But I certainly think he fits the clues from the books and what RJ said best.
It was reported that RJ said Asmo is "roadkill". In slang that simply means - and I cite the free dictionary, but there are similar definitions elsewhere, too - : "One that has failed or been defeated and is no longer worthy of consideration." It's certainly not meant in its literal meaning, namely that Asmo is "an animal killed by being struck by a motor vehicle", since that wouldn't make much sense. Meriam Webster even defines roadkill as "one that falls victim to intense competition <political roadkill>", which would support the idea of a fellow Forsaken sending a killer to assassinate the rival Asmo.
It was reported that RJ said Asmo is "roadkill". In slang that simply means - and I cite the free dictionary, but there are similar definitions elsewhere, too - : "One that has failed or been defeated and is no longer worthy of consideration." It's certainly not meant in its literal meaning, namely that Asmo is "an animal killed by being struck by a motor vehicle", since that wouldn't make much sense. Meriam Webster even defines roadkill as "one that falls victim to intense competition <political roadkill>", which would support the idea of a fellow Forsaken sending a killer to assassinate the rival Asmo.
Perhaps you're not just familar with the various ways Americans and Canadians use this expression.
The first definition you give doesn't apply to the context. RJ could have used it this way if, for example, he was explaining to someone how Asmodean ended up with Rand, ie: "the guy is a road kill. He thought he could play with the big fish and got squashed between Lanfear and Rand".
It's the murder he called a "road kill", not Asmodean.
That's not what the expression would mean when you describe a murder as a "road kill".
He's no "political road kill" either. That's for people in politics and in this case the expression means to compare the weakness of the animal in comparison to the truck/car coming at it... You get ruined, because you're much too weak for your opponents, or because your were a nuisance in their way.
All these expressions are derived from metaphor derived from the literal meaning behind it: a little animal that's in the wrong place at the wrong time and get killed by a coming car that didn't see it or can't stop, before the animal manages to jump away.
In the context RJ used it to describe a murder, not its motive,(incl. the fact he also called it "a murder of opportunity"

The other way to interpret it doesn't apply, as it contradicts the fact it's a murder of opportunity, and the other quote about opportunity being more important than motive. It would be to say RJ meant Asmodean was in the way of bigger fish who took him out for this reason. It would explain the motive. That would point to whoever wanted Taim near Rand. But as I said, this can't be because it contradicts other quotes, so RJ meant almost literally a "road kill": Asmodean got at the wrong place at the wrong time.
RJ also said that "timing is what you should focus on" and it's reported "he emphasized OPPORTUNITY as the key to knowing Asmodean's killer, even over motive (which got a mention)".
Of course, but here's a more down to earth way to interpret this:
a) The timing is important. There's not much to puzzle out about the pacing of the Asmodean scene (except to conclude it has to be a murder of opportunity, which RJ has confirmed). What we know about the timing is that the murder happened a few hours after Rahvin's death and a few more after Lanfear's disappearance in Cairhien. It also happens hours after Moghedien disappeared. Who would have a reason to be in the palace that very day, at that time? Graendal, Sammael, Demandred. Perhaps Mesaana and Semirhage as well. More than one of these people may have come to Caemlyn (Demandred did, apparently - visited spies of his anyway), just one of them killed Asmodean. Graendal has the best clues attached to her as far as curiosity or "need to know" goes, because we know Asmodean knew her hiding place, she was involved with Rahvin and the plan to bring Rand's attention of Sammael,she's learned about Lanfear at the docks, and Rahvin's death, and she's convinced Asmodean died that day as well, and Moghedien, who miss the meeting she had scheduled with Graendal that same day. Sammael has the least, because he claims not to know about these things. The motive of the others to come to Caemlyn is weaker, because unlike Graendal and Sammael they were not involved. For them, it would be desire to know more than need to know.
b) Opportunity over motive.
