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Re: Are you sure about that? Tor Send a noteboard - 30/10/2012 12:19:34 PM
We don't have any information on how many wilders there are or their relative strength. It would explain why we've seen virtually no channelers in the very high power levels for a while until recently. Given the lack of education about channelling in Randland and the towers complete lack f recruitment it might just be that virtually all the wilders (and therefore the strongest channelers) aren't going to the tower.


First:

"Luckers: Of the really strong channelers we know the nature to, all but one have been sparkers[10] . This has led to the belief that sparkers are on average stronger than learners. Is this belief justified?

Maria: No. “Having been born with the inherent spark apparently is not an indicator of strength. There are as many with weak potential who will channel whether they are taught or not as there are of great potential” (from Jim’s notes). The stronger ones just get more attention."

Second:

"For over 3000 years, though, Aes Sedai have been removing men who actually learned to channel from the gene pool. They have been very efficient at this. As a result, the "present day" sees about 1% of the population who can learn to channel, with a much, much smaller percentage of that being born with the spark."

But still, for the sake of argument, even if 20% of the channeling population were wilders, and even if wilders were all strong enough to become Aes Sedai, and even assuming that the 1000 novices contains no wilders, that still wouldn't be enough to make the numbers right.
Fram kamerater!
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The Bell Curve revisited - 29/10/2012 09:44:09 AM 1541 Views
Re: The Bell Curve revisited - 29/10/2012 10:21:27 AM 926 Views
That's incorrect... - 29/10/2012 10:26:49 AM 1501 Views
Re: That's incorrect... - 29/10/2012 10:36:32 AM 925 Views
RJ the physicist didn't know math, so that Shannow could be right... - 29/10/2012 02:11:19 PM 844 Views
Response to a few of your poorly researched points... - 29/10/2012 02:31:17 PM 786 Views
Re: RJ the physicist didn't know math, so that Shannow could be right... - 29/10/2012 02:37:33 PM 807 Views
Exactly... - 29/10/2012 02:39:30 PM 803 Views
there are dozens of reasons for this - 29/10/2012 08:18:18 PM 820 Views
Excellent point. - 29/10/2012 08:24:37 PM 854 Views
Re: there are dozens of reasons for this - 29/10/2012 09:07:35 PM 753 Views
Again I don't argue that genetics play no role - 30/10/2012 01:57:24 AM 730 Views
Re: Again I don't argue that genetics play no role - 30/10/2012 07:07:17 AM 758 Views
I don't think it plays much role in the plot - 30/10/2012 03:17:55 PM 905 Views
Once again just so,we are clear on my stance with Genetics and Strength - 30/10/2012 03:27:11 PM 769 Views
That the 1000 Novices aren't a random sample of the population? - 29/10/2012 08:23:47 PM 707 Views
And why would it be biased towards those with lower strength? - 29/10/2012 09:11:25 PM 713 Views
Absolutely no reason... - 30/10/2012 01:35:35 AM 809 Views
Re: Absolutely no reason... - 30/10/2012 06:43:54 AM 717 Views
Only if it was a random sampling. Which this is not. - 30/10/2012 01:58:34 PM 802 Views
That's exactly the point. I want you to explain why it wasn't random. - 30/10/2012 02:14:59 PM 724 Views
It wasn't random because it was a self-selected sample! - 30/10/2012 02:43:03 PM 740 Views
Re: It wasn't random because it was a self-selected sample! - 30/10/2012 02:47:30 PM 738 Views
Go read a stats text will you? - 30/10/2012 02:54:16 PM 731 Views
Done - 31/10/2012 09:34:11 AM 1472 Views
You seem to have perfected whining to a Talent... - 10/11/2012 10:14:19 PM 990 Views
Re: You seem to have perfected whining to a Talent... - 11/11/2012 11:37:16 AM 832 Views
Re: You seem to have perfected whining to a Talent... - 11/11/2012 07:14:48 PM 692 Views
Re: You seem to have perfected whining to a Talent... - 11/11/2012 08:33:59 PM 1503 Views
Re: You seem to have perfected whining to a Talent... - 11/11/2012 08:43:19 PM 1045 Views
Still nothing? - 10/11/2012 03:33:15 PM 818 Views
Still doesn't explain the difference - 30/10/2012 07:01:53 PM 679 Views
Re: Still doesn't explain the difference - 10/11/2012 10:21:00 PM 758 Views
Yes that totally makes sense - 30/10/2012 08:07:16 AM 848 Views
Thank you! *NM* - 30/10/2012 10:19:15 AM 394 Views
That's not what happened... - 30/10/2012 02:01:52 PM 777 Views
Re: That's not what happened... - 30/10/2012 02:15:57 PM 735 Views
Who said it would? - 30/10/2012 02:44:17 PM 736 Views
let's not mix up "random" and "representative" - 30/10/2012 05:28:09 PM 807 Views
Doesn't mean RJ applied it to his series - 30/10/2012 08:23:29 AM 821 Views
But of course he did.. - 30/10/2012 02:13:07 PM 842 Views
I hate to get into these things - 29/10/2012 05:45:50 PM 881 Views
I would love for you to be right, because it would solve all our problems, but 0 is the challenge... - 29/10/2012 07:56:34 PM 838 Views
In the truest sense, you are probably right that it is skewed - 29/10/2012 08:20:52 PM 863 Views
Overwhelm Lanfear, not match her. *NM* - 29/10/2012 08:26:09 PM 429 Views
Truth is, Moiraine was being overly optimistic... - 29/10/2012 08:39:17 PM 778 Views
You're pathetic... - 30/10/2012 01:20:01 AM 719 Views
The quote isn't specific - 30/10/2012 08:32:36 AM 839 Views
Its highly specific... - 30/10/2012 02:15:38 PM 678 Views
Yet neither of them are at full potential and at least equal a Forsaken - 30/10/2012 03:45:24 PM 1326 Views
Honestly! - 30/10/2012 02:07:37 AM 774 Views
Re: In the truest sense, you are probably right that it is skewed - 29/10/2012 09:10:27 PM 777 Views
Lots of people mean perfectly normal distribution when they say it - 30/10/2012 05:25:35 PM 722 Views
Couldn't the Towers method of obtaining Aes Sedai be to blame? - 30/10/2012 12:04:01 AM 921 Views
Re: Couldn't the Towers method of obtaining Aes Sedai be to blame? - 30/10/2012 09:33:44 AM 846 Views
Are you sure about that? - 30/10/2012 12:03:43 PM 843 Views
Re: Are you sure about that? - 30/10/2012 12:19:34 PM 750 Views
That doesn't seem a coherent narrative to me - 30/10/2012 04:26:25 PM 1083 Views
Sharina did not have the Spark, nor did Nicola - 30/10/2012 05:16:40 PM 860 Views
Re: Sharina did not have the Spark, nor did Nicola - 30/10/2012 05:54:41 PM 738 Views
We do not know if Cadsuane or any of the Forsaken are Sparkers - 30/10/2012 10:33:55 PM 871 Views
you're confusing 2 things - 30/10/2012 04:27:32 AM 987 Views
+1 *NM* - 30/10/2012 09:17:07 AM 849 Views
Re: you're confusing 2 things - 30/10/2012 09:21:39 AM 822 Views
Not true... - 30/10/2012 11:49:57 AM 830 Views
One thing - 30/10/2012 05:23:17 PM 808 Views
That's the problem. The BC RJ has "built" has a minimum and a maximum value - 30/10/2012 05:48:55 PM 824 Views

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