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Re: Here's why its not random... Tor Send a noteboard - 30/10/2012 02:21:04 PM
He has not contradicted himself. The 62.5% is a global average. Every minuscule subset doesn't have to adhere to it. This fact allowed him to reduce the AS intake of the Rebels, to ramp up tension without sacrificing the rules he built up.


1000 people isn't a miniscule subset, and repeatedly saying it is won't make it so. I'm afraid there is very little purpose to the discussion if we can't even agree on basic stuff like how statistics works.

Edit:

In any case, it is perfecly reasonable that high IQ is correlated with wanting to go to university. It is not perfecly reasonable that being a potentially strong channeler is correlated with wanting to become Aes Sedai, since most people don't know they can channel when they decide.

Why does high IQ tie in with wanting to go to university? Remember, I'm not talking about successfully entering university, or succeeding once in. I'm talking about the desire to go at all, and not because of social or financial pressures, but due to active curiosity and need to learn.


I'm not saying I know this is the case, but I think it sounds plausible that high IQ to some extent is correlated with doing well in school, which again I would think is correlated with the desire to go to university.

If you can come up with something that sounds like a reasonable explanation for the bias towards weaker channelers in the 1000 novices, I'm all ears.
Fram kamerater!
This message last edited by Tor on 30/10/2012 at 02:26:44 PM
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Ch2 : Pevara & Androl and channeling implications Sidious - 24/10/2012 06:40:47 PM 2875 Views
Did Perva actually initiate the link or was it Androl? *NM* TheCrownless - 24/10/2012 07:02:15 PM 733 Views
Androl did. *NM* Great Lord of Chaos - 25/10/2012 05:10:31 AM 990 Views
But didn't Nynaeve do it first at the cleansing? TheCrownless - 25/10/2012 12:43:15 PM 1210 Views
Pevara was thinking on very sketchy information. Great Lord of Chaos - 25/10/2012 08:56:20 PM 1148 Views
did he start the link? or just take it? nigelgoboom - 27/10/2012 07:33:49 AM 854 Views
I think it's slightly off darius_sedai - 28/10/2012 04:21:05 PM 1133 Views
Re: Ch2 : Pevara & Androl and channeling implications Great Lord of Chaos - 25/10/2012 05:13:43 AM 1368 Views
Re: Ch2 : Pevara & Androl and channeling implications Sidious - 25/10/2012 04:23:20 PM 1179 Views
Re: Ch2 : Pevara & Androl and channeling implications DomA - 25/10/2012 09:52:03 PM 1223 Views
Travelling Tor - 25/10/2012 08:56:41 AM 1219 Views
Yes that's a pet theory of mine Sidious - 25/10/2012 04:21:53 PM 1239 Views
Re: Yes that's a pet theory of mine Tor - 25/10/2012 06:12:21 PM 1120 Views
Re: Yes that's a pet theory of mine DomA - 25/10/2012 08:50:15 PM 1072 Views
Re: Yes that's a pet theory of mine Tor - 25/10/2012 09:45:26 PM 1158 Views
Weren't there 150 or so at Maradon? *NM* Voscaia Sedai - 26/10/2012 03:29:53 PM 646 Views
Re: Yes that's a pet theory of mine DomA - 26/10/2012 08:49:58 PM 1272 Views
Perhaps, but if no on in the AoL could do it when mixed circles were common darius_sedai - 28/10/2012 04:22:20 PM 950 Views
How strong Pevara is... fionwe1987 - 25/10/2012 07:08:26 PM 1299 Views
I'm pretty sure Moiraine is closer to 30... DREWRULESWOT! - 25/10/2012 07:41:37 PM 1018 Views
Agreed Sidious - 25/10/2012 08:37:24 PM 1104 Views
So... the old story of ignore the bell curve, eh? fionwe1987 - 26/10/2012 01:40:49 AM 1074 Views
No, I fully respect the bell curve Sidious - 26/10/2012 01:51:34 PM 1127 Views
That was disproved long ago... fionwe1987 - 26/10/2012 01:36:24 AM 1085 Views
But Moiraine isn't 'exceptionally strong' DREWRULESWOT! - 26/10/2012 05:16:10 AM 1131 Views
