When confronted with a situation which could not possibly arise if the novices were a random sample of the population, you choose to believe there must be a mechanism by which only the weaker channelers, even though the don't know the can channel yet, choose to go to the Tower, rather than concluding (as I have) that RJ pulled the number 62.5% out of his hat, without thinking too much about it.
Well, he sure had a huge sense of humor and he liked to pull legs and make tongue-in-cheek jokes, but he also had a lot of respect for the fans who loved this sort of details because he loved that too. So yeah, he might have added the 2.5% as a bit of a joke, or not, but he was also quite maniacal when he came to stuff like this, loving to work with graphs and charts, and logical grids. He's that type of world builder. He had full lists of all the Amyrlins since the Breaking, with their Ajah, ages, deeds, the reasons why they were raised etc. 99% of this stuff never showed up in the series, but it's how he worked.
He had used those numbers for years, he had to know that the Tower would turn down 40% of all potential channellers, it gave him a basis to start with, but he was fully aware the sample among AS (not so among WF, WO) is so small it deviated from the stats (as it did with the new novices). He used all those numbers to figure out how many Wise Ones and Winfinders he should have in relation to their population, made charts of their strengths etc. He loved to have that kind of information on file to be able to just turn to his notes if he wanted a character to pass comments in the vein of "she was stronger than more than half the Windfinders". Don't forget, RJ's notes are considerably larger than the whole published series, and he used all sort of special purpose work files. He had this document with the AS characters arranged by level, as women on different levels had relationships of deference, increasing with the gaps. The Sheriam entry for e.g. would also list her exact strength, her time as novice/accepted, specific comments she had made about her abilities, Talents she might have and if he had used that or not, and it also gave the level of deference for women she interacted most often with. RJ just had to look at that and in a scene with Sheriam's circle he knew at a glance how to approach a conversation between them, if it should be Myrelle or Beowyn who interrupts etc. Then if he had to bring in a minor character, he'd just looked at her entry to see her level, and knew how she should act, and if wanted a sister to act specifically he could double-check and see if anything contradicted that, and if not he could change her strength. Etc.
His character files were in prose and like more or less detailed biographies, with motivations and so on. More the sort of stuff he'd look at before starting a new book than something to refer to as he wrote.
Another type of document he used were extremely detailed and complex charts (Brandon said even Maria has problems navigating them as RJ had all sort of color codes for everything... what happened on screen, what happened off-screen, if it could be altered or not, stuff that might happen, projections of main events for "global outline" of the series and so on and so forth. Apparently it's only RJ who was comfortable with that chronology file (Brandon wasn't, he relied on Maria who herself often preferred to rely on Tellings of the Wheel if the information was one that was confirmed by the text, she looked into the chronology of RJ when ToW was in doubt).
Ch2 : Pevara & Androl and channeling implications
- 24/10/2012 06:40:47 PM
2979 Views
Did Perva actually initiate the link or was it Androl? *NM*
- 24/10/2012 07:02:15 PM
783 Views
Androl did. *NM*
- 25/10/2012 05:10:31 AM
1020 Views
But didn't Nynaeve do it first at the cleansing?
- 25/10/2012 12:43:15 PM
1296 Views
Pevara was thinking on very sketchy information.
- 25/10/2012 08:56:20 PM
1249 Views
Re: Ch2 : Pevara & Androl and channeling implications
- 25/10/2012 05:13:43 AM
1451 Views
Travelling
- 25/10/2012 08:56:41 AM
1272 Views
Yes that's a pet theory of mine
- 25/10/2012 04:21:53 PM
1292 Views
Re: Yes that's a pet theory of mine
- 25/10/2012 06:12:21 PM
1226 Views
Re: Yes that's a pet theory of mine
- 25/10/2012 08:50:15 PM
1130 Views
Perhaps, but if no on in the AoL could do it when mixed circles were common
- 28/10/2012 04:22:20 PM
1029 Views
How strong Pevara is...
- 25/10/2012 07:08:26 PM
1375 Views
I'm pretty sure Moiraine is closer to 30...
- 25/10/2012 07:41:37 PM
1066 Views
Agreed
- 25/10/2012 08:37:24 PM
1179 Views
That was disproved long ago...
- 26/10/2012 01:36:24 AM
1175 Views
But Moiraine isn't 'exceptionally strong'
- 26/10/2012 05:16:10 AM
1197 Views
Not particularly strong evidence for that last.
- 26/10/2012 05:36:54 AM
1163 Views
But we know that it takes significantly more strength to maintain multiple weaves
- 26/10/2012 08:14:58 AM
1089 Views
The Bell Curve explained...
- 26/10/2012 10:27:34 AM
1129 Views
Re: The Bell Curve explained...
- 26/10/2012 11:40:04 AM
1116 Views
Re: The Bell Curve explained...
- 26/10/2012 12:32:01 PM
1040 Views
Re: The Bell Curve explained...
- 26/10/2012 12:48:51 PM
1173 Views
Re: The Bell Curve explained...
- 26/10/2012 01:07:39 PM
1150 Views
Re: The Bell Curve explained...
- 26/10/2012 01:18:32 PM
1198 Views
Yet Sharina, Nynaeve etc exist, thus the BC is the same
- 27/10/2012 09:39:58 PM
1273 Views
The curve is OBVIOUSLY the same...
- 28/10/2012 01:50:37 AM
984 Views
Re: The curve is OBVIOUSLY the same...
