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Regarding Mesaana... Sidious Send a noteboard - 20/11/2012 08:42:56 AM
he is as strong as a Forsaken from almost his first moments touching the Source (he's stronger than Aginor in EoTW and a match for Be'lal and Ishamael in TDR) in all honesty his strength has been inconsistent throughout the series, but he's never been weaker than any Forsaken Male. Egwene and Elayne were both well short of their ultimate strength when he manhandles them and Verin and Alana are probably no more than Mean level Sisters so him overpowering them is a no brainer ... on my scale the stongest they can be is 32 ... Maybe 1 SD above a Mean of 24 or so ... combined they wouldn't be much more than 1/2 of a Forsaken male.

When you consider a Forsaken is going to be at a minimum an Effective strength of 85 it's going to take the most Powerful sisters (Myrelle or higher) to even be a strength match for a single weak Forsaken on a strength basis ... at a minimum they would need 3 of the Strongest Sisters to have a reliable strength match and even that would easily be countered by superior skill. If Nynaeve was ball park 85 in Ebou Dar, Ispan and Falion combined would be around around a 60-65 and their shield would be viable. Even if they lost 10% of their raw power they would gain effectiveness from linking and could hold Nynaeve.

I agree that for most of the series Egwene is around a 65-70 (between 80-90% or her potential), but I don't think she's hit her full potential ( 80 IMO) until maybe TGS when we see some significant increases in her abilities. Even in KoD she briefly considers taking on 5 AS until she realizes she's been forkrooted. And in ToM, after her massive use of Power using Vora's sa'angreal probably pushed her to her full potential, she is confident she can defeat Mesaana in single combat, which lends to her being much closer to Forsaken Strength than AS strength. And let's not forget that RJ noted that Egwene/Elayne/Aviendha are ONE level below the Forsaken.


Egwene does not believe that she can defeat Mesaana alone. Her initial quote doesn't imply that she would do it alone. She may have planned an ambush or to confront Mesaana on her own terms, or with an angreal.

Later she says... "Egwene gritted her teeth and sent herself away. She didn't dare face the woman directly."

That is once again direct evidence that Egwene feels she can't fight one of the Forsaken directly. This is now after she has felt Mesaana's strength and perhaps seen her skill. Her opinion is unchanged to when she spoke about the Forsaken in Salidar.
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How many standard deviations is Lanfear - 15/11/2012 06:04:39 PM 1962 Views
Well... - 15/11/2012 07:02:45 PM 1027 Views
Hmm... - 15/11/2012 07:25:34 PM 1114 Views
see we CAN agree on stuff - 15/11/2012 07:56:12 PM 972 Views
- 18/11/2012 08:37:22 PM 879 Views
We've always been close with everything except the scale - 18/11/2012 10:29:07 PM 919 Views
Re: - 18/11/2012 11:07:17 PM 1069 Views
Re: - 19/11/2012 05:16:00 AM 917 Views
Re: - 19/11/2012 03:13:01 PM 924 Views
They only reject 37.5%, not 62.5% - 19/11/2012 03:19:19 PM 898 Views
Re: They only reject 37.5%, not 62.5% - 19/11/2012 04:01:43 PM 1129 Views