You don't seem to understand what this really means, because it undermines your theory. Slayer coming to the palace to kill Asmodean on someone's orders isn't "opportunity over motive". The motive would be the only drive behind his presence in Caemlyn, the opportunity he merely created by tracking down Asmodean's comings and goings. Your theory is the very opposite of the meaning of "opportunity over motive". It's the description of a manhunt, an assassination. Opportunity over motive means the killer wasn't there to kill Asmodean, and wouldn't have gone out of his way to ambush or killed Asmodean if the opportunity to kill him didn't fall right in the killer's lap, that place, that day. It means if Slayer did it, he wasn't in the palace to kill Asmodean but for another purpose or mission, and he did kill Asmodean only because the opportunity suddenly presented itself. The problem is that RJ also confirmed that the Dark One never gave the order to anyone to kill Asmodean on sight, so Slayer would not have taken it upon himself to kill Asmodean, and we don't even actually know if Isam ever learned that Asmodean had betrayed the Shadow. The defection of a Chosen, that even such a thing is possible, is hardly the sort of thing the Shadow would tell to the underlings - even the fact Cyndane and Moghedien are being punished is kept secret from the other Chosen themselves... Most likely Isam doesn't know, only the other Chosen do, and perhaps not even all of them. Lanfear came up with that story (which she invented. She's in truth the traitor) and told Sammael, Graendal and Rahvin. Sammael and Rahvin would definitely not tell this to Demandred, which means not to Mesaana and Semirhage either. Graendal? Maybe, maybe not. There's not much incentive to share the news, given that taking out Asmodean could be rewarded by Shai'tan. Lanfear has zero motive to spread the news beyond her trio... the last thing she wanted was Demandred and company to come kill the teacher she's worked hard to provide to Rand. She told the three solely because she wanted them to agree to work together - and she made clear she had this under control and kept a close eye on Rand, and could get near him. Of course, Demandred learned straight from Shai'tan that Asmodean had betrayed (and he told Semirhage and Mesaana), but that's after the murder. But there is no evidence at all that Moghedien learned about Asmodean and his betrayal, or that Aran'gar and Osan'gar were told. There's not even evidence Moridin knows. They most likely all know about it (and Moridin may even have forced the true story out of Cyndane), but there's no evidence.
The rest of your theory as it stands right now is full of holes:
a) The text gives no clue that Asmodean could have been spied on or followed. It actually read as if this possibility is most, most unlikely
b) You misinterpret "road kill", "murder of opportunity" and other aspects of the RJ quotes.
c) You would be hard pressed to show us a clue that Slayer is the killer in the next two books, when RJ said there were clues in there.
d) You are one of the only person who believes any of the Chosen, wholly arrogant, would be humble enough to think Slayer would be a good choice to hunt and kill one of them. They would probably all laugh at the very notion. Most people who believe Slayer did it don't know RJ said the DO didn't order anyone to kill Asmodean (he would most likely have mindtrapped him if he could have..)
e) You create a whole ellipse in which Slayer brings Asmodean to TAR to die, when the text doesn't even open a door for anything like this to have taken place. As it reads, Asmodean died where he stood, and his death scream hung in the air.
An analysis of Asmodean's last seconds
27/05/2010 12:12:50 PM
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I hate to say it, as I love this mystery....
27/05/2010 03:01:08 PM
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I have a theory on the killer that doesn't involve Slayer...
28/05/2010 03:41:23 AM
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In addition to Etzel's comments
28/05/2010 09:08:45 PM
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I'm pretty sure the Myrdraal that killed Caradin's family was a Proto-version of SH *NM*
28/05/2010 09:56:58 PM
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Smacking & ordering Carridin, yes - but no evidence it killed his kin *NM*
29/05/2010 04:40:15 PM
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Re: Smacking & ordering Carridin, yes - but no evidence it killed his kin
29/05/2010 09:16:01 PM
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Far-fetched, IMO
27/05/2010 04:01:05 PM
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I don't want Slayer to be the killer
27/05/2010 04:33:06 PM
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The way you twist things, it certainly seems so!
27/05/2010 05:07:22 PM
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Bah, hogwash!
27/05/2010 05:17:37 PM
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Re: Bah, hogwash!
27/05/2010 08:14:16 PM
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The point is...
28/05/2010 08:38:49 AM
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Yes, but Fain is a far cry from your average non-channeler
28/05/2010 12:01:44 PM
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As is Slayer
28/05/2010 12:25:07 PM
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There is no evidence of this at all
28/05/2010 12:32:37 PM
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Yeah, the evil guys don't manage to harm the good guys
28/05/2010 12:38:57 PM
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You always twist the quotes to make them say what Jordan didn't intend to say....
28/05/2010 02:20:09 PM
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None of this explains how Slayer had opportunity that others didn't
27/05/2010 05:12:48 PM
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We often see...
27/05/2010 05:33:19 PM
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I just keep coming back to Slayer needs wild explanations while Graendal is more obvious
27/05/2010 05:52:13 PM
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Indeed
28/05/2010 08:39:14 AM
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Well...
28/05/2010 10:19:46 AM
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Re: Well...
28/05/2010 12:20:15 PM
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I adressed the points regarding the Fain-comparsion above
28/05/2010 12:35:08 PM
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your Slayer theory is ridiculously complex!
