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Personally I just think that 1000 women being allowed to tag along is a drop darius_sedai Send a noteboard - 29/10/2012 08:05:33 PM
The people coming to the Tower wanting to be Aes Sedai are NOT a random sample of all women. They're a sample of women who want to be Aes Sedai.


Yes, of course, but unless there is some underlying mechanism making women who could be strong channelers be less likely to want to become Aes Sedai, it seems reasonable to assume that the women who want to become Aes Sedai are a random sample of all women.


in the bucket. We know that about 1% of the population has the ability. Which could mean something like 500,000 women have the ability which means 312,500 could be AS and 187,500 are too weak. Picking up a random 1000 women from a specific region who came without active recruitment isn't a representative sample of female channelers. For all we know Northern Altaran women are generally weak in the power.
Domani Drag Queen in the White Tower ... Aran'gar watch out!
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Ch2 : Pevara & Androl and channeling implications - 24/10/2012 06:40:47 PM 3106 Views
Did Perva actually initiate the link or was it Androl? *NM* - 24/10/2012 07:02:15 PM 865 Views
Androl did. *NM* - 25/10/2012 05:10:31 AM 1066 Views
But didn't Nynaeve do it first at the cleansing? - 25/10/2012 12:43:15 PM 1369 Views
Pevara was thinking on very sketchy information. - 25/10/2012 08:56:20 PM 1423 Views
did he start the link? or just take it? - 27/10/2012 07:33:49 AM 1016 Views
I think it's slightly off - 28/10/2012 04:21:05 PM 1261 Views
Re: Ch2 : Pevara & Androl and channeling implications - 25/10/2012 05:13:43 AM 1589 Views
Re: Ch2 : Pevara & Androl and channeling implications - 25/10/2012 04:23:20 PM 1308 Views
Re: Ch2 : Pevara & Androl and channeling implications - 25/10/2012 09:52:03 PM 1364 Views
Travelling - 25/10/2012 08:56:41 AM 1348 Views
Yes that's a pet theory of mine - 25/10/2012 04:21:53 PM 1365 Views
Re: Yes that's a pet theory of mine - 25/10/2012 06:12:21 PM 1335 Views
Re: Yes that's a pet theory of mine - 25/10/2012 08:50:15 PM 1207 Views
Re: Yes that's a pet theory of mine - 25/10/2012 09:45:26 PM 1367 Views
Weren't there 150 or so at Maradon? *NM* - 26/10/2012 03:29:53 PM 767 Views
Re: Yes that's a pet theory of mine - 26/10/2012 08:49:58 PM 1433 Views
Perhaps, but if no on in the AoL could do it when mixed circles were common - 28/10/2012 04:22:20 PM 1137 Views
How strong Pevara is... - 25/10/2012 07:08:26 PM 1498 Views
I'm pretty sure Moiraine is closer to 30... - 25/10/2012 07:41:37 PM 1133 Views
Agreed - 25/10/2012 08:37:24 PM 1278 Views
So... the old story of ignore the bell curve, eh? - 26/10/2012 01:40:49 AM 1233 Views
No, I fully respect the bell curve - 26/10/2012 01:51:34 PM 1263 Views
That was disproved long ago... - 26/10/2012 01:36:24 AM 1297 Views
But Moiraine isn't 'exceptionally strong' - 26/10/2012 05:16:10 AM 1286 Views
Not particularly strong evidence for that last. - 26/10/2012 05:36:54 AM 1309 Views
But we know that it takes significantly more strength to maintain multiple weaves - 26/10/2012 08:14:58 AM 1241 Views
Not true - 27/10/2012 09:15:51 PM 1217 Views
Not accurate - 27/10/2012 09:31:05 PM 1145 Views
The Bell Curve explained... - 26/10/2012 10:27:34 AM 1217 Views
Re: The Bell Curve explained... - 26/10/2012 11:40:04 AM 1208 Views
Re: The Bell Curve explained... - 26/10/2012 12:32:01 PM 1127 Views
Re: The Bell Curve explained... - 26/10/2012 12:48:51 PM 1258 Views
Re: The Bell Curve explained... - 26/10/2012 01:07:39 PM 1226 Views
Re: The Bell Curve explained... - 26/10/2012 01:18:32 PM 1363 Views
Re: The Bell Curve explained... - 26/10/2012 01:57:18 PM 1294 Views
Re: The Bell Curve explained... - 28/10/2012 02:07:39 PM 1175 Views
Yet Sharina, Nynaeve etc exist, thus the BC is the same - 27/10/2012 09:39:58 PM 1436 Views
The curve is OBVIOUSLY the same... - 28/10/2012 01:50:37 AM 1068 Views
Re: The curve is OBVIOUSLY the same... - 28/10/2012 02:01:59 PM 1162 Views
You need to go read RJ's quotes: - 28/10/2012 02:41:49 PM 1268 Views
Re: You need to go read RJ's quotes: - 28/10/2012 05:39:12 PM 1085 Views
I need to come and save you from blatant fallacies being spouted by the loonies. - 28/10/2012 05:56:21 PM 1092 Views
This is like watching a train-wreck. - 29/10/2012 02:58:51 AM 1083 Views
Re: This is like watching a train-wreck. - 29/10/2012 01:10:35 PM 1286 Views
So what's your conclusion? - 29/10/2012 02:14:33 PM 1073 Views
His conclusion is that RJ was right about the books he wrote... - 29/10/2012 02:19:59 PM 1183 Views