Not particularly strong evidence for that last. Great Lord of Chaos - 26/10/2012 05:36:54 AM 1084 Views
But we know that it takes significantly more strength to maintain multiple weaves DREWRULESWOT! - 26/10/2012 08:14:58 AM 992 Views
Not true darius_sedai - 27/10/2012 09:15:51 PM 1007 Views
Not accurate darius_sedai - 27/10/2012 09:31:05 PM 997 Views
The Bell Curve explained... Shannow - 26/10/2012 10:27:34 AM 1058 Views
Re: The Bell Curve explained... Tor - 26/10/2012 11:40:04 AM 1054 Views
Re: The Bell Curve explained... Shannow - 26/10/2012 12:32:01 PM 981 Views
Re: The Bell Curve explained... Tor - 26/10/2012 12:48:51 PM 1084 Views
Re: The Bell Curve explained... Shannow - 26/10/2012 01:07:39 PM 1068 Views
Re: The Bell Curve explained... Tor - 26/10/2012 01:18:32 PM 1089 Views
Re: The Bell Curve explained... Shannow - 26/10/2012 01:57:18 PM 1138 Views
Re: The Bell Curve explained... Tor - 28/10/2012 02:07:39 PM 818 Views
Yet Sharina, Nynaeve etc exist, thus the BC is the same darius_sedai - 27/10/2012 09:39:58 PM 1165 Views
The curve is OBVIOUSLY the same... fionwe1987 - 28/10/2012 01:50:37 AM 938 Views
Re: The curve is OBVIOUSLY the same... Tor - 28/10/2012 02:01:59 PM 1023 Views
You need to go read RJ's quotes: fionwe1987 - 28/10/2012 02:41:49 PM 1041 Views
Re: You need to go read RJ's quotes: Tor - 28/10/2012 05:39:12 PM 945 Views
I need to come and save you from blatant fallacies being spouted by the loonies. Shannow - 28/10/2012 05:56:21 PM 960 Views
Re: I need to come and save you from blatant fallacies being spouted by the loonies. Tor - 28/10/2012 07:44:02 PM 960 Views
This is like watching a train-wreck. fionwe1987 - 29/10/2012 02:58:51 AM 917 Views
Re: This is like watching a train-wreck. DomA - 29/10/2012 01:10:35 PM 1125 Views
So what's your conclusion? Shannow - 29/10/2012 02:14:33 PM 904 Views
His conclusion is that RJ was right about the books he wrote... fionwe1987 - 29/10/2012 02:19:59 PM 1041 Views
Pretty much... DomA - 30/10/2012 12:57:41 AM 1130 Views
you do realize that is an impossible question to answer from the books right? darius_sedai - 29/10/2012 07:50:02 PM 1023 Views
Excellent points... fionwe1987 - 29/10/2012 02:16:39 PM 888 Views
Re: Excellent points... Tor - 29/10/2012 02:47:30 PM 1020 Views
You seem confused. fionwe1987 - 29/10/2012 03:22:47 PM 899 Views
Re: You seem confused. Tor - 29/10/2012 03:41:48 PM 951 Views
I think the point is that the AS didn't go force every woman in the area darius_sedai - 29/10/2012 07:57:59 PM 893 Views
Re: You seem confused. fionwe1987 - 29/10/2012 08:23:22 PM 1033 Views
Re: You seem confused. Tor - 29/10/2012 08:57:11 PM 1040 Views
He drew graphs! fionwe1987 - 30/10/2012 12:49:09 AM 923 Views
Re: He drew graphs! Tor - 30/10/2012 07:43:54 AM 974 Views
Re: He drew graphs! fionwe1987 - 30/10/2012 01:57:05 PM 943 Views
Re: Excellent points... DomA - 30/10/2012 12:20:00 AM 974 Views
Re: Excellent points... Tor - 30/10/2012 07:49:57 AM 987 Views
Re: Excellent points... DomA - 30/10/2012 01:05:45 PM 1322 Views
Re: Excellent points... Tor - 30/10/2012 01:25:11 PM 1005 Views
Re: Excellent points... DomA - 30/10/2012 12:20:17 AM 1066 Views
AS recruiting is minimal darius_sedai - 28/10/2012 10:41:29 PM 948 Views
Re: You need to go read RJ's quotes: fionwe1987 - 29/10/2012 02:23:27 AM 953 Views
Re: You need to go read RJ's quotes: Tor - 29/10/2012 07:33:44 AM 943 Views
Huh? fionwe1987 - 29/10/2012 02:26:27 PM 960 Views
Re: Huh? Tor - 29/10/2012 02:42:07 PM 928 Views
You don't seem to know what random means... fionwe1987 - 29/10/2012 03:25:57 PM 940 Views
Re: You don't seem to know what random means... Tor - 29/10/2012 03:36:45 PM 970 Views
Personally I just think that 1000 women being allowed to tag along is a drop darius_sedai - 29/10/2012 08:05:33 PM 989 Views