Re: They only reject 37.5%, not 62.5% - 19/11/2012 09:04:04 PM 866 Views
Hmmm... - 20/11/2012 02:08:40 AM 925 Views
Perhaps, but Egwene is also being a bit dramatic in the scene as she managed - 20/11/2012 04:28:57 AM 894 Views
Nope... - 20/11/2012 03:13:13 PM 925 Views
I believe she is being over dramatic - 20/11/2012 03:26:24 PM 833 Views
Keep believing that... - 20/11/2012 03:30:14 PM 960 Views
*shrugs* - 20/11/2012 03:49:10 PM 914 Views
Tired and forkroot are the same now? - 20/11/2012 03:55:22 PM 837 Views
No it's the literary device - 20/11/2012 04:04:28 PM 948 Views
This is getting ridiculous... - 20/11/2012 04:43:13 PM 828 Views
You are missing my point completely - 20/11/2012 04:50:46 PM 794 Views
Impossible. Daigian is exactly 0.32SD below the mean - 19/11/2012 11:06:04 AM 880 Views
You keep saying that, but it is either a linear or a non-linear distribution - 19/11/2012 09:09:32 PM 937 Views
That's the whole point. Thanks for finally seeing it. - 19/11/2012 09:43:27 PM 891 Views
keep believing that ... but you making up numbers isn't really relevant *NM* - 20/11/2012 04:29:44 AM 615 Views
Please show me a number that is made up. The 0.32SD for Daigian is a rule of statistics. - 20/11/2012 07:15:48 AM 857 Views
Go read Fionwe's post about it *NM* - 20/11/2012 02:33:19 PM 628 Views
Is that before or after she started juicing? - 15/11/2012 11:04:14 PM 872 Views
Wouldn't it be 1 in 105 million? - 21/11/2012 04:56:19 PM 726 Views
Are you sure that it is a normal distribution? - 16/11/2012 04:21:02 PM 957 Views
Ugh. I hate power level discussions. For real world applications, it should be kind of meaningless - 16/11/2012 10:28:49 PM 869 Views
I don't really agree - 18/11/2012 08:40:53 PM 816 Views
Perhaps, but we've seen that a MUCH weaker Channeler can win in a duel - 19/11/2012 09:13:48 PM 875 Views
Re: Perhaps, but we've seen that a MUCH weaker Channeler can win in a duel - 20/11/2012 08:10:01 AM 852 Views
probably ... Lanfear/Cyndane is clearly remarkably skilled - 20/11/2012 02:35:09 PM 876 Views
Since I've proven that it's not a normal distribution in units of absolute strength, SDs don't apply - 17/11/2012 07:48:21 PM 901 Views
You have proven nothing, except that you have an opinion *NM* - 18/11/2012 02:21:35 AM 600 Views
You simply don't get it. It is mathematically a fact. There is no opinion involved. - 18/11/2012 02:19:40 PM 741 Views
Only because you've assigned numeric values. That you created. - 18/11/2012 02:40:51 PM 856 Views
It doesn't matter what figure you use... - 18/11/2012 03:01:56 PM 757 Views
What if Daigian is one third Lanfear's strength? - 18/11/2012 04:37:58 PM 883 Views
We have a limit for Daigian's strength, as you well know. - 18/11/2012 05:41:49 PM 847 Views
Are you kidding me? - 18/11/2012 09:07:38 PM 1007 Views
Sure you can - 18/11/2012 10:09:31 PM 911 Views
Re: Sure you can - 18/11/2012 10:54:50 PM 857 Views
You're right, though its 37.5% - 19/11/2012 12:21:29 AM 829 Views
Oops, typo! - 19/11/2012 02:54:25 AM 898 Views
Again, not possible, due to Daigian being just 0.3SD below the Mean - 19/11/2012 08:37:01 AM 827 Views
Egwene is definitely not 2x Amys... - 19/11/2012 04:05:12 PM 790 Views
Re: Egwene is definitely not 2x Amys... - 19/11/2012 05:55:02 PM 720 Views
