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Re: The Bell Curve explained... Shannow Send a noteboard - 26/10/2012 01:57:18 PM
Because, (to use the simplest possible example), on a Bell Curve the strongest possible channeler will be exactly twice the strength of the average channeler[...]


That's actually not the case. There is no upper limit inherent in a bell curve, though there may of course be one in this particular case.

Hence the Bell Curve cannot apply to the modern day distribution of known channelers.


Ah, ok. Then I guess we agree.


Well, unless the Bell Curve is intersected by "zero" on the lower side, the problem would be that there must be room on the strength scale for equivalent outliers on both sides.

Meaning that if you have a freakishly strong channeler on the upper side that is 10 standard deviations above the mean, then there must be equal room on the lower side for a very weak channeler that is 10 standard deviations below the mean.

Meaning that the average channeler must fall exactly halfway between these two extremes, given the perfectly symmetrical Bell Curve that is being implied here.
This message last edited by Shannow on 26/10/2012 at 02:02:45 PM
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Ch2 : Pevara & Androl and channeling implications Sidious - 24/10/2012 06:40:47 PM 2974 Views
Did Perva actually initiate the link or was it Androl? *NM* TheCrownless - 24/10/2012 07:02:15 PM 781 Views
Androl did. *NM* Great Lord of Chaos - 25/10/2012 05:10:31 AM 1018 Views
But didn't Nynaeve do it first at the cleansing? TheCrownless - 25/10/2012 12:43:15 PM 1295 Views
Pevara was thinking on very sketchy information. Great Lord of Chaos - 25/10/2012 08:56:20 PM 1247 Views
did he start the link? or just take it? nigelgoboom - 27/10/2012 07:33:49 AM 926 Views
I think it's slightly off darius_sedai - 28/10/2012 04:21:05 PM 1185 Views
Re: Ch2 : Pevara & Androl and channeling implications Great Lord of Chaos - 25/10/2012 05:13:43 AM 1448 Views
Re: Ch2 : Pevara & Androl and channeling implications Sidious - 25/10/2012 04:23:20 PM 1230 Views
Re: Ch2 : Pevara & Androl and channeling implications DomA - 25/10/2012 09:52:03 PM 1281 Views
Travelling Tor - 25/10/2012 08:56:41 AM 1268 Views
Yes that's a pet theory of mine Sidious - 25/10/2012 04:21:53 PM 1291 Views
Re: Yes that's a pet theory of mine Tor - 25/10/2012 06:12:21 PM 1223 Views
Re: Yes that's a pet theory of mine DomA - 25/10/2012 08:50:15 PM 1129 Views
Re: Yes that's a pet theory of mine Tor - 25/10/2012 09:45:26 PM 1248 Views
Weren't there 150 or so at Maradon? *NM* Voscaia Sedai - 26/10/2012 03:29:53 PM 687 Views
Re: Yes that's a pet theory of mine DomA - 26/10/2012 08:49:58 PM 1337 Views
Perhaps, but if no on in the AoL could do it when mixed circles were common darius_sedai - 28/10/2012 04:22:20 PM 1026 Views
How strong Pevara is... fionwe1987 - 25/10/2012 07:08:26 PM 1374 Views
I'm pretty sure Moiraine is closer to 30... DREWRULESWOT! - 25/10/2012 07:41:37 PM 1066 Views
Agreed Sidious - 25/10/2012 08:37:24 PM 1176 Views
So... the old story of ignore the bell curve, eh? fionwe1987 - 26/10/2012 01:40:49 AM 1137 Views
No, I fully respect the bell curve Sidious - 26/10/2012 01:51:34 PM 1190 Views
That was disproved long ago... fionwe1987 - 26/10/2012 01:36:24 AM 1173 Views
But Moiraine isn't 'exceptionally strong' DREWRULESWOT! - 26/10/2012 05:16:10 AM 1192 Views
Not particularly strong evidence for that last. Great Lord of Chaos - 26/10/2012 05:36:54 AM 1162 Views
But we know that it takes significantly more strength to maintain multiple weaves DREWRULESWOT! - 26/10/2012 08:14:58 AM 1087 Views
Not true darius_sedai - 27/10/2012 09:15:51 PM 1100 Views
