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Sidious Send a noteboard - 18/11/2012 08:37:22 PM
Most likely she is around the highest end of 5 SDs above Mean. IMO all of the Forsaken are either 4 or 5 SDs above Mean with Egwene and falling at the lower end of 4 SDs (thus satisfying the "one step below the Forsaken" quote) and Moghedien at the upper end of 4 SDs ... Cadsuane would be at the higher end of 3 SDs (Meilyn and Karene the lower end of 3 SDs) and Moiraine the upper end of 2 SDs. Which places a woman like Verin about 1 SD above Mean and the Mean close to where Adeleas/Vandene sit. New Siuan is now 1 SD below and Daigian around 2 SDs below. Given what RJ said of minimum AS strength she can't be more than 2 SD below mean and still have any hope of being within AS strength ranges.

Problems do happen with the Stronger women since there are so few examples of women at the top of the strength rung we can't effectively extrapolate how far above Mean someone like Therava or Cadsuane may be, because we don't have enough data points to see how rare they really are. Who knows how many more women like Egwene or Sharina or Nynaeve are out there undiscovered. We actually have more named women between Morgase strength and Daigian than we do between Moiraine and Lanfear.


Yes I would agree that Moiraine is about 2SD etc. I think we pretty much agree on the SD thing.

Morgase is probably as rare as Lanfear. What's more uncommon... a giant or a midget? :)
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How many standard deviations is Lanfear - 15/11/2012 06:04:39 PM 2574 Views
Well... - 15/11/2012 07:02:45 PM 1575 Views
Hmm... - 15/11/2012 07:25:34 PM 1668 Views
see we CAN agree on stuff - 15/11/2012 07:56:12 PM 1517 Views
- 18/11/2012 08:37:22 PM 1374 Views
We've always been close with everything except the scale - 18/11/2012 10:29:07 PM 1399 Views
Re: - 18/11/2012 11:07:17 PM 1588 Views
Re: - 19/11/2012 05:16:00 AM 1421 Views
Re: - 19/11/2012 03:13:01 PM 1416 Views
They only reject 37.5%, not 62.5% - 19/11/2012 03:19:19 PM 1468 Views
Re: They only reject 37.5%, not 62.5% - 19/11/2012 04:01:43 PM 1624 Views
Re: They only reject 37.5%, not 62.5% - 19/11/2012 09:04:04 PM 1391 Views
Hmmm... - 20/11/2012 02:08:40 AM 1444 Views
Perhaps, but Egwene is also being a bit dramatic in the scene as she managed - 20/11/2012 04:28:57 AM 1437 Views
Nope... - 20/11/2012 03:13:13 PM 1509 Views
I believe she is being over dramatic - 20/11/2012 03:26:24 PM 1357 Views
Keep believing that... - 20/11/2012 03:30:14 PM 1505 Views
*shrugs* - 20/11/2012 03:49:10 PM 1483 Views
Tired and forkroot are the same now? - 20/11/2012 03:55:22 PM 1380 Views
No it's the literary device - 20/11/2012 04:04:28 PM 1489 Views
This is getting ridiculous... - 20/11/2012 04:43:13 PM 1350 Views
You are missing my point completely - 20/11/2012 04:50:46 PM 1279 Views
Impossible. Daigian is exactly 0.32SD below the mean - 19/11/2012 11:06:04 AM 1425 Views
You keep saying that, but it is either a linear or a non-linear distribution - 19/11/2012 09:09:32 PM 1505 Views
That's the whole point. Thanks for finally seeing it. - 19/11/2012 09:43:27 PM 1456 Views
keep believing that ... but you making up numbers isn't really relevant *NM* - 20/11/2012 04:29:44 AM 877 Views
Please show me a number that is made up. The 0.32SD for Daigian is a rule of statistics. - 20/11/2012 07:15:48 AM 1360 Views
Go read Fionwe's post about it *NM* - 20/11/2012 02:33:19 PM 885 Views
Is that before or after she started juicing? - 15/11/2012 11:04:14 PM 1418 Views
Wouldn't it be 1 in 105 million? - 21/11/2012 04:56:19 PM 1302 Views
Are you sure that it is a normal distribution? - 16/11/2012 04:21:02 PM 1468 Views
Ugh. I hate power level discussions. For real world applications, it should be kind of meaningless - 16/11/2012 10:28:49 PM 1354 Views
I don't really agree - 18/11/2012 08:40:53 PM 1340 Views
Perhaps, but we've seen that a MUCH weaker Channeler can win in a duel - 19/11/2012 09:13:48 PM 1370 Views
Re: Perhaps, but we've seen that a MUCH weaker Channeler can win in a duel - 20/11/2012 08:10:01 AM 1365 Views
