Active Users:660 Time:04/06/2026 07:05:01 AM
Back to Messageboard Post New Thread Search Help Stats Rules
Re: That's incorrect... Shannow Send a noteboard - 29/10/2012 10:40:27 AM
A Bell Curve is a perfectly normal distribution. Perfectly symmetrical. Otherwises it's not a Bell Curve.


Yes, but as I said, no real data is ever a perfect bell curve. When people say "it's a bell curve", they actually mean "it's reasonably well described by a bell curve".


Well, that's the solution I'm putting forward.

Which is that RJ actually misspoke when he called it a Bell Curve. In fact, he may have not entirely KNOWN the implications of calling it a Bell Curve.

Because we know that most channelers are weak and only a minority are very strong - and the Guide tells us this was also the distribution during the Age of Legends - and yet a Bell Curve would imply that there are as many channelers of Graendal's strength as there are of Sorilea's strength.

And this is clearly not the case, given that there are so many weak channelers but so incredibly few strong channelers.

To repeat my point: A perfect Bell Curve does not reflect the data from the books.
Reply to message
The Bell Curve revisited Shannow - 29/10/2012 09:44:09 AM 1734 Views
Re: The Bell Curve revisited Tor - 29/10/2012 10:21:27 AM 1088 Views
That's incorrect... Shannow - 29/10/2012 10:26:49 AM 1666 Views
Re: That's incorrect... Tor - 29/10/2012 10:36:32 AM 1057 Views
Re: That's incorrect... Shannow - 29/10/2012 10:40:27 AM 908 Views
Re: That's incorrect... Tor - 29/10/2012 10:42:57 AM 898 Views
Hehe...There are a few disputing it vocally. Whether they're in their right mind, well... Shannow - 29/10/2012 10:45:07 AM 1016 Views
Re: Hehe...There are a few disputing it vocally. Whether they're in their right mind, well... Tor - 29/10/2012 10:49:49 AM 889 Views
Re: Hehe...There are a few disputing it vocally. Whether they're in their right mind, well... Shannow - 29/10/2012 10:56:37 AM 977 Views
It's only as skewed as it seems when you make the assumption that the Forsaken darius_sedai - 31/10/2012 04:34:11 AM 1230 Views
RJ the physicist didn't know math, so that Shannow could be right... fionwe1987 - 29/10/2012 02:11:19 PM 1000 Views
Response to a few of your poorly researched points... Shannow - 29/10/2012 02:31:17 PM 946 Views
Re: RJ the physicist didn't know math, so that Shannow could be right... Tor - 29/10/2012 02:37:33 PM 932 Views
Exactly... Shannow - 29/10/2012 02:39:30 PM 926 Views
there are dozens of reasons for this darius_sedai - 29/10/2012 08:18:18 PM 945 Views
Excellent point. fionwe1987 - 29/10/2012 08:24:37 PM 987 Views
Re: there are dozens of reasons for this Tor - 29/10/2012 09:07:35 PM 908 Views
Again I don't argue that genetics play no role darius_sedai - 30/10/2012 01:57:24 AM 882 Views
Re: Again I don't argue that genetics play no role Tor - 30/10/2012 07:07:17 AM 880 Views
I don't think it plays much role in the plot darius_sedai - 30/10/2012 03:17:55 PM 1043 Views
Once again just so,we are clear on my stance with Genetics and Strength darius_sedai - 30/10/2012 03:27:11 PM 898 Views
That the 1000 Novices aren't a random sample of the population? fionwe1987 - 29/10/2012 08:23:47 PM 838 Views
And why would it be biased towards those with lower strength? Tor - 29/10/2012 09:11:25 PM 855 Views
Absolutely no reason... fionwe1987 - 30/10/2012 01:35:35 AM 943 Views
Re: Absolutely no reason... Tor - 30/10/2012 06:43:54 AM 847 Views
Only if it was a random sampling. Which this is not. fionwe1987 - 30/10/2012 01:58:34 PM 948 Views
That's exactly the point. I want you to explain why it wasn't random. Tor - 30/10/2012 02:14:59 PM 872 Views
It wasn't random because it was a self-selected sample! fionwe1987 - 30/10/2012 02:43:03 PM 874 Views
Re: It wasn't random because it was a self-selected sample! Tor - 30/10/2012 02:47:30 PM 867 Views
Go read a stats text will you? fionwe1987 - 30/10/2012 02:54:16 PM 853 Views
Done Tor - 31/10/2012 09:34:11 AM 1636 Views
You seem to have perfected whining to a Talent... fionwe1987 - 10/11/2012 10:14:19 PM 1155 Views