Not accurate darius_sedai - 27/10/2012 09:31:05 PM 1066 Views
The Bell Curve explained... Shannow - 26/10/2012 10:27:34 AM 1125 Views
Re: The Bell Curve explained... Tor - 26/10/2012 11:40:04 AM 1114 Views
Re: The Bell Curve explained... Shannow - 26/10/2012 12:32:01 PM 1036 Views
Re: The Bell Curve explained... Tor - 26/10/2012 12:48:51 PM 1170 Views
Re: The Bell Curve explained... Shannow - 26/10/2012 01:07:39 PM 1148 Views
Re: The Bell Curve explained... Tor - 26/10/2012 01:18:32 PM 1197 Views
Re: The Bell Curve explained... Shannow - 26/10/2012 01:57:18 PM 1207 Views
Re: The Bell Curve explained... Tor - 28/10/2012 02:07:39 PM 942 Views
Yet Sharina, Nynaeve etc exist, thus the BC is the same darius_sedai - 27/10/2012 09:39:58 PM 1269 Views
The curve is OBVIOUSLY the same... fionwe1987 - 28/10/2012 01:50:37 AM 981 Views
Re: The curve is OBVIOUSLY the same... Tor - 28/10/2012 02:01:59 PM 1071 Views
You need to go read RJ's quotes: fionwe1987 - 28/10/2012 02:41:49 PM 1122 Views
Re: You need to go read RJ's quotes: Tor - 28/10/2012 05:39:12 PM 1011 Views
I need to come and save you from blatant fallacies being spouted by the loonies. Shannow - 28/10/2012 05:56:21 PM 1015 Views
Re: I need to come and save you from blatant fallacies being spouted by the loonies. Tor - 28/10/2012 07:44:02 PM 1081 Views
This is like watching a train-wreck. fionwe1987 - 29/10/2012 02:58:51 AM 988 Views
Re: This is like watching a train-wreck. DomA - 29/10/2012 01:10:35 PM 1208 Views
So what's your conclusion? Shannow - 29/10/2012 02:14:33 PM 990 Views
His conclusion is that RJ was right about the books he wrote... fionwe1987 - 29/10/2012 02:19:59 PM 1102 Views
Pretty much... DomA - 30/10/2012 12:57:41 AM 1184 Views
you do realize that is an impossible question to answer from the books right? darius_sedai - 29/10/2012 07:50:02 PM 1113 Views
Excellent points... fionwe1987 - 29/10/2012 02:16:39 PM 967 Views
Re: Excellent points... Tor - 29/10/2012 02:47:30 PM 1105 Views
You seem confused. fionwe1987 - 29/10/2012 03:22:47 PM 958 Views
Re: You seem confused. Tor - 29/10/2012 03:41:48 PM 1003 Views
I think the point is that the AS didn't go force every woman in the area darius_sedai - 29/10/2012 07:57:59 PM 950 Views
Re: You seem confused. fionwe1987 - 29/10/2012 08:23:22 PM 1141 Views
Re: You seem confused. Tor - 29/10/2012 08:57:11 PM 1105 Views
He drew graphs! fionwe1987 - 30/10/2012 12:49:09 AM 1000 Views
Re: He drew graphs! Tor - 30/10/2012 07:43:54 AM 1072 Views
Re: He drew graphs! fionwe1987 - 30/10/2012 01:57:05 PM 1004 Views
Re: Excellent points... DomA - 30/10/2012 12:20:00 AM 1048 Views
Re: Excellent points... Tor - 30/10/2012 07:49:57 AM 1042 Views
Re: Excellent points... DomA - 30/10/2012 01:05:45 PM 1408 Views
Re: Excellent points... Tor - 30/10/2012 01:25:11 PM 1063 Views
Re: Excellent points... DomA - 30/10/2012 12:20:17 AM 1163 Views
AS recruiting is minimal darius_sedai - 28/10/2012 10:41:29 PM 1013 Views
Re: You need to go read RJ's quotes: fionwe1987 - 29/10/2012 02:23:27 AM 1005 Views
Re: You need to go read RJ's quotes: Tor - 29/10/2012 07:33:44 AM 1027 Views
Huh? fionwe1987 - 29/10/2012 02:26:27 PM 1041 Views
Re: Huh? Tor - 29/10/2012 02:42:07 PM 979 Views
You don't seem to know what random means... fionwe1987 - 29/10/2012 03:25:57 PM 1004 Views
Re: You don't seem to know what random means... Tor - 29/10/2012 03:36:45 PM 1023 Views
Personally I just think that 1000 women being allowed to tag along is a drop darius_sedai - 29/10/2012 08:05:33 PM 1052 Views
Re: Personally I just think that 1000 women being allowed to tag along is a drop Tor - 29/10/2012 09:04:02 PM 1086 Views
Geography alone can do this darius_sedai - 30/10/2012 12:39:53 AM 1000 Views
