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Re: Excellent points... Tor Send a noteboard - 30/10/2012 07:49:57 AM
He had used those numbers for years, he had to know that the Tower would turn down 40% of all potential channellers, it gave him a basis to start with, but he was fully aware the sample among AS (not so among WF, WO) is so small it deviated from the stats (as it did with the new novices).


That is plain wrong. The sample is not so small it would deviate tha much by random chance. If both the quote about 62.5% and the 200 out of 1000 are right, then there is some mechanism by which those novices were systematically selected from the weaker part of the population. As darius_sedai said, it could be that Northern Alataran women are for some reason weaker, or it could be something else, but the sample size is not the problem.
Fram kamerater!
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Ch2 : Pevara & Androl and channeling implications Sidious - 24/10/2012 06:40:47 PM 2923 Views
Did Perva actually initiate the link or was it Androl? *NM* TheCrownless - 24/10/2012 07:02:15 PM 754 Views
Androl did. *NM* Great Lord of Chaos - 25/10/2012 05:10:31 AM 1005 Views
But didn't Nynaeve do it first at the cleansing? TheCrownless - 25/10/2012 12:43:15 PM 1268 Views
Pevara was thinking on very sketchy information. Great Lord of Chaos - 25/10/2012 08:56:20 PM 1204 Views
did he start the link? or just take it? nigelgoboom - 27/10/2012 07:33:49 AM 895 Views
I think it's slightly off darius_sedai - 28/10/2012 04:21:05 PM 1164 Views
Re: Ch2 : Pevara & Androl and channeling implications Great Lord of Chaos - 25/10/2012 05:13:43 AM 1412 Views
Re: Ch2 : Pevara & Androl and channeling implications Sidious - 25/10/2012 04:23:20 PM 1210 Views
Re: Ch2 : Pevara & Androl and channeling implications DomA - 25/10/2012 09:52:03 PM 1258 Views
Travelling Tor - 25/10/2012 08:56:41 AM 1249 Views
Yes that's a pet theory of mine Sidious - 25/10/2012 04:21:53 PM 1269 Views
Re: Yes that's a pet theory of mine Tor - 25/10/2012 06:12:21 PM 1191 Views
Re: Yes that's a pet theory of mine DomA - 25/10/2012 08:50:15 PM 1110 Views
Re: Yes that's a pet theory of mine Tor - 25/10/2012 09:45:26 PM 1202 Views
Weren't there 150 or so at Maradon? *NM* Voscaia Sedai - 26/10/2012 03:29:53 PM 666 Views
Re: Yes that's a pet theory of mine DomA - 26/10/2012 08:49:58 PM 1309 Views
Perhaps, but if no on in the AoL could do it when mixed circles were common darius_sedai - 28/10/2012 04:22:20 PM 993 Views
How strong Pevara is... fionwe1987 - 25/10/2012 07:08:26 PM 1341 Views
I'm pretty sure Moiraine is closer to 30... DREWRULESWOT! - 25/10/2012 07:41:37 PM 1050 Views
Agreed Sidious - 25/10/2012 08:37:24 PM 1137 Views
So... the old story of ignore the bell curve, eh? fionwe1987 - 26/10/2012 01:40:49 AM 1109 Views
No, I fully respect the bell curve Sidious - 26/10/2012 01:51:34 PM 1161 Views
That was disproved long ago... fionwe1987 - 26/10/2012 01:36:24 AM 1132 Views
But Moiraine isn't 'exceptionally strong' DREWRULESWOT! - 26/10/2012 05:16:10 AM 1167 Views
Not particularly strong evidence for that last. Great Lord of Chaos - 26/10/2012 05:36:54 AM 1126 Views
But we know that it takes significantly more strength to maintain multiple weaves DREWRULESWOT! - 26/10/2012 08:14:58 AM 1042 Views
Not true darius_sedai - 27/10/2012 09:15:51 PM 1058 Views
Not accurate darius_sedai - 27/10/2012 09:31:05 PM 1032 Views
The Bell Curve explained... Shannow - 26/10/2012 10:27:34 AM 1089 Views
Re: The Bell Curve explained... Tor - 26/10/2012 11:40:04 AM 1086 Views