28/05/2010 12:37:08 PM
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It just requires to combine some clues from the first 5 books & some common sense
28/05/2010 12:44:10 PM
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Re: Well...
28/05/2010 02:27:40 PM
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No...
28/05/2010 03:04:41 PM
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let's try this another way
28/05/2010 03:14:07 PM
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The main problem with Graendal is...
28/05/2010 05:31:09 PM
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Re: The main problem with Graendal is...
28/05/2010 09:20:27 PM
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my first thought was it was Sammael or Graendal. Come LoC it was clear to me that it was Graendal.
28/05/2010 09:44:38 PM
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RJ used the expression...
29/05/2010 08:17:08 AM
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be careful ... your stretching far enough you might hurt yourself
29/05/2010 01:12:29 PM
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Re: I don't want Slayer to be the killer
27/05/2010 07:47:40 PM
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Couple of questions
27/05/2010 09:53:05 PM
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Be'lal managed to get out NO!
27/05/2010 10:08:33 PM
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Hmmm
27/05/2010 10:27:55 PM
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I don't think you can actually cut BF weaves
27/05/2010 10:45:34 PM
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Hmmm I wonder about that.
27/05/2010 10:58:46 PM
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I think it would be impossible for someone to react that quickly
27/05/2010 11:13:01 PM
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Of course you do. Trying to deny it is just silly. Everyone knows your bias. *NM*
27/05/2010 08:43:18 PM
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No, seriously, if actually Graendal did it, it's ok to me, too
27/05/2010 09:08:48 PM
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Re: No, seriously, if actually Graendal did it, it's ok to me, too
28/05/2010 08:25:46 AM
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But look...
28/05/2010 09:01:12 AM
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if there are clues in TFoH I find it hard to believe that Slayer is involved
28/05/2010 12:29:40 PM
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The scene of Asmo's murder contains clues, of course
28/05/2010 12:32:13 PM
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Re: The scene of Asmo's murder contains clues, of course
28/05/2010 12:35:22 PM
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RJ said the main clues are in the books before LoC. *NM*
28/05/2010 12:40:23 PM
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Re: RJ said the main clues are in the books before LoC. *NM*
28/05/2010 12:52:30 PM
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Yeah, I know. *NM*
28/05/2010 02:51:32 PM
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Yet Slayer is no where to be seen between his vanishing after TSR and the start of WH
28/05/2010 03:09:44 PM
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???
28/05/2010 02:19:17 PM
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Of course RJ implied that. You should read his quotes about Asmo! *NM*
28/05/2010 02:52:32 PM
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Here is what RJ said EDIT
28/05/2010 03:29:19 PM
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Indeed
28/05/2010 05:18:35 PM
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Re: Indeed
28/05/2010 05:26:38 PM
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But he was already introduced to us before the murder, and that is all that matters. *NM*
28/05/2010 05:33:02 PM
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Re: But he was already introduced to us before the murder, and that is all that matters. *NM*
28/05/2010 07:05:27 PM
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Re: Far-fetched, IMO
02/06/2010 07:34:58 PM
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Sent by whom? And how on earth would he be expected to interrupt a Forsaken plot? *NM*
02/06/2010 11:13:04 PM
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Re: Sent by whom? And how on earth would he be expected to interrupt a Forsaken plot?
19/06/2010 12:59:54 AM
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Slayer takes orders from the Forsaken
19/06/2010 03:30:37 AM
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Re: Slayer takes orders from the Forsaken
24/06/2010 09:03:18 AM
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The orders to not kill Rand didn't happen until the next book
26/06/2010 02:32:26 PM
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Re: The orders to not kill Rand didn't happen until the next book
01/07/2010 10:13:53 PM
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Lanfear killed Asmo.....
28/05/2010 05:05:55 AM
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Doesn't make sense
28/05/2010 11:09:14 AM
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Sorry, Lanfear did it.....
29/05/2010 03:47:44 AM
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Considering that RJ didn't even necessarily want to reveal it, it was pretty random, yeah. *NM*
29/05/2010 08:25:54 AM
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Death is Moridin "when death took him"; need I say more
*NM*
28/05/2010 10:07:14 AM
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There is a quote that refutes this...
28/05/2010 10:22:12 AM
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He could have recognized Moridan.....due to the True Power in his eyes.
29/05/2010 03:49:49 AM
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No other Forsaken immediately recognizes Moridin as Ishy because of the saa. *NM*
29/05/2010 08:26:44 AM
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RJ failed, Etzel's analysis is sharp, and I'm gonna abandon the Asmo question forever
28/05/2010 08:55:01 PM
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Re: RJ failed, Etzel's analysis is sharp, and I'm gonna abandon the Asmo question forever *NM*
28/05/2010 09:24:41 PM
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I think I found an RJ quote that kills the Slayer theory
29/05/2010 01:57:20 PM
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If Slayer is actually the killer...