Egwene is about as strong as Melaine and Amys combined - 19/11/2012 09:19:50 PM 841 Views
Re: Egwene is about as strong as Melaine and Amys combined - 20/11/2012 02:11:26 AM 852 Views
Forkroot in every case - 20/11/2012 04:32:26 AM 836 Views
No! - 20/11/2012 03:15:16 PM 831 Views
I'm not going to go re-read the books to you on this - 20/11/2012 03:39:46 PM 834 Views
You need to read it for yourself, since you're completely confused. - 20/11/2012 03:54:26 PM 802 Views
Not going to argue this with you. - 20/11/2012 04:09:44 PM 779 Views
Your own example disproved your point... - 20/11/2012 04:39:25 PM 854 Views
let's see, she's both asleep and would need hours to regain her strength - 20/11/2012 04:43:17 PM 766 Views
Enough! - 20/11/2012 05:04:06 PM 843 Views
LOL ... whatever. You go on believing that ... no one else sees it this way. *NM* - 20/11/2012 05:20:52 PM 586 Views
What a brilliant argument! - 20/11/2012 05:25:18 PM 875 Views
this is why I refuse to continue this debate - 20/11/2012 05:31:11 PM 810 Views
Re: Your own example disproved your point... - 20/11/2012 05:10:15 PM 896 Views
Barasine + Katerine isn't that much less than - 20/11/2012 05:26:31 PM 894 Views
Re: Barasine + Katerine isn't that much less than - 20/11/2012 05:31:50 PM 821 Views
Re: Barasine + Katerine isn't that much less than - 20/11/2012 05:42:53 PM 828 Views
Excuse me? - 20/11/2012 05:28:48 PM 883 Views
see we can agree on the relative strength of Egwene v. Forsaken - 20/11/2012 05:35:07 PM 831 Views
??? - 20/11/2012 05:37:01 PM 924 Views
2 middling sisters - 20/11/2012 05:45:27 PM 858 Views
Re: Egwene is definitely not 2x Amys... - 20/11/2012 02:26:47 AM 769 Views
Re: Egwene is definitely not 2x Amys... - 20/11/2012 09:03:40 AM 822 Views
Re: Egwene is definitely not 2x Amys... - 20/11/2012 02:59:08 PM 864 Views
None of this is backed by any evidence... - 20/11/2012 03:24:12 PM 770 Views
who said Cadsuane was 1.5x Moiraine or more? - 20/11/2012 04:03:13 PM 782 Views
Nope... - 20/11/2012 04:41:35 PM 826 Views
wrong - 20/11/2012 04:48:50 PM 757 Views
My bad. Mized up 1/3 and 2/3. - 20/11/2012 05:05:05 PM 843 Views
gotcha *NM* - 20/11/2012 05:46:21 PM 545 Views
Better evidence? LOL! - 20/11/2012 03:18:55 PM 841 Views
Huh? How did you come to that conclusion? - 20/11/2012 04:40:56 PM 827 Views
Exactly *NM* - 20/11/2012 04:55:28 PM 788 Views
BEcause Cadsuane is close on the heels of Egwene? - 20/11/2012 05:10:50 PM 735 Views
I'm not arguing that. I agree that Cadsuane is pretty close to Egwene - 20/11/2012 05:50:34 PM 849 Views
Re: Better evidence? LOL! - 20/11/2012 05:00:47 PM 756 Views
Interesting, but let's go with your figures... - 19/11/2012 06:54:54 AM 886 Views
Indeed - 19/11/2012 08:16:44 AM 922 Views
Rand is sort of a special case - 20/11/2012 04:25:02 AM 745 Views
Regarding Mesaana... - 20/11/2012 08:42:56 AM 829 Views
You continue to mix two things - 20/11/2012 03:24:44 PM 741 Views
No - 20/11/2012 04:54:19 PM 973 Views
You are mistaken - 20/11/2012 05:04:40 PM 819 Views
Yes she did Darius! - 20/11/2012 05:27:36 PM 765 Views
Yet there is no duel - 20/11/2012 06:01:17 PM 750 Views
Explain the .3xSD thing to me... - 19/11/2012 04:58:57 PM 1000 Views
Probably, but the AS have no idea what 37.5% means - 19/11/2012 02:59:26 AM 792 Views