- 28/10/2012 02:01:59 PM
1074 Views
You need to go read RJ's quotes:
- 28/10/2012 02:41:49 PM
1125 Views
Re: You need to go read RJ's quotes:
- 28/10/2012 05:39:12 PM
1013 Views
I need to come and save you from blatant fallacies being spouted by the loonies.
- 28/10/2012 05:56:21 PM
1018 Views
Re: I need to come and save you from blatant fallacies being spouted by the loonies.
- 28/10/2012 07:44:02 PM
1084 Views
This is like watching a train-wreck.
- 29/10/2012 02:58:51 AM
990 Views
Re: This is like watching a train-wreck.
- 29/10/2012 01:10:35 PM
1210 Views
So what's your conclusion?
- 29/10/2012 02:14:33 PM
993 Views
you do realize that is an impossible question to answer from the books right?
- 29/10/2012 07:50:02 PM
1117 Views
Excellent points...
- 29/10/2012 02:16:39 PM
968 Views
Re: Excellent points...
- 29/10/2012 02:47:30 PM
1108 Views
You seem confused.
- 29/10/2012 03:22:47 PM
960 Views
Re: You seem confused.
- 29/10/2012 03:41:48 PM
1004 Views
I think the point is that the AS didn't go force every woman in the area
- 29/10/2012 07:57:59 PM
952 Views
Re: You seem confused.
- 29/10/2012 08:23:22 PM
1143 Views
Re: You seem confused.
- 29/10/2012 08:57:11 PM
1109 Views
He drew graphs!
- 30/10/2012 12:49:09 AM
1003 Views
He drew graphs!
- 30/10/2012 12:49:09 AM
1003 Views
Re: Excellent points...
- 30/10/2012 12:20:00 AM
1051 Views
Re: Excellent points...
- 30/10/2012 07:49:57 AM
1043 Views
Re: Excellent points...
- 30/10/2012 12:20:17 AM
1167 Views
Re: You need to go read RJ's quotes:
- 29/10/2012 02:23:27 AM
1007 Views
Re: You need to go read RJ's quotes:
- 29/10/2012 07:33:44 AM
1028 Views
Huh?
- 29/10/2012 02:26:27 PM
1045 Views
Re: Huh?
- 29/10/2012 02:42:07 PM
980 Views
You don't seem to know what random means...
- 29/10/2012 03:25:57 PM
1005 Views
Re: You don't seem to know what random means...
- 29/10/2012 03:36:45 PM
1024 Views
Personally I just think that 1000 women being allowed to tag along is a drop
- 29/10/2012 08:05:33 PM
1053 Views
Re: Personally I just think that 1000 women being allowed to tag along is a drop
- 29/10/2012 09:04:02 PM
1088 Views
Geography alone can do this
- 30/10/2012 12:39:53 AM
1002 Views
Here's why its not random...
- 30/10/2012 01:04:18 AM
972 Views
Re: Here's why its not random...
- 30/10/2012 09:42:35 AM
1132 Views
Re: Here's why its not random...
- 30/10/2012 01:51:03 PM
973 Views
Re: You don't seem to know what random means...
- 29/10/2012 08:22:40 PM
960 Views
Re: You don't seem to know what random means...
- 29/10/2012 09:06:08 PM
1019 Views
Why must there be a mechanism?
- 30/10/2012 01:06:29 AM
983 Views
Re: Why must there be a mechanism?
- 30/10/2012 09:48:16 AM
939 Views
Nope...
- 30/10/2012 01:43:56 PM
1135 Views
Re: Nope...
- 30/10/2012 02:34:51 PM
979 Views
Oh my...
- 30/10/2012 02:50:12 PM
1034 Views
Thought experment time! Hurrah!
- 30/10/2012 03:27:01 PM
981 Views
But it is still possible in your example to get wildly varied results
- 30/10/2012 03:30:59 PM
924 Views
Re: But it is still possible in your example to get wildly varied results
- 30/10/2012 03:36:03 PM
1015 Views
Re: Yet Sharina, Nynaeve etc exist, thus the BC is the same
- 28/10/2012 01:39:55 PM
989 Views
The point is there are still people being born in the highest strength categories
- 28/10/2012 04:18:55 PM
1046 Views
Re: The point is there are still people being born in the highest strength categories
- 28/10/2012 05:21:44 PM
1010 Views
The curve hasn't shifted!
- 28/10/2012 05:39:42 PM
1123 Views
The fact is, Moiraine is not half as strong as Lanfear, hence she is below average strength.
- 28/10/2012 06:02:04 PM
1049 Views
Re: The fact is, Moiraine is not half as strong as Lanfear, hence she is below average strength.
- 28/10/2012 07:27:26 PM
973 Views
There is not a single quote in the series that states Moiraine is less than half the strength
- 28/10/2012 10:31:28 PM
1028 Views
How is this fact?
- 29/10/2012 02:59:49 AM
1087 Views
Re: How is this fact?
- 29/10/2012 07:04:15 PM
1032 Views
Explain Elza-Merise-Cadsuane then...
- 29/10/2012 08:20:14 PM
1000 Views
Re: Explain Elza-Merise-Cadsuane then...
- 29/10/2012 08:38:11 PM
1069 Views
Are you blind man?
- 30/10/2012 01:12:26 AM
1024 Views
Re: The curve hasn't shifted!
- 28/10/2012 07:36:36 PM
1020 Views
Well the most obvious thing is that RJ was quoted on the subject any number of times
- 28/10/2012 11:34:18 PM
1046 Views
On Raw strength scores I think you are pretty inline with my thinking
- 27/10/2012 09:37:25 PM
1158 Views
