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A 315 city study, BLM protests did not cause a spike in COVID cases. Roland00 Send a noteboard - 27/06/2020 10:19:05 PM

Here is the study and a CNN Summary of it.

https://www.nber.org/papers/w27408.pdf


https://www.cnn.com/2020/06/24/us/coronavirus-cases-protests-black-lives-matter-trnd/index.html

Black Lives Matter protests have not led to a spike in coronavirus cases, research says

(CNN)Despite warnings from public health officials, new research suggests Black Lives Matter protests across the country have not led to a jump in coronavirus cases.

A new study, published this month by the National Bureau of Economic Research, used data on protests from more than 300 of the largest US cities, and found no evidence that coronavirus cases grew in the weeks following the beginning of the protests.

In fact, researchers determined that social distancing behaviors actually went up after the protests -- as people tried to avoid the protests altogether. But obviously, these demonstrations caused a decrease in social distancing among actual protesters.

"Our findings suggest that any direct decrease in social distancing among the subset of the population participating in the protests is more than offset by increasing social distancing behavior among others who may choose to shelter-at-home and circumvent public places while the protests are underway," the report reads.

It's still possible that protests may have caused an increase in the spread of the virus among those who attended protests, according to the report.

Researchers also noted that the effect of protests on social distancing and stay-at-home orders may fade as the violence and scope of protests decline. As the protests begin to lessen or become less intense, non-protesters will feel safer leaving their homes.

"There are other possible explanations for our findings as well, such as avoiding travel outside the home due to additional traffic congestion or street closures, or due to lack of available activities from businesses closures near protest sites," the study reads.

Coronavirus continues to spread in the US

The study comes as new data shows that more and more young people are testing positive for coronavirus, particularly in states that have opened back up.

On Monday, Florida surpassed 100,000 total coronavirus cases, according to the the Florida Department of Health.

In California, more than 35% of confirmed cases have been recorded in just the past two weeks, Gov. Gavin Newsom said in a news conference Monday.

In Texas, people under 30 make up a majority of new coronavirus cases in several counties, said Gov. Greg Abbott last week. That increase in young infected people could be related to Memorial Day parties, visits to bars or other gatherings, he said.

Unlike Europe and Asia, the US has not been able to control the pandemic -- as cases continue to surge amid debates over wearing face masks and the need for social distancing.

CNN's Christina Maxouris and Eric Levenson contributed to this report.


