Active Users:1013 Time:19/04/2026 09:06:08 AM
Back to Messageboard Post New Thread Search Help Stats Rules
That's the problem. The BC RJ has "built" has a minimum and a maximum value darius_sedai Send a noteboard - 30/10/2012 05:48:55 PM
If the Wheel of Time really turns forever, and if every channeler gets a new draw from the distribution of strength with each rebirth, then if the distribution allows for negative strength, eventually there has to be someone with negative strength.

I'm not saying that every channeler does get a new draw, but it does seem like channeling strength isn't constant across lifetimes, unless none of the strong female AS from the AoL has been reborn between the AoL and the Third Age. Or at least between when the AS started keeping track of these things and the Third Age.

I'm simplifying things a great deal, but I know you get what I'm saying.


Which means there can be no negative strength and no strength above Lanfear/Rand.

Which also means there are a fixed number of standard deviations on the curve. Given this it seems unlikely that Lanfear's strength is more than a few standard deviations above the strongest AS, who cannot be more than a few above the weakest AS with any expectation of maintaining the Curve the author described. If Morgase is the bottom and Lanfear the top there must be as many standard deviations between Morgase and the middle as there are between Lanfear in the middle. This implies that it is impossible for someone lying at the middle of the Curve to be anything but half way between Morgase and Lanfear.
Domani Drag Queen in the White Tower ... Aran'gar watch out!
Reply to message
The Bell Curve revisited Shannow - 29/10/2012 09:44:09 AM 1698 Views
Re: The Bell Curve revisited Tor - 29/10/2012 10:21:27 AM 1059 Views
That's incorrect... Shannow - 29/10/2012 10:26:49 AM 1637 Views
Re: That's incorrect... Tor - 29/10/2012 10:36:32 AM 1021 Views
Re: That's incorrect... Shannow - 29/10/2012 10:40:27 AM 882 Views
Re: That's incorrect... Tor - 29/10/2012 10:42:57 AM 869 Views
Hehe...There are a few disputing it vocally. Whether they're in their right mind, well... Shannow - 29/10/2012 10:45:07 AM 976 Views
Re: Hehe...There are a few disputing it vocally. Whether they're in their right mind, well... Tor - 29/10/2012 10:49:49 AM 862 Views
Re: Hehe...There are a few disputing it vocally. Whether they're in their right mind, well... Shannow - 29/10/2012 10:56:37 AM 950 Views
It's only as skewed as it seems when you make the assumption that the Forsaken darius_sedai - 31/10/2012 04:34:11 AM 1205 Views
RJ the physicist didn't know math, so that Shannow could be right... fionwe1987 - 29/10/2012 02:11:19 PM 963 Views
Response to a few of your poorly researched points... Shannow - 29/10/2012 02:31:17 PM 913 Views
Re: RJ the physicist didn't know math, so that Shannow could be right... Tor - 29/10/2012 02:37:33 PM 903 Views
Exactly... Shannow - 29/10/2012 02:39:30 PM 896 Views
there are dozens of reasons for this darius_sedai - 29/10/2012 08:18:18 PM 920 Views
Excellent point. fionwe1987 - 29/10/2012 08:24:37 PM 955 Views
Re: there are dozens of reasons for this Tor - 29/10/2012 09:07:35 PM 869 Views
Again I don't argue that genetics play no role darius_sedai - 30/10/2012 01:57:24 AM 853 Views
Re: Again I don't argue that genetics play no role Tor - 30/10/2012 07:07:17 AM 850 Views
I don't think it plays much role in the plot darius_sedai - 30/10/2012 03:17:55 PM 1007 Views
Once again just so,we are clear on my stance with Genetics and Strength darius_sedai - 30/10/2012 03:27:11 PM 862 Views
That the 1000 Novices aren't a random sample of the population? fionwe1987 - 29/10/2012 08:23:47 PM 809 Views
And why would it be biased towards those with lower strength? Tor - 29/10/2012 09:11:25 PM 825 Views
Absolutely no reason... fionwe1987 - 30/10/2012 01:35:35 AM 919 Views
Re: Absolutely no reason... Tor - 30/10/2012 06:43:54 AM 820 Views
Only if it was a random sampling. Which this is not. fionwe1987 - 30/10/2012 01:58:34 PM 916 Views
That's exactly the point. I want you to explain why it wasn't random. Tor - 30/10/2012 02:14:59 PM 840 Views
It wasn't random because it was a self-selected sample! fionwe1987 - 30/10/2012 02:43:03 PM 839 Views