It's irrelevant - 19/11/2012 03:46:42 AM 827 Views
Agreed. Daigian is the marker of the absolute bottom of Aes Sedai strength. - 19/11/2012 06:55:41 AM 805 Views
Daigian - 19/11/2012 08:12:19 AM 845 Views
It is a direct marker due to RJ's quote - 19/11/2012 08:50:26 AM 845 Views
You missed my point - 19/11/2012 09:08:42 AM 802 Views
Re: You missed my point - 19/11/2012 02:18:33 PM 850 Views
Asmodean would never have made the comment about 13 weakest AS - 20/11/2012 04:41:11 AM 808 Views
Re: Asmodean would never have made the comment about 13 weakest AS - 20/11/2012 09:07:49 AM 778 Views
Which would make an average AS around a 30 - 20/11/2012 04:58:56 PM 650 Views
Re: Sure you can - 19/11/2012 09:22:09 AM 924 Views
Care to explain this... - 19/11/2012 05:06:28 PM 782 Views
Indeed - 20/11/2012 07:16:37 AM 991 Views
Explained far better than I ever could. Bravo. - 20/11/2012 07:30:29 AM 796 Views
Well duh. - 20/11/2012 02:57:24 PM 911 Views
Incorrect. - 20/11/2012 04:28:07 PM 900 Views
No - 20/11/2012 04:44:16 PM 877 Views
Re: No - 20/11/2012 04:48:36 PM 861 Views
That depends... - 20/11/2012 05:18:46 PM 733 Views
Re: That depends... - 20/11/2012 05:31:03 PM 1149 Views
You're integrating without lower limits... - 20/11/2012 02:55:06 PM 846 Views
Re: You're integrating without lower limits... - 20/11/2012 04:37:57 PM 871 Views
It matters. - 20/11/2012 05:22:40 PM 853 Views
We are not talking about a normal distribution in any case - 20/11/2012 04:44:24 AM 673 Views
Re: We are not talking about a normal distribution in any case - 20/11/2012 07:02:47 AM 865 Views
You must tell me of this special math... - 20/11/2012 03:10:09 PM 772 Views
Re: You must tell me of this special math... - 20/11/2012 04:29:40 PM 805 Views
Morghase is a placeholder... - 20/11/2012 04:45:42 PM 882 Views
Re: Morghase is a placeholder... - 20/11/2012 04:49:54 PM 1062 Views
Why? - 20/11/2012 05:23:29 PM 850 Views
Re: Why? - 20/11/2012 05:36:45 PM 1020 Views
Well... - 18/11/2012 08:43:59 PM 919 Views
Re: Well... - 19/11/2012 03:40:44 PM 887 Views
Wow. - 19/11/2012 03:53:47 PM 927 Views
Re: Wow. - 19/11/2012 04:26:09 PM 947 Views
Some points - 19/11/2012 06:03:00 PM 961 Views
Well then you're both wrong I'm afraid - 19/11/2012 06:09:36 PM 782 Views
Re: Well then you're both wrong I'm afraid - 19/11/2012 07:42:58 PM 691 Views
this is why I think all of the Forsaken are very close in Power - 20/11/2012 04:51:20 AM 878 Views
Agreed - 20/11/2012 08:13:37 AM 907 Views
probably - 20/11/2012 06:18:45 PM 803 Views
Re: this is why I think all of the Forsaken are very close in Power - 20/11/2012 02:45:18 PM 818 Views
I think RJ went out of his way to keep strength a bit of a mystery - 20/11/2012 08:42:44 PM 837 Views
Indeed... - 21/11/2012 05:44:18 PM 798 Views
I agree - 22/11/2012 01:43:02 AM 1059 Views
Math gurus...Is it possible to find the missing variable... - 21/11/2012 05:12:24 PM 818 Views
the problem is that the Mean is not going to tell us much really - 22/11/2012 02:55:03 AM 902 Views
Re: Math gurus...Is it possible to find the missing variable... - 23/11/2012 02:59:12 PM 1130 Views
Disregard this post *NM* - 23/11/2012 03:02:24 PM 801 Views

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