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Excellent point. fionwe1987 Send a noteboard - 29/10/2012 08:24:37 PM
This validates my point (which you have completely disagreed with before) that Aes Sedai make a terrible random sampling. They're a very skewed sample, and the best example of that is the 1000 novices Egwene's proclamation brings.


RJ said that 62.5% of women were strong enough to become Aes Sedai, yet only 20% of Egwene's 1000 novices are strong enough. What possible explanation could there be for this enormous bias?


Look at the TR for instance. We've seen many more uber-channelers come from that tiny region and a much higher % that would be expected from such a small region. Dozens of men and women have been picked up by both Towers from the TR and they are ALL strong enough to be AS.

You are both trying to apply a total population % to isolated regional variations and tiny populations of the overall channeling pool.
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The Bell Curve revisited Shannow - 29/10/2012 09:44:09 AM 1759 Views
Re: The Bell Curve revisited Tor - 29/10/2012 10:21:27 AM 1109 Views
That's incorrect... Shannow - 29/10/2012 10:26:49 AM 1687 Views
Re: That's incorrect... Tor - 29/10/2012 10:36:32 AM 1085 Views
Re: That's incorrect... Shannow - 29/10/2012 10:40:27 AM 931 Views
Re: That's incorrect... Tor - 29/10/2012 10:42:57 AM 916 Views
Hehe...There are a few disputing it vocally. Whether they're in their right mind, well... Shannow - 29/10/2012 10:45:07 AM 1039 Views
Re: Hehe...There are a few disputing it vocally. Whether they're in their right mind, well... Tor - 29/10/2012 10:49:49 AM 910 Views
Re: Hehe...There are a few disputing it vocally. Whether they're in their right mind, well... Shannow - 29/10/2012 10:56:37 AM 1002 Views
It's only as skewed as it seems when you make the assumption that the Forsaken darius_sedai - 31/10/2012 04:34:11 AM 1255 Views
RJ the physicist didn't know math, so that Shannow could be right... fionwe1987 - 29/10/2012 02:11:19 PM 1026 Views
Response to a few of your poorly researched points... Shannow - 29/10/2012 02:31:17 PM 975 Views
Re: RJ the physicist didn't know math, so that Shannow could be right... Tor - 29/10/2012 02:37:33 PM 959 Views
Exactly... Shannow - 29/10/2012 02:39:30 PM 952 Views
there are dozens of reasons for this darius_sedai - 29/10/2012 08:18:18 PM 974 Views
Excellent point. fionwe1987 - 29/10/2012 08:24:37 PM 1011 Views
Re: there are dozens of reasons for this Tor - 29/10/2012 09:07:35 PM 925 Views
Again I don't argue that genetics play no role darius_sedai - 30/10/2012 01:57:24 AM 907 Views
Re: Again I don't argue that genetics play no role Tor - 30/10/2012 07:07:17 AM 914 Views
I don't think it plays much role in the plot darius_sedai - 30/10/2012 03:17:55 PM 1071 Views
Once again just so,we are clear on my stance with Genetics and Strength darius_sedai - 30/10/2012 03:27:11 PM 915 Views
That the 1000 Novices aren't a random sample of the population? fionwe1987 - 29/10/2012 08:23:47 PM 860 Views
And why would it be biased towards those with lower strength? Tor - 29/10/2012 09:11:25 PM 880 Views
Absolutely no reason... fionwe1987 - 30/10/2012 01:35:35 AM 964 Views
Re: Absolutely no reason... Tor - 30/10/2012 06:43:54 AM 881 Views
Only if it was a random sampling. Which this is not. fionwe1987 - 30/10/2012 01:58:34 PM 973 Views
That's exactly the point. I want you to explain why it wasn't random. Tor - 30/10/2012 02:14:59 PM 896 Views
It wasn't random because it was a self-selected sample! fionwe1987 - 30/10/2012 02:43:03 PM 900 Views
Re: It wasn't random because it was a self-selected sample! Tor - 30/10/2012 02:47:30 PM 890 Views
Go read a stats text will you? fionwe1987 - 30/10/2012 02:54:16 PM 877 Views
Done Tor - 31/10/2012 09:34:11 AM 1670 Views
You seem to have perfected whining to a Talent... fionwe1987 - 10/11/2012 10:14:19 PM 1181 Views
