PM 249 Views
Yes, we probably will. But demonstrators wearing masks are not normal life. - 09/06/2020 07:10:31 AM 307 Views
I'm not sure that's a valid comparison. - 09/06/2020 05:57:31 PM 266 Views
Agreed. These aren't comparable situations. - 09/06/2020 06:09:27 PM 275 Views
Down South that is called Communism Mookie. - 09/06/2020 06:32:06 PM 274 Views
Alabama is down south, right? - 09/06/2020 10:08:15 PM 281 Views
We have all the same rules here in Seattle - 10/06/2020 07:45:59 PM 289 Views
I figured you - 09/06/2020 10:09:36 PM 272 Views
About your original question... - 17/06/2020 09:25:38 PM 293 Views
that is encouraging - 17/06/2020 09:44:10 PM 300 Views
Re: that is encouraging - 17/06/2020 10:10:34 PM 277 Views
Seems indoors with strangers is more a predictor than outdoor protests. - 27/06/2020 02:38:07 AM 369 Views
Tips, maybe? - 27/06/2020 05:10:30 AM 318 Views
Perhaps - 27/06/2020 10:19:39 PM 251 Views
A 315 city study, BLM protests did not cause a spike in COVID cases. - 27/06/2020 10:19:05 PM 262 Views

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