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I'm curious. - 08/06/2020 06:59:18 PM 1405 Views
I would expect so, yes. *NM* - 08/06/2020 08:00:59 PM 341 Views
That yes is for which question? Or is it for both? *NM* - 08/06/2020 08:23:06 PM 351 Views
The first one. Otherwise I'd have said no and yes. *NM* - 08/06/2020 09:19:48 PM 342 Views
Yes, I believe we will... - 08/06/2020 10:15:30 PM 710 Views
Why are you so invested in either closing down the country or the seriousness of the flu? - 09/06/2020 06:37:24 PM 752 Views
Because I care about my fellow human being, cockroach. Go infest somewhere else. I'm done with you. *NM* - 09/06/2020 08:35:42 PM 366 Views
Except you don't. You really, REALLY want this disease to be worse than it is. - 12/06/2020 11:06:50 AM 701 Views
Sure. Anyone who disagrees with you wants mass poverty or mass death. No other possibility exists... - 12/06/2020 02:44:08 PM 687 Views
Fionwe same as other alt-left crazies - 16/06/2020 05:24:12 PM 741 Views
I dunno what's "alt" about it. We're the mainstream. Which must scare you - 16/06/2020 06:06:44 PM 644 Views
Dissonance - 16/06/2020 08:02:08 PM 658 Views
Do you think it's possible to disagree, even vehemently - 16/06/2020 08:14:50 PM 714 Views
I'm sure it is, in some conditions. - 16/06/2020 09:43:50 PM 717 Views
I am not a middle aged white man. I'm an old white man. - 16/06/2020 06:15:52 PM 695 Views
Evidence is not on your side, damook *NM* - 16/06/2020 07:27:39 PM 353 Views
Much like... - 16/06/2020 07:34:14 PM 734 Views
Statistically Insignificant - 16/06/2020 08:07:03 PM 667 Views
Stats don't tell the whole story. - 16/06/2020 08:06:17 PM 644 Views
You're right but on race? - 16/06/2020 08:08:40 PM 700 Views
Yes, you're right. - 16/06/2020 08:17:04 PM 638 Views
You realize that's not a contradiction, right? - 16/06/2020 09:49:56 PM 695 Views
A few points - 17/06/2020 09:29:15 PM 694 Views
I wasn't going to say it but... - 16/06/2020 08:17:57 PM 686 Views
Again: you really are a loathsome little ball of slime. - 10/06/2020 02:11:52 AM 659 Views
It's not my world, it's theirs. - 12/06/2020 11:13:14 AM 685 Views
Burning down corporate stores and taking their stolen wealth is a moral good. *NM* - 15/06/2020 12:04:52 AM 357 Views
Stolen Wealth? - 15/06/2020 04:50:59 PM 682 Views
How does one determine what is Original Sin? - 15/06/2020 05:17:37 PM 677 Views
So then.... - 15/06/2020 09:59:31 PM 686 Views
I'm uncertain if this is what Ghavrel meant, but I'd assume you don't need proof that slavery... - 15/06/2020 07:59:07 PM 679 Views
So we're talking about reparations....? - 15/06/2020 09:42:37 PM 698 Views
Why must money solve "all" issues? - 15/06/2020 11:32:05 PM 665 Views
So then money won't... - 16/06/2020 06:09:24 PM 717 Views
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Those aren't codified examples - 16/06/2020 07:31:49 PM 682 Views
Well that's some special nonsense - 16/06/2020 09:55:42 PM 671 Views
We're having a discussion...please try and not denigrate me. - 17/06/2020 05:26:36 PM 680 Views
But I didn't clearly state I want to denigrate you. You're inferring intent. How's that ok? - 17/06/2020 06:06:28 PM 675 Views
Pain and Death they *actively* choose... - 17/06/2020 06:39:13 PM 695 Views
They make no such choice. Which is why they're out there protesting - 17/06/2020 07:00:25 PM 707 Views
Sigh - 16/06/2020 08:15:12 PM 656 Views
Nah I just straight up think capitalism is evil. Reparations should be paid, though. *NM* - 16/06/2020 09:22:46 AM 342 Views
Fair enough. *NM* - 16/06/2020 02:54:11 PM 343 Views
aaah... - 16/06/2020 06:10:16 PM 688 Views
Re: Stolen Wealth? - 16/06/2020 09:21:32 AM 645 Views
Rather it should be The State? *NM* - 16/06/2020 12:10:59 PM 333 Views
What is "the State" - 16/06/2020 02:57:34 PM 647 Views
my comment was directed to Ghavrel. - 16/06/2020 04:49:39 PM 660 Views
You shouldn't make assumptions... - 16/06/2020 06:10:02 PM 665 Views
Lemme tell you about this cool thing called syndicalism... *NM* - 17/06/2020 06:46:38 AM 343 Views
There's a lot I like about that... *NM* - 17/06/2020 06:07:47 PM 312 Views
Syndicalisme rĂ©volutionnaire, peut-ĂȘtre? *NM* - 17/06/2020 06:29:00 PM 315 Views
I'm actually still a reformist, believe it or not. *NM* - 18/06/2020 03:29:18 PM 328 Views
Bah *NM* - 18/06/2020 03:36:20 PM 301 Views
The only state with legitimacy is the Kingdom of Heaven. *NM* - 16/06/2020 08:57:26 PM 314 Views
Are we talking about the Mormon Sect? - 16/06/2020 09:06:14 PM 614 Views
My bad - 16/06/2020 10:20:14 PM 671 Views
In fairness, I usually talk policy goals as a social democrat. - 17/06/2020 12:34:45 AM 674 Views
They - 17/06/2020 06:29:35 PM 688 Views
- 17/06/2020 06:40:30 PM 683 Views
I go by she and her, but thank you. <3 *NM* - 18/06/2020 03:45:46 PM 347 Views
I try to be very sensitive to this. - 18/06/2020 03:55:01 PM 681 Views
Catholicism by itself is a Performance Arts Piece - 18/06/2020 01:17:45 AM 637 Views
A Catholic?! What?! I'm an Episcopalian. - 18/06/2020 03:45:24 PM 703 Views
No thanks. Not into non-democracies. *NM* - 17/06/2020 06:26:29 PM 325 Views
Ah a fellow Devil's Party Member. *NM* - 18/06/2020 01:13:37 AM 311 Views
That's the debate, isn't it. - 16/06/2020 06:16:10 PM 633 Views
Economists have been arguing this for over 400 years. - 16/06/2020 08:22:57 PM 660 Views
You could let the market determine that, I guess. - 16/06/2020 08:56:23 PM 670 Views
Because we do not live in Paradise. - 17/06/2020 05:36:58 PM 635 Views
Exactly. So the worker should own the means of production with other workers. - 17/06/2020 06:11:21 PM 656 Views
So my question then is.... - 17/06/2020 06:46:11 PM 705 Views
Sigh...I just can't not. - 18/06/2020 01:20:09 AM 629 Views
You know "talent" in the Bible is explictly referring to money, right? - 18/06/2020 03:43:11 PM 692 Views
Jesus also said it is easier for a camel to pass though a needle's eye... - 18/06/2020 03:49:43 PM 630 Views
This is true! - 18/06/2020 04:04:16 PM 690 Views
Thou shalt not steal. *NM* - 15/06/2020 11:10:34 PM 311 Views
Is a concern of mine - 08/06/2020 10:16:09 PM 667 Views
A natural experiment - 08/06/2020 10:42:34 PM 641 Views
Yes, we probably will. But demonstrators wearing masks are not normal life. - 09/06/2020 07:10:31 AM 678 Views
I'm not sure that's a valid comparison. - 09/06/2020 05:57:31 PM 648 Views
Agreed. These aren't comparable situations. - 09/06/2020 06:09:27 PM 671 Views
Down South that is called Communism Mookie. - 09/06/2020 06:32:06 PM 662 Views
Alabama is down south, right? - 09/06/2020 10:08:15 PM 647 Views
We have all the same rules here in Seattle - 10/06/2020 07:45:59 PM 687 Views
I figured you - 09/06/2020 10:09:36 PM 638 Views
About your original question... - 17/06/2020 09:25:38 PM 677 Views
that is encouraging - 17/06/2020 09:44:10 PM 679 Views
Re: that is encouraging - 17/06/2020 10:10:34 PM 617 Views
Seems indoors with strangers is more a predictor than outdoor protests. - 27/06/2020 02:38:07 AM 741 Views
Tips, maybe? - 27/06/2020 05:10:30 AM 678 Views
Perhaps - 27/06/2020 10:19:39 PM 619 Views
A 315 city study, BLM protests did not cause a spike in COVID cases. - 27/06/2020 10:19:05 PM 677 Views

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