Re: Personally I just think that 1000 women being allowed to tag along is a drop Tor - 29/10/2012 09:04:02 PM 1006 Views
Geography alone can do this darius_sedai - 30/10/2012 12:39:53 AM 945 Views
Re: Geography alone can do this Tor - 30/10/2012 09:45:58 AM 931 Views
Not really darius_sedai - 30/10/2012 02:49:05 PM 922 Views
Here's why its not random... fionwe1987 - 30/10/2012 01:04:18 AM 918 Views
Re: Here's why its not random... Tor - 30/10/2012 09:42:35 AM 1056 Views
Re: Here's why its not random... fionwe1987 - 30/10/2012 01:51:03 PM 917 Views
Re: Here's why its not random... Tor - 30/10/2012 02:21:04 PM 955 Views
YEah, there's no point debating this... fionwe1987 - 30/10/2012 02:46:39 PM 915 Views
Genetics plays a role darius_sedai - 30/10/2012 03:03:41 PM 1066 Views
Re: You don't seem to know what random means... fionwe1987 - 29/10/2012 08:22:40 PM 905 Views
Re: You don't seem to know what random means... Tor - 29/10/2012 09:06:08 PM 948 Views
Why must there be a mechanism? fionwe1987 - 30/10/2012 01:06:29 AM 930 Views
Re: Why must there be a mechanism? Tor - 30/10/2012 09:48:16 AM 850 Views
Nope... fionwe1987 - 30/10/2012 01:43:56 PM 1064 Views
Re: Nope... Tor - 30/10/2012 02:34:51 PM 901 Views
Oh my... fionwe1987 - 30/10/2012 02:50:12 PM 976 Views
Thought experment time! Hurrah! Tor - 30/10/2012 03:27:01 PM 928 Views
But it is still possible in your example to get wildly varied results darius_sedai - 30/10/2012 03:30:59 PM 873 Views
Re: But it is still possible in your example to get wildly varied results Tor - 30/10/2012 03:36:03 PM 960 Views
LOL darius_sedai - 30/10/2012 04:49:06 PM 1491 Views
Re: Yet Sharina, Nynaeve etc exist, thus the BC is the same Tor - 28/10/2012 01:39:55 PM 919 Views
The point is there are still people being born in the highest strength categories darius_sedai - 28/10/2012 04:18:55 PM 968 Views
Re: The point is there are still people being born in the highest strength categories Tor - 28/10/2012 05:21:44 PM 953 Views
The curve hasn't shifted! fionwe1987 - 28/10/2012 05:39:42 PM 1031 Views
The fact is, Moiraine is not half as strong as Lanfear, hence she is below average strength. Shannow - 28/10/2012 06:02:04 PM 994 Views
Re: The fact is, Moiraine is not half as strong as Lanfear, hence she is below average strength. Tor - 28/10/2012 07:27:26 PM 887 Views
There is not a single quote in the series that states Moiraine is less than half the strength darius_sedai - 28/10/2012 10:31:28 PM 942 Views
How is this fact? fionwe1987 - 29/10/2012 02:59:49 AM 991 Views
Re: How is this fact? Sidious - 29/10/2012 07:04:15 PM 973 Views
Not so darius_sedai - 29/10/2012 08:09:29 PM 928 Views
Re: Not so Sidious - 29/10/2012 08:43:16 PM 1006 Views
Sure it is darius_sedai - 30/10/2012 01:43:39 AM 902 Views
Explain Elza-Merise-Cadsuane then... fionwe1987 - 29/10/2012 08:20:14 PM 930 Views
Re: Explain Elza-Merise-Cadsuane then... Sidious - 29/10/2012 08:38:11 PM 961 Views
Are you blind man? fionwe1987 - 30/10/2012 01:12:26 AM 972 Views
Re: Are you blind man? Sidious - 30/10/2012 09:23:37 AM 1009 Views
Cadsuane is just below Egwene... fionwe1987 - 30/10/2012 01:37:54 PM 937 Views
Your strength scores don't square with the Pevara quote darius_sedai - 30/10/2012 03:15:22 PM 945 Views
Re: The curve hasn't shifted! Tor - 28/10/2012 07:36:36 PM 964 Views
Well the most obvious thing is that RJ was quoted on the subject any number of times darius_sedai - 28/10/2012 11:34:18 PM 971 Views
On Raw strength scores I think you are pretty inline with my thinking darius_sedai - 27/10/2012 09:37:25 PM 1106 Views
And the facing a Foresaken comment is out of context anyway... fionwe1987 - 28/10/2012 01:56:12 AM 1060 Views
Excellent point on raw v. Effective strength *NM* darius_sedai - 28/10/2012 04:13:21 PM 644 Views
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