Re: It wasn't random because it was a self-selected sample! Tor - 30/10/2012 02:47:30 PM 836 Views
Go read a stats text will you? fionwe1987 - 30/10/2012 02:54:16 PM 828 Views
Done Tor - 31/10/2012 09:34:11 AM 1608 Views
You seem to have perfected whining to a Talent... fionwe1987 - 10/11/2012 10:14:19 PM 1122 Views
Re: You seem to have perfected whining to a Talent... Tor - 11/11/2012 11:37:16 AM 942 Views
Re: You seem to have perfected whining to a Talent... fionwe1987 - 11/11/2012 07:14:48 PM 799 Views
Re: You seem to have perfected whining to a Talent... Tor - 11/11/2012 08:33:59 PM 1612 Views
Re: You seem to have perfected whining to a Talent... Tor - 11/11/2012 08:43:19 PM 1180 Views
Seriously? I went and looked at some statistics books, and you won't even reply? Tor - 01/11/2012 12:13:49 PM 939 Views
Still nothing? Tor - 10/11/2012 03:33:15 PM 961 Views
Still doesn't explain the difference Praziquantel - 30/10/2012 07:01:53 PM 777 Views
Re: Still doesn't explain the difference fionwe1987 - 10/11/2012 10:21:00 PM 866 Views
Yes that totally makes sense Sidious - 30/10/2012 08:07:16 AM 958 Views
Thank you! *NM* Tor - 30/10/2012 10:19:15 AM 441 Views
That's not what happened... fionwe1987 - 30/10/2012 02:01:52 PM 902 Views
Re: That's not what happened... Tor - 30/10/2012 02:15:57 PM 833 Views
Who said it would? fionwe1987 - 30/10/2012 02:44:17 PM 858 Views
let's not mix up "random" and "representative" darius_sedai - 30/10/2012 05:28:09 PM 905 Views
Doesn't mean RJ applied it to his series Sidious - 30/10/2012 08:23:29 AM 924 Views
But of course he did.. fionwe1987 - 30/10/2012 02:13:07 PM 965 Views
I hate to get into these things HousealThor - 29/10/2012 05:45:50 PM 987 Views
I would love for you to be right, because it would solve all our problems, but 0 is the challenge... Shannow - 29/10/2012 07:56:34 PM 987 Views
In the truest sense, you are probably right that it is skewed HousealThor - 29/10/2012 08:20:52 PM 981 Views
Overwhelm Lanfear, not match her. *NM* fionwe1987 - 29/10/2012 08:26:09 PM 511 Views
Truth is, Moiraine was being overly optimistic... Shannow - 29/10/2012 08:39:17 PM 889 Views
You're pathetic... fionwe1987 - 30/10/2012 01:20:01 AM 826 Views
The quote isn't specific Sidious - 30/10/2012 08:32:36 AM 936 Views
Its highly specific... fionwe1987 - 30/10/2012 02:15:38 PM 775 Views
Yet neither of them are at full potential and at least equal a Forsaken darius_sedai - 30/10/2012 03:45:24 PM 1438 Views
Honestly! darius_sedai - 30/10/2012 02:07:37 AM 879 Views
Re: In the truest sense, you are probably right that it is skewed Tor - 29/10/2012 09:10:27 PM 890 Views
Lots of people mean perfectly normal distribution when they say it HousealThor - 30/10/2012 05:25:35 PM 838 Views
Couldn't the Towers method of obtaining Aes Sedai be to blame? TheCrownless - 30/10/2012 12:04:01 AM 1026 Views
Re: Couldn't the Towers method of obtaining Aes Sedai be to blame? Tor - 30/10/2012 09:33:44 AM 950 Views
Are you sure about that? TheCrownless - 30/10/2012 12:03:43 PM 946 Views
Re: Are you sure about that? Tor - 30/10/2012 12:19:34 PM 858 Views
That doesn't seem a coherent narrative to me TheCrownless - 30/10/2012 04:26:25 PM 1196 Views
Sharina did not have the Spark, nor did Nicola darius_sedai - 30/10/2012 05:16:40 PM 965 Views
Re: Sharina did not have the Spark, nor did Nicola TheCrownless - 30/10/2012 05:54:41 PM 837 Views
We do not know if Cadsuane or any of the Forsaken are Sparkers darius_sedai - 30/10/2012 10:33:55 PM 980 Views
Re: We do not know if Cadsuane or any of the Forsaken are Sparkers TheCrownless - 31/10/2012 12:30:52 AM 931 Views
A handful of examples are all we have and we have proof that an extremely strong Channeler darius_sedai - 31/10/2012 02:58:57 AM 822 Views
you're confusing 2 things Zaphod - 30/10/2012 04:27:32 AM 1120 Views
+1 *NM* Sidious - 30/10/2012 09:17:07 AM 988 Views
Re: you're confusing 2 things Simon - 30/10/2012 09:21:39 AM 979 Views
Not true... Shannow - 30/10/2012 11:49:57 AM 946 Views
One thing HousealThor - 30/10/2012 05:23:17 PM 927 Views
That's the problem. The BC RJ has "built" has a minimum and a maximum value darius_sedai - 30/10/2012 05:48:55 PM 943 Views
Back to Messageboard Post New Thread Search Help Stats Rules

Reply to Message

Block Quote Paragraph Quote
Formatting
Smiley Codes