probably ... Lanfear/Cyndane is clearly remarkably skilled - 20/11/2012 02:35:09 PM 1400 Views
Since I've proven that it's not a normal distribution in units of absolute strength, SDs don't apply - 17/11/2012 07:48:21 PM 1435 Views
You have proven nothing, except that you have an opinion *NM* - 18/11/2012 02:21:35 AM 860 Views
You simply don't get it. It is mathematically a fact. There is no opinion involved. - 18/11/2012 02:19:40 PM 1214 Views
Only because you've assigned numeric values. That you created. - 18/11/2012 02:40:51 PM 1392 Views
It doesn't matter what figure you use... - 18/11/2012 03:01:56 PM 1295 Views
What if Daigian is one third Lanfear's strength? - 18/11/2012 04:37:58 PM 1432 Views
We have a limit for Daigian's strength, as you well know. - 18/11/2012 05:41:49 PM 1352 Views
Are you kidding me? - 18/11/2012 09:07:38 PM 1508 Views
Sure you can - 18/11/2012 10:09:31 PM 1419 Views
Re: Sure you can - 18/11/2012 10:54:50 PM 1394 Views
You're right, though its 37.5% - 19/11/2012 12:21:29 AM 1368 Views
Oops, typo! - 19/11/2012 02:54:25 AM 1422 Views
Again, not possible, due to Daigian being just 0.3SD below the Mean - 19/11/2012 08:37:01 AM 1368 Views
Egwene is definitely not 2x Amys... - 19/11/2012 04:05:12 PM 1290 Views
Re: Egwene is definitely not 2x Amys... - 19/11/2012 05:55:02 PM 1231 Views
Egwene is about as strong as Melaine and Amys combined - 19/11/2012 09:19:50 PM 1355 Views
Re: Egwene is about as strong as Melaine and Amys combined - 20/11/2012 02:11:26 AM 1434 Views
Forkroot in every case - 20/11/2012 04:32:26 AM 1351 Views
No! - 20/11/2012 03:15:16 PM 1367 Views
I'm not going to go re-read the books to you on this - 20/11/2012 03:39:46 PM 1344 Views
You need to read it for yourself, since you're completely confused. - 20/11/2012 03:54:26 PM 1355 Views
Not going to argue this with you. - 20/11/2012 04:09:44 PM 1261 Views
Your own example disproved your point... - 20/11/2012 04:39:25 PM 1402 Views
let's see, she's both asleep and would need hours to regain her strength - 20/11/2012 04:43:17 PM 1292 Views
Enough! - 20/11/2012 05:04:06 PM 1367 Views
LOL ... whatever. You go on believing that ... no one else sees it this way. *NM* - 20/11/2012 05:20:52 PM 849 Views
What a brilliant argument! - 20/11/2012 05:25:18 PM 1368 Views
this is why I refuse to continue this debate - 20/11/2012 05:31:11 PM 1321 Views
Re: Your own example disproved your point... - 20/11/2012 05:10:15 PM 1377 Views
Barasine + Katerine isn't that much less than - 20/11/2012 05:26:31 PM 1377 Views
Re: Barasine + Katerine isn't that much less than - 20/11/2012 05:31:50 PM 1367 Views
Re: Barasine + Katerine isn't that much less than - 20/11/2012 05:42:53 PM 1333 Views
Excuse me? - 20/11/2012 05:28:48 PM 1418 Views
see we can agree on the relative strength of Egwene v. Forsaken - 20/11/2012 05:35:07 PM 1376 Views
??? - 20/11/2012 05:37:01 PM 1454 Views
2 middling sisters - 20/11/2012 05:45:27 PM 1391 Views
Re: Egwene is definitely not 2x Amys... - 20/11/2012 02:26:47 AM 1300 Views
Re: Egwene is definitely not 2x Amys... - 20/11/2012 09:03:40 AM 1368 Views
Re: Egwene is definitely not 2x Amys... - 20/11/2012 02:59:08 PM 1363 Views
None of this is backed by any evidence... - 20/11/2012 03:24:12 PM 1283 Views
who said Cadsuane was 1.5x Moiraine or more? - 20/11/2012 04:03:13 PM 1301 Views
Nope... - 20/11/2012 04:41:35 PM 1313 Views
wrong - 20/11/2012 04:48:50 PM 1278 Views
My bad. Mized up 1/3 and 2/3. - 20/11/2012 05:05:05 PM 1357 Views
gotcha *NM* - 20/11/2012 05:46:21 PM 821 Views
Better evidence? LOL! - 20/11/2012 03:18:55 PM 1350 Views
Huh? How did you come to that conclusion? - 20/11/2012 04:40:56 PM 1350 Views
Exactly *NM* - 20/11/2012 04:55:28 PM 1329 Views
BEcause Cadsuane is close on the heels of Egwene? - 20/11/2012 05:10:50 PM 1239 Views
I'm not arguing that. I agree that Cadsuane is pretty close to Egwene - 20/11/2012 05:50:34 PM 1405 Views
Re: Better evidence? LOL! - 20/11/2012 05:00:47 PM 1263 Views
Interesting, but let's go with your figures... - 19/11/2012 06:54:54 AM 1434 Views