Re: You seem to have perfected whining to a Talent... Tor - 11/11/2012 11:37:16 AM 999 Views
Re: You seem to have perfected whining to a Talent... fionwe1987 - 11/11/2012 07:14:48 PM 850 Views
Re: You seem to have perfected whining to a Talent... Tor - 11/11/2012 08:33:59 PM 1663 Views
Re: You seem to have perfected whining to a Talent... Tor - 11/11/2012 08:43:19 PM 1250 Views
Seriously? I went and looked at some statistics books, and you won't even reply? Tor - 01/11/2012 12:13:49 PM 993 Views
Still nothing? Tor - 10/11/2012 03:33:15 PM 1016 Views
Still doesn't explain the difference Praziquantel - 30/10/2012 07:01:53 PM 830 Views
Re: Still doesn't explain the difference fionwe1987 - 10/11/2012 10:21:00 PM 924 Views
Yes that totally makes sense Sidious - 30/10/2012 08:07:16 AM 1004 Views
Thank you! *NM* Tor - 30/10/2012 10:19:15 AM 473 Views
That's not what happened... fionwe1987 - 30/10/2012 02:01:52 PM 981 Views
Re: That's not what happened... Tor - 30/10/2012 02:15:57 PM 885 Views
Who said it would? fionwe1987 - 30/10/2012 02:44:17 PM 907 Views
let's not mix up "random" and "representative" darius_sedai - 30/10/2012 05:28:09 PM 960 Views
Doesn't mean RJ applied it to his series Sidious - 30/10/2012 08:23:29 AM 977 Views
But of course he did.. fionwe1987 - 30/10/2012 02:13:07 PM 1029 Views
I hate to get into these things HousealThor - 29/10/2012 05:45:50 PM 1053 Views
I would love for you to be right, because it would solve all our problems, but 0 is the challenge... Shannow - 29/10/2012 07:56:34 PM 1049 Views
In the truest sense, you are probably right that it is skewed HousealThor - 29/10/2012 08:20:52 PM 1033 Views
Overwhelm Lanfear, not match her. *NM* fionwe1987 - 29/10/2012 08:26:09 PM 542 Views
Truth is, Moiraine was being overly optimistic... Shannow - 29/10/2012 08:39:17 PM 950 Views
You're pathetic... fionwe1987 - 30/10/2012 01:20:01 AM 882 Views
The quote isn't specific Sidious - 30/10/2012 08:32:36 AM 989 Views
Its highly specific... fionwe1987 - 30/10/2012 02:15:38 PM 838 Views
Yet neither of them are at full potential and at least equal a Forsaken darius_sedai - 30/10/2012 03:45:24 PM 1497 Views
Honestly! darius_sedai - 30/10/2012 02:07:37 AM 936 Views
Re: In the truest sense, you are probably right that it is skewed Tor - 29/10/2012 09:10:27 PM 952 Views
Lots of people mean perfectly normal distribution when they say it HousealThor - 30/10/2012 05:25:35 PM 891 Views
Couldn't the Towers method of obtaining Aes Sedai be to blame? TheCrownless - 30/10/2012 12:04:01 AM 1086 Views
Re: Couldn't the Towers method of obtaining Aes Sedai be to blame? Tor - 30/10/2012 09:33:44 AM 1011 Views
Are you sure about that? TheCrownless - 30/10/2012 12:03:43 PM 1009 Views
Re: Are you sure about that? Tor - 30/10/2012 12:19:34 PM 909 Views
That doesn't seem a coherent narrative to me TheCrownless - 30/10/2012 04:26:25 PM 1259 Views
Sharina did not have the Spark, nor did Nicola darius_sedai - 30/10/2012 05:16:40 PM 1028 Views
Re: Sharina did not have the Spark, nor did Nicola TheCrownless - 30/10/2012 05:54:41 PM 897 Views
We do not know if Cadsuane or any of the Forsaken are Sparkers darius_sedai - 30/10/2012 10:33:55 PM 1059 Views
Re: We do not know if Cadsuane or any of the Forsaken are Sparkers TheCrownless - 31/10/2012 12:30:52 AM 996 Views
A handful of examples are all we have and we have proof that an extremely strong Channeler darius_sedai - 31/10/2012 02:58:57 AM 877 Views
you're confusing 2 things Zaphod - 30/10/2012 04:27:32 AM 1184 Views
+1 *NM* Sidious - 30/10/2012 09:17:07 AM 1056 Views
Re: you're confusing 2 things Simon - 30/10/2012 09:21:39 AM 1033 Views
Not true... Shannow - 30/10/2012 11:49:57 AM 1011 Views
One thing HousealThor - 30/10/2012 05:23:17 PM 986 Views
That's the problem. The BC RJ has "built" has a minimum and a maximum value darius_sedai - 30/10/2012 05:48:55 PM 997 Views
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