Re: Geography alone can do this Tor - 30/10/2012 09:45:58 AM 982 Views
Not really darius_sedai - 30/10/2012 02:49:05 PM 970 Views
Here's why its not random... fionwe1987 - 30/10/2012 01:04:18 AM 969 Views
Re: Here's why its not random... Tor - 30/10/2012 09:42:35 AM 1132 Views
Re: Here's why its not random... fionwe1987 - 30/10/2012 01:51:03 PM 970 Views
Re: Here's why its not random... Tor - 30/10/2012 02:21:04 PM 1016 Views
YEah, there's no point debating this... fionwe1987 - 30/10/2012 02:46:39 PM 1016 Views
Genetics plays a role darius_sedai - 30/10/2012 03:03:41 PM 1142 Views
Re: You don't seem to know what random means... fionwe1987 - 29/10/2012 08:22:40 PM 956 Views
Re: You don't seem to know what random means... Tor - 29/10/2012 09:06:08 PM 1018 Views
Why must there be a mechanism? fionwe1987 - 30/10/2012 01:06:29 AM 980 Views
Re: Why must there be a mechanism? Tor - 30/10/2012 09:48:16 AM 935 Views
Nope... fionwe1987 - 30/10/2012 01:43:56 PM 1133 Views
Re: Nope... Tor - 30/10/2012 02:34:51 PM 977 Views
Oh my... fionwe1987 - 30/10/2012 02:50:12 PM 1031 Views
Thought experment time! Hurrah! Tor - 30/10/2012 03:27:01 PM 975 Views
But it is still possible in your example to get wildly varied results darius_sedai - 30/10/2012 03:30:59 PM 920 Views
Re: But it is still possible in your example to get wildly varied results Tor - 30/10/2012 03:36:03 PM 1010 Views
LOL darius_sedai - 30/10/2012 04:49:06 PM 1559 Views
Re: Yet Sharina, Nynaeve etc exist, thus the BC is the same Tor - 28/10/2012 01:39:55 PM 987 Views
The point is there are still people being born in the highest strength categories darius_sedai - 28/10/2012 04:18:55 PM 1043 Views
Re: The point is there are still people being born in the highest strength categories Tor - 28/10/2012 05:21:44 PM 1007 Views
The curve hasn't shifted! fionwe1987 - 28/10/2012 05:39:42 PM 1120 Views
The fact is, Moiraine is not half as strong as Lanfear, hence she is below average strength. Shannow - 28/10/2012 06:02:04 PM 1048 Views
Re: The fact is, Moiraine is not half as strong as Lanfear, hence she is below average strength. Tor - 28/10/2012 07:27:26 PM 969 Views
There is not a single quote in the series that states Moiraine is less than half the strength darius_sedai - 28/10/2012 10:31:28 PM 1027 Views
How is this fact? fionwe1987 - 29/10/2012 02:59:49 AM 1083 Views
Re: How is this fact? Sidious - 29/10/2012 07:04:15 PM 1030 Views
Not so darius_sedai - 29/10/2012 08:09:29 PM 1006 Views
Re: Not so Sidious - 29/10/2012 08:43:16 PM 1081 Views
Sure it is darius_sedai - 30/10/2012 01:43:39 AM 1005 Views
Explain Elza-Merise-Cadsuane then... fionwe1987 - 29/10/2012 08:20:14 PM 997 Views
Re: Explain Elza-Merise-Cadsuane then... Sidious - 29/10/2012 08:38:11 PM 1068 Views
Are you blind man? fionwe1987 - 30/10/2012 01:12:26 AM 1021 Views
Re: Are you blind man? Sidious - 30/10/2012 09:23:37 AM 1057 Views
Cadsuane is just below Egwene... fionwe1987 - 30/10/2012 01:37:54 PM 993 Views
Your strength scores don't square with the Pevara quote darius_sedai - 30/10/2012 03:15:22 PM 995 Views
Re: The curve hasn't shifted! Tor - 28/10/2012 07:36:36 PM 1019 Views
Well the most obvious thing is that RJ was quoted on the subject any number of times darius_sedai - 28/10/2012 11:34:18 PM 1045 Views
On Raw strength scores I think you are pretty inline with my thinking darius_sedai - 27/10/2012 09:37:25 PM 1154 Views
And the facing a Foresaken comment is out of context anyway... fionwe1987 - 28/10/2012 01:56:12 AM 1125 Views
Excellent point on raw v. Effective strength *NM* darius_sedai - 28/10/2012 04:13:21 PM 680 Views
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