Pretty much... - 30/10/2012 12:57:41 AM 1266 Views
Excellent points... - 29/10/2012 02:16:39 PM 1048 Views
Re: Excellent points... - 29/10/2012 02:47:30 PM 1255 Views
You seem confused. - 29/10/2012 03:22:47 PM 1036 Views
Re: You seem confused. - 29/10/2012 03:41:48 PM 1075 Views
I think the point is that the AS didn't go force every woman in the area - 29/10/2012 07:57:59 PM 1027 Views
Re: You seem confused. - 29/10/2012 08:23:22 PM 1270 Views
Re: You seem confused. - 29/10/2012 08:57:11 PM 1184 Views
He drew graphs! - 30/10/2012 12:49:09 AM 1085 Views
Re: He drew graphs! - 30/10/2012 07:43:54 AM 1229 Views
Re: He drew graphs! - 30/10/2012 01:57:05 PM 1127 Views
Re: Excellent points... - 30/10/2012 12:20:00 AM 1145 Views
Re: Excellent points... - 30/10/2012 07:49:57 AM 1122 Views
Re: Excellent points... - 30/10/2012 01:05:45 PM 1529 Views
Re: Excellent points... - 30/10/2012 01:25:11 PM 1162 Views
Re: Excellent points... - 30/10/2012 12:20:17 AM 1247 Views
AS recruiting is minimal - 28/10/2012 10:41:29 PM 1108 Views
Re: You need to go read RJ's quotes: - 29/10/2012 02:23:27 AM 1095 Views
Re: You need to go read RJ's quotes: - 29/10/2012 07:33:44 AM 1098 Views
Huh? - 29/10/2012 02:26:27 PM 1170 Views
Re: Huh? - 29/10/2012 02:42:07 PM 1063 Views
You don't seem to know what random means... - 29/10/2012 03:25:57 PM 1101 Views
Re: You don't seem to know what random means... - 29/10/2012 03:36:45 PM 1096 Views
Personally I just think that 1000 women being allowed to tag along is a drop - 29/10/2012 08:05:33 PM 1187 Views
Re: Personally I just think that 1000 women being allowed to tag along is a drop - 29/10/2012 09:04:02 PM 1219 Views
Geography alone can do this - 30/10/2012 12:39:53 AM 1085 Views
Re: Geography alone can do this - 30/10/2012 09:45:58 AM 1063 Views
Not really - 30/10/2012 02:49:05 PM 1050 Views
Here's why its not random... - 30/10/2012 01:04:18 AM 1064 Views
Re: Here's why its not random... - 30/10/2012 09:42:35 AM 1261 Views
Re: Here's why its not random... - 30/10/2012 01:51:03 PM 1049 Views
Re: Here's why its not random... - 30/10/2012 02:21:04 PM 1109 Views
YEah, there's no point debating this... - 30/10/2012 02:46:39 PM 1115 Views
Genetics plays a role - 30/10/2012 03:03:41 PM 1277 Views
Re: You don't seem to know what random means... - 29/10/2012 08:22:40 PM 1024 Views
Re: You don't seem to know what random means... - 29/10/2012 09:06:08 PM 1138 Views
Why must there be a mechanism? - 30/10/2012 01:06:29 AM 1064 Views
Re: Why must there be a mechanism? - 30/10/2012 09:48:16 AM 1065 Views
Nope... - 30/10/2012 01:43:56 PM 1224 Views
Re: Nope... - 30/10/2012 02:34:51 PM 1071 Views
Oh my... - 30/10/2012 02:50:12 PM 1099 Views
Thought experment time! Hurrah! - 30/10/2012 03:27:01 PM 1061 Views
But it is still possible in your example to get wildly varied results - 30/10/2012 03:30:59 PM 1007 Views
Re: But it is still possible in your example to get wildly varied results - 30/10/2012 03:36:03 PM 1081 Views
LOL - 30/10/2012 04:49:06 PM 1696 Views
Re: Yet Sharina, Nynaeve etc exist, thus the BC is the same - 28/10/2012 01:39:55 PM 1114 Views
The point is there are still people being born in the highest strength categories - 28/10/2012 04:18:55 PM 1156 Views
Re: The point is there are still people being born in the highest strength categories - 28/10/2012 05:21:44 PM 1086 Views
The curve hasn't shifted! - 28/10/2012 05:39:42 PM 1244 Views
The fact is, Moiraine is not half as strong as Lanfear, hence she is below average strength. - 28/10/2012 06:02:04 PM 1120 Views
How is this fact? - 29/10/2012 02:59:49 AM 1206 Views
Re: How is this fact? - 29/10/2012 07:04:15 PM 1110 Views
Not so - 29/10/2012 08:09:29 PM 1079 Views
Re: Not so - 29/10/2012 08:43:16 PM 1205 Views
Sure it is - 30/10/2012 01:43:39 AM 1142 Views
Explain Elza-Merise-Cadsuane then... - 29/10/2012 08:20:14 PM 1086 Views
Re: Explain Elza-Merise-Cadsuane then... - 29/10/2012 08:38:11 PM 1188 Views
Are you blind man? - 30/10/2012 01:12:26 AM 1110 Views
Re: Are you blind man? - 30/10/2012 09:23:37 AM 1133 Views
Cadsuane is just below Egwene... - 30/10/2012 01:37:54 PM 1070 Views
Your strength scores don't square with the Pevara quote - 30/10/2012 03:15:22 PM 1067 Views
Re: The curve hasn't shifted! - 28/10/2012 07:36:36 PM 1097 Views
On Raw strength scores I think you are pretty inline with my thinking - 27/10/2012 09:37:25 PM 1232 Views
And the facing a Foresaken comment is out of context anyway... - 28/10/2012 01:56:12 AM 1237 Views
Excellent point on raw v. Effective strength *NM* - 28/10/2012 04:13:21 PM 766 Views

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