29/05/2010 02:20:32 PM
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Please, RJ would do as he always had and immediately RAFOd a question like that
29/05/2010 02:26:10 PM
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Well, I don't think so.
29/05/2010 02:43:28 PM
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RJ pretty much said it wasn't Slayer.
06/06/2010 05:44:05 AM
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If Slayer never met Asmo in the books he could not have killed him
06/06/2010 12:46:40 PM
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But Slayer could have met Asmo, when he was killed.. *NM*
06/06/2010 01:06:01 PM
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Directly contradicts what RJ said "they did not meet in the books"
06/06/2010 02:51:50 PM
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Not "before" the murder. *NM*
06/06/2010 06:03:34 PM
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Re: Not "before" the murder. *NM*
06/06/2010 10:25:16 PM
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He answers the question, if they met "before" the murder. *NM*
07/06/2010 07:18:50 AM
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not if it didn't happen in the books
07/06/2010 12:08:34 PM
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I think Asmo's killer was as surprised as he.
29/05/2010 09:26:03 PM
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That's what I've always thought as well.
29/05/2010 10:06:56 PM
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You know, there's no direct proof suggesting that Asmo's killer was "surprised".....
01/06/2010 04:04:56 AM
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except the Author said it was a murder of opportunity
01/06/2010 11:13:14 PM
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That is simply false.
02/06/2010 10:00:27 AM
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RJ stated it was a murder of opportunity ... I never said "only"
02/06/2010 11:49:23 AM
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Of course, it is false
02/06/2010 12:13:11 PM
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Here are the quotes
02/06/2010 12:39:29 PM
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As said, those quotes simply don't support that the murder was basically just an unplanned accident. *NM*
02/06/2010 02:14:29 PM
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I disagree. It's pretty much black and white that the opportunity/timing is the key factor to
02/06/2010 02:39:03 PM
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Actually I like it because it fits Slayer better than Graendal, as pointed out.
*NM*
02/06/2010 02:51:24 PM
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that makes no sense at all *NM*
02/06/2010 02:53:28 PM
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RJ pretty much said it wasn't Slayer.
06/06/2010 05:47:13 AM
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Well...
06/06/2010 10:46:13 AM
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Logic
06/06/2010 02:53:27 PM
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You're falling into Etzelian logic there...
06/06/2010 03:25:30 PM
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I'm just being a smartass
*NM*
06/06/2010 03:36:00 PM
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That's not anyone's logic, this argument is simply utter nonsense.
*NM*
07/06/2010 12:08:05 PM
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just like thinking Slayer was the killer is
07/06/2010 12:09:34 PM
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Yeah...
07/06/2010 12:21:31 PM
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thinking the top assassin killed someone when it's been stated over and over
07/06/2010 12:56:48 PM
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Those quotes pretty much show that Graendal is careful...
*NM*
07/06/2010 01:03:26 PM
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No they show that she is deliberate!
07/06/2010 01:12:29 PM
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That are just semantics
07/06/2010 01:36:12 PM
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and you think it's obvious that Slayer was the premier Shadow assassin prior to WH?
07/06/2010 02:06:47 PM
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As I explained you several times, I can see why RJ thought it is obvious, yes...
07/06/2010 02:17:01 PM
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Why wouldn't Graendal head to Caemlyn at that point?
07/06/2010 02:36:24 PM
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And where was she then, when Rand attacked Rahvin?
07/06/2010 02:54:33 PM
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Re: And where was she then, when Rand attacked Rahvin?
07/06/2010 03:01:14 PM
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You should re-read the scene where Moghedien tells Nynaeve about it...
07/06/2010 03:12:55 PM
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That's a different thing than Moghedien saying the plan was canceled
07/06/2010 03:15:32 PM
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That is essentially what Moghedien said.
07/06/2010 03:33:35 PM
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um no it's not
07/06/2010 04:17:04 PM
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It's told after that...
07/06/2010 04:46:31 PM
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No it doesn't. It tells us that Rahvin, just like all the others had a side plan in place
07/06/2010 04:55:43 PM
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Yeah...
07/06/2010 05:17:59 PM
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Funny I feel the same way you do ...
07/06/2010 05:25:48 PM
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Ah, whatever...
07/06/2010 05:35:22 PM
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We are on the exact same page
07/06/2010 05:42:48 PM
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