Indeed - 19/11/2012 08:16:44 AM 1446 Views
Rand is sort of a special case - 20/11/2012 04:25:02 AM 1330 Views
Regarding Mesaana... - 20/11/2012 08:42:56 AM 1340 Views
You continue to mix two things - 20/11/2012 03:24:44 PM 1254 Views
No - 20/11/2012 04:54:19 PM 1502 Views
You are mistaken - 20/11/2012 05:04:40 PM 1303 Views
Yes she did Darius! - 20/11/2012 05:27:36 PM 1278 Views
Yet there is no duel - 20/11/2012 06:01:17 PM 1270 Views
Explain the .3xSD thing to me... - 19/11/2012 04:58:57 PM 1527 Views
Probably, but the AS have no idea what 37.5% means - 19/11/2012 02:59:26 AM 1300 Views
It's irrelevant - 19/11/2012 03:46:42 AM 1383 Views
Agreed. Daigian is the marker of the absolute bottom of Aes Sedai strength. - 19/11/2012 06:55:41 AM 1343 Views
Daigian - 19/11/2012 08:12:19 AM 1340 Views
It is a direct marker due to RJ's quote - 19/11/2012 08:50:26 AM 1397 Views
You missed my point - 19/11/2012 09:08:42 AM 1299 Views
Re: You missed my point - 19/11/2012 02:18:33 PM 1431 Views
Asmodean would never have made the comment about 13 weakest AS - 20/11/2012 04:41:11 AM 1315 Views
Re: Asmodean would never have made the comment about 13 weakest AS - 20/11/2012 09:07:49 AM 1288 Views
Which would make an average AS around a 30 - 20/11/2012 04:58:56 PM 1196 Views
Re: Sure you can - 19/11/2012 09:22:09 AM 1455 Views
Care to explain this... - 19/11/2012 05:06:28 PM 1234 Views
Indeed - 20/11/2012 07:16:37 AM 1444 Views
Explained far better than I ever could. Bravo. - 20/11/2012 07:30:29 AM 1320 Views
Well duh. - 20/11/2012 02:57:24 PM 1420 Views
Incorrect. - 20/11/2012 04:28:07 PM 1405 Views
No - 20/11/2012 04:44:16 PM 1382 Views
Re: No - 20/11/2012 04:48:36 PM 1367 Views
That depends... - 20/11/2012 05:18:46 PM 1222 Views
Re: That depends... - 20/11/2012 05:31:03 PM 1825 Views
You're integrating without lower limits... - 20/11/2012 02:55:06 PM 1357 Views
Re: You're integrating without lower limits... - 20/11/2012 04:37:57 PM 1401 Views
It matters. - 20/11/2012 05:22:40 PM 1409 Views
We are not talking about a normal distribution in any case - 20/11/2012 04:44:24 AM 1190 Views
Re: We are not talking about a normal distribution in any case - 20/11/2012 07:02:47 AM 1397 Views
You must tell me of this special math... - 20/11/2012 03:10:09 PM 1283 Views
Re: You must tell me of this special math... - 20/11/2012 04:29:40 PM 1342 Views
Morghase is a placeholder... - 20/11/2012 04:45:42 PM 1433 Views
Re: Morghase is a placeholder... - 20/11/2012 04:49:54 PM 1699 Views
Why? - 20/11/2012 05:23:29 PM 1360 Views
Re: Why? - 20/11/2012 05:36:45 PM 1672 Views
Well... - 18/11/2012 08:43:59 PM 1406 Views
Re: Well... - 19/11/2012 03:40:44 PM 1375 Views
Wow. - 19/11/2012 03:53:47 PM 1409 Views
Re: Wow. - 19/11/2012 04:26:09 PM 1432 Views
Some points - 19/11/2012 06:03:00 PM 1459 Views
Well then you're both wrong I'm afraid - 19/11/2012 06:09:36 PM 1349 Views
Re: Well then you're both wrong I'm afraid - 19/11/2012 07:42:58 PM 1238 Views
this is why I think all of the Forsaken are very close in Power - 20/11/2012 04:51:20 AM 1410 Views
Agreed - 20/11/2012 08:13:37 AM 1467 Views
probably - 20/11/2012 06:18:45 PM 1303 Views
Re: this is why I think all of the Forsaken are very close in Power - 20/11/2012 02:45:18 PM 1322 Views
I think RJ went out of his way to keep strength a bit of a mystery - 20/11/2012 08:42:44 PM 1362 Views
Indeed... - 21/11/2012 05:44:18 PM 1267 Views
I agree - 22/11/2012 01:43:02 AM 1546 Views
Math gurus...Is it possible to find the missing variable... - 21/11/2012 05:12:24 PM 1346 Views
the problem is that the Mean is not going to tell us much really - 22/11/2012 02:55:03 AM 1420 Views
Re: the problem is that the Mean is not going to tell us much really - 22/11/2012 03:15:33 AM 1705 Views
I do not think you can calculate the Mean without knowing the Units of Power - 22/11/2012 03:53:59 AM 1480 Views
Re: Math gurus...Is it possible to find the missing variable... - 23/11/2012 02:59:12 PM 1813 Views
Disregard this post *NM* - 23/11/2012 03:02:24 PM 1093 Views

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