Re: You seem to have perfected whining to a Talent... Tor - 11/11/2012 11:37:16 AM 974 Views
Re: You seem to have perfected whining to a Talent... fionwe1987 - 11/11/2012 07:14:48 PM 830 Views
Re: You seem to have perfected whining to a Talent... Tor - 11/11/2012 08:33:59 PM 1639 Views
Re: You seem to have perfected whining to a Talent... Tor - 11/11/2012 08:43:19 PM 1215 Views
Seriously? I went and looked at some statistics books, and you won't even reply? Tor - 01/11/2012 12:13:49 PM 971 Views
Still nothing? Tor - 10/11/2012 03:33:15 PM 993 Views
Still doesn't explain the difference Praziquantel - 30/10/2012 07:01:53 PM 809 Views
Re: Still doesn't explain the difference fionwe1987 - 10/11/2012 10:21:00 PM 895 Views
Yes that totally makes sense Sidious - 30/10/2012 08:07:16 AM 985 Views
Thank you! *NM* Tor - 30/10/2012 10:19:15 AM 454 Views
That's not what happened... fionwe1987 - 30/10/2012 02:01:52 PM 952 Views
Re: That's not what happened... Tor - 30/10/2012 02:15:57 PM 858 Views
Who said it would? fionwe1987 - 30/10/2012 02:44:17 PM 886 Views
let's not mix up "random" and "representative" darius_sedai - 30/10/2012 05:28:09 PM 934 Views
Doesn't mean RJ applied it to his series Sidious - 30/10/2012 08:23:29 AM 952 Views
But of course he did.. fionwe1987 - 30/10/2012 02:13:07 PM 1000 Views
I hate to get into these things HousealThor - 29/10/2012 05:45:50 PM 1025 Views
I would love for you to be right, because it would solve all our problems, but 0 is the challenge... Shannow - 29/10/2012 07:56:34 PM 1020 Views
In the truest sense, you are probably right that it is skewed HousealThor - 29/10/2012 08:20:52 PM 1003 Views
Overwhelm Lanfear, not match her. *NM* fionwe1987 - 29/10/2012 08:26:09 PM 527 Views
Truth is, Moiraine was being overly optimistic... Shannow - 29/10/2012 08:39:17 PM 919 Views
You're pathetic... fionwe1987 - 30/10/2012 01:20:01 AM 856 Views
The quote isn't specific Sidious - 30/10/2012 08:32:36 AM 967 Views
Its highly specific... fionwe1987 - 30/10/2012 02:15:38 PM 817 Views
Yet neither of them are at full potential and at least equal a Forsaken darius_sedai - 30/10/2012 03:45:24 PM 1474 Views
Honestly! darius_sedai - 30/10/2012 02:07:37 AM 911 Views
Re: In the truest sense, you are probably right that it is skewed Tor - 29/10/2012 09:10:27 PM 925 Views
Lots of people mean perfectly normal distribution when they say it HousealThor - 30/10/2012 05:25:35 PM 866 Views
Couldn't the Towers method of obtaining Aes Sedai be to blame? TheCrownless - 30/10/2012 12:04:01 AM 1060 Views
Re: Couldn't the Towers method of obtaining Aes Sedai be to blame? Tor - 30/10/2012 09:33:44 AM 986 Views
Are you sure about that? TheCrownless - 30/10/2012 12:03:43 PM 980 Views
Re: Are you sure about that? Tor - 30/10/2012 12:19:34 PM 889 Views
That doesn't seem a coherent narrative to me TheCrownless - 30/10/2012 04:26:25 PM 1226 Views
Sharina did not have the Spark, nor did Nicola darius_sedai - 30/10/2012 05:16:40 PM 996 Views
Re: Sharina did not have the Spark, nor did Nicola TheCrownless - 30/10/2012 05:54:41 PM 870 Views
We do not know if Cadsuane or any of the Forsaken are Sparkers darius_sedai - 30/10/2012 10:33:55 PM 1013 Views
Re: We do not know if Cadsuane or any of the Forsaken are Sparkers TheCrownless - 31/10/2012 12:30:52 AM 969 Views
A handful of examples are all we have and we have proof that an extremely strong Channeler darius_sedai - 31/10/2012 02:58:57 AM 850 Views
you're confusing 2 things Zaphod - 30/10/2012 04:27:32 AM 1153 Views
+1 *NM* Sidious - 30/10/2012 09:17:07 AM 1025 Views
Re: you're confusing 2 things Simon - 30/10/2012 09:21:39 AM 1012 Views
Not true... Shannow - 30/10/2012 11:49:57 AM 980 Views
One thing HousealThor - 30/10/2012 05:23:17 PM 952 Views
That's the problem. The BC RJ has "built" has a minimum and a maximum value darius_sedai - 30/10/2012 05:48:55 PM 973 Views
Back to Messageboard Post New Thread Search Help Stats Rules

Reply to Message

Block Quote Paragraph Quote
Formatting
Smiley Codes