Re: The Bell Curve explained... Shannow - 26/10/2012 12:32:01 PM 1011 Views
Re: The Bell Curve explained... Tor - 26/10/2012 12:48:51 PM 1136 Views
Re: The Bell Curve explained... Shannow - 26/10/2012 01:07:39 PM 1110 Views
Re: The Bell Curve explained... Tor - 26/10/2012 01:18:32 PM 1139 Views
Re: The Bell Curve explained... Shannow - 26/10/2012 01:57:18 PM 1173 Views
Re: The Bell Curve explained... Tor - 28/10/2012 02:07:39 PM 882 Views
Yet Sharina, Nynaeve etc exist, thus the BC is the same darius_sedai - 27/10/2012 09:39:58 PM 1226 Views
The curve is OBVIOUSLY the same... fionwe1987 - 28/10/2012 01:50:37 AM 965 Views
Re: The curve is OBVIOUSLY the same... Tor - 28/10/2012 02:01:59 PM 1059 Views
You need to go read RJ's quotes: fionwe1987 - 28/10/2012 02:41:49 PM 1082 Views
Re: You need to go read RJ's quotes: Tor - 28/10/2012 05:39:12 PM 981 Views
I need to come and save you from blatant fallacies being spouted by the loonies. Shannow - 28/10/2012 05:56:21 PM 993 Views
Re: I need to come and save you from blatant fallacies being spouted by the loonies. Tor - 28/10/2012 07:44:02 PM 1020 Views
This is like watching a train-wreck. fionwe1987 - 29/10/2012 02:58:51 AM 951 Views
Re: This is like watching a train-wreck. DomA - 29/10/2012 01:10:35 PM 1180 Views
So what's your conclusion? Shannow - 29/10/2012 02:14:33 PM 965 Views
His conclusion is that RJ was right about the books he wrote... fionwe1987 - 29/10/2012 02:19:59 PM 1068 Views
Pretty much... DomA - 30/10/2012 12:57:41 AM 1168 Views
you do realize that is an impossible question to answer from the books right? darius_sedai - 29/10/2012 07:50:02 PM 1074 Views
Excellent points... fionwe1987 - 29/10/2012 02:16:39 PM 946 Views
Re: Excellent points... Tor - 29/10/2012 02:47:30 PM 1069 Views
You seem confused. fionwe1987 - 29/10/2012 03:22:47 PM 932 Views
Re: You seem confused. Tor - 29/10/2012 03:41:48 PM 984 Views
I think the point is that the AS didn't go force every woman in the area darius_sedai - 29/10/2012 07:57:59 PM 932 Views
Re: You seem confused. fionwe1987 - 29/10/2012 08:23:22 PM 1104 Views
Re: You seem confused. Tor - 29/10/2012 08:57:11 PM 1077 Views
He drew graphs! fionwe1987 - 30/10/2012 12:49:09 AM 962 Views
Re: He drew graphs! Tor - 30/10/2012 07:43:54 AM 1028 Views
Re: He drew graphs! fionwe1987 - 30/10/2012 01:57:05 PM 978 Views
Re: Excellent points... DomA - 30/10/2012 12:20:00 AM 1010 Views
Re: Excellent points... Tor - 30/10/2012 07:49:57 AM 1022 Views
Re: Excellent points... DomA - 30/10/2012 01:05:45 PM 1364 Views
Re: Excellent points... Tor - 30/10/2012 01:25:11 PM 1037 Views
Re: Excellent points... DomA - 30/10/2012 12:20:17 AM 1127 Views
AS recruiting is minimal darius_sedai - 28/10/2012 10:41:29 PM 987 Views
Re: You need to go read RJ's quotes: fionwe1987 - 29/10/2012 02:23:27 AM 984 Views
Re: You need to go read RJ's quotes: Tor - 29/10/2012 07:33:44 AM 997 Views
Huh? fionwe1987 - 29/10/2012 02:26:27 PM 1004 Views
Re: Huh? Tor - 29/10/2012 02:42:07 PM 959 Views
You don't seem to know what random means... fionwe1987 - 29/10/2012 03:25:57 PM 970 Views
Re: You don't seem to know what random means... Tor - 29/10/2012 03:36:45 PM 1004 Views
Personally I just think that 1000 women being allowed to tag along is a drop darius_sedai - 29/10/2012 08:05:33 PM 1028 Views
Re: Personally I just think that 1000 women being allowed to tag along is a drop Tor - 29/10/2012 09:04:02 PM 1056 Views
Geography alone can do this darius_sedai - 30/10/2012 12:39:53 AM 976 Views
Re: Geography alone can do this Tor - 30/10/2012 09:45:58 AM 964 Views
Not really darius_sedai - 30/10/2012 02:49:05 PM 954 Views
Here's why its not random... fionwe1987 - 30/10/2012 01:04:18 AM 953 Views
Re: Here's why its not random... Tor - 30/10/2012 09:42:35 AM 1101 Views
Re: Here's why its not random... fionwe1987 - 30/10/2012 01:51:03 PM 949 Views
Re: Here's why its not random... Tor - 30/10/2012 02:21:04 PM 991 Views
YEah, there's no point debating this... fionwe1987 - 30/10/2012 02:46:39 PM 984 Views
Genetics plays a role darius_sedai - 30/10/2012 03:03:41 PM 1110 Views
Re: You don't seem to know what random means... fionwe1987 - 29/10/2012 08:22:40 PM 939 Views
Re: You don't seem to know what random means... Tor - 29/10/2012 09:06:08 PM 991 Views
Why must there be a mechanism? fionwe1987 - 30/10/2012 01:06:29 AM 963 Views
Re: Why must there be a mechanism? Tor - 30/10/2012 09:48:16 AM 894 Views
Nope... fionwe1987 - 30/10/2012 01:43:56 PM 1094 Views
Re: Nope... Tor - 30/10/2012 02:34:51 PM 954 Views
Oh my... fionwe1987 - 30/10/2012 02:50:12 PM 1014 Views
Thought experment time! Hurrah! Tor - 30/10/2012 03:27:01 PM 959 Views
But it is still possible in your example to get wildly varied results darius_sedai - 30/10/2012 03:30:59 PM 902 Views
Re: But it is still possible in your example to get wildly varied results Tor - 30/10/2012 03:36:03 PM 992 Views
LOL darius_sedai - 30/10/2012 04:49:06 PM 1531 Views
Re: Yet Sharina, Nynaeve etc exist, thus the BC is the same Tor - 28/10/2012 01:39:55 PM 963 Views
The point is there are still people being born in the highest strength categories darius_sedai - 28/10/2012 04:18:55 PM 1012 Views
Re: The point is there are still people being born in the highest strength categories Tor - 28/10/2012 05:21:44 PM 993 Views
The curve hasn't shifted! fionwe1987 - 28/10/2012 05:39:42 PM 1088 Views
The fact is, Moiraine is not half as strong as Lanfear, hence she is below average strength. Shannow - 28/10/2012 06:02:04 PM 1029 Views
Re: The fact is, Moiraine is not half as strong as Lanfear, hence she is below average strength. Tor - 28/10/2012 07:27:26 PM 927 Views
There is not a single quote in the series that states Moiraine is less than half the strength darius_sedai - 28/10/2012 10:31:28 PM 990 Views
How is this fact? fionwe1987 - 29/10/2012 02:59:49 AM 1045 Views
Re: How is this fact? Sidious - 29/10/2012 07:04:15 PM 1006 Views
Not so darius_sedai - 29/10/2012 08:09:29 PM 984 Views
Re: Not so Sidious - 29/10/2012 08:43:16 PM 1046 Views
Sure it is darius_sedai - 30/10/2012 01:43:39 AM 945 Views
Explain Elza-Merise-Cadsuane then... fionwe1987 - 29/10/2012 08:20:14 PM 970 Views
Re: Explain Elza-Merise-Cadsuane then... Sidious - 29/10/2012 08:38:11 PM 1024 Views
Are you blind man? fionwe1987 - 30/10/2012 01:12:26 AM 1000 Views
Re: Are you blind man? Sidious - 30/10/2012 09:23:37 AM 1039 Views
Cadsuane is just below Egwene... fionwe1987 - 30/10/2012 01:37:54 PM 970 Views
Your strength scores don't square with the Pevara quote darius_sedai - 30/10/2012 03:15:22 PM 971 Views
Re: The curve hasn't shifted! Tor - 28/10/2012 07:36:36 PM 1002 Views
Well the most obvious thing is that RJ was quoted on the subject any number of times darius_sedai - 28/10/2012 11:34:18 PM 1016 Views
On Raw strength scores I think you are pretty inline with my thinking darius_sedai - 27/10/2012 09:37:25 PM 1138 Views
And the facing a Foresaken comment is out of context anyway... fionwe1987 - 28/10/2012 01:56:12 AM 1096 Views
Excellent point on raw v. Effective strength *NM* darius_sedai - 28/10/2012 04:13:21